From "The Analyst":
KRYNKY, AVDIVKA, OTHER NEWS
It seems the Russians got themselves into a terrible mess launching an offensive to try and regain the trenches in the forested area.
Their armour was taken out by a mix of drone types, drone-seeded mines, and Javelins.
The supporting Russian artillery fell quickly to a counter-battery attack - they have no answer to this except to move as they don’t have the radars to know where to strike. By the time they realised most of it had been destroyed.
Yet another Russian assault that had the men and the equipment but not the planning, morale or any real coordination resulting in abject failure.
AVDIVKA
Russia changed its strategy from attacking in the north and trying to hold Stepove to attacking from the south of the northern salient along the reservoirs, nearest the industrial railway station at the south east end of the coking plant.
Clearly they have started to run out of resources again having expended so many - this was almost all infantry. Exposed by having to walk on foot under full view of Ukrainian drones, with little fire support and mediocre support from BMP’s they failed miserably.
The Russian death toll, again, was high, morale is clearly low - they seem to understand they’re going into an impossible situation and make minimal effort - mostly trying to keep alive and hiding as soon as they can. It doesn’t help. Eventually they get found by the ubiquitous drones Ukraine seems to have mastered so well. Another failed effort.
Overall the Russians haven’t been having much success as much because of the mud-snow-freeze conditions. It’s just getting too difficult in many areas to move about and it looks like they’ve blasted through their available reserves at Avdivka again. It doesn’t mean they won’t try again or even stop trying, just that the pace might slow for a while.
This is no bad thing for Ukraine - its 155mm shell situation is getting worse by the day, although the 152mm production for old equipment is said to be adequate from domestic and foreign sources.
Slava Ukraini !
