Teams have only needed 40 points or more to stay up four times since the PL was reduced to 20 teams and not at all since 2011, with an average required over the last 11 years of 34pts.
1995-96: first season where it was a 20 team league, required 39 points to stay up
1996-97: 41pts
1997-98: 40pts
1998-99: 37pts
1999-00: 34pts
2000-01: 35pts
2001-02: 37pts
2002-03: 43pts
2003-04: 34pts
2004-05: 34pts
2005-06: 35pts
2006-07: 38pts
2007-08: 36pts
2008-09: 35pts
2009-10: 31pts
2010-11: 40pts
2011-12: 37pts
2012-13: 37pts
2013-14: 34pts
2014-15: 36pts
2015-16: 38pts
2016-17: 35pts
2017-18: 34pts
2018-19: 35pts
2019-20: 35pts
2020-21: 29pts
2021-22: 36pts
2022-23: 35pts
2023-24: 27pts
We could hit 33 or 34 points by the first weekend in January with a good run of results, but we’ll only do that if we’re all behind them and not moaning at them all the time. And the run has to start somewhere, remember 1998-99, we weren’t looking much cop by Christmas then either and it was Boxing Day where the season turned around.