The Conservative Party

[TinFoilHat]

On election night I hope Jeremy Vine says; "I haven't seen this much of a swing since Kyle Walker got his cock out at Wembley during the FA cup semi final"

 

[bluethrunthru]

FPTP means reform will never be a problem for anyone.

Their best case scenario is being UKIP 2.0 circa 2015, which is to say they had zero parliamentary presence but managed to influence the mainstream party they were associated with to change their agenda.

UKIP have won 1 election in their history, Reform are predicted to get 0 seats in the next election.

Creaming 10% of the vote off the Conservative side doesn’t make Reform a danger, it just guarantees a Labour landslide.

Post election night when they implode and factionalise one of the branches must adopt the name Blukip

 

[blue for life]

I hope people are that angry that there is a higher turnout than normal for the locals.

 

[bluethrunthru]

seems that Bren4Bassetlaw was helped by a childcare provision due to start next week prior to his election win in 2019 - do they all think we are as brain dead as them

 

[bluethrunthru]

Gullis showcasing his extensive book collection. Also why does he have a red box? He isn't a minister of the Crown

 

[somapop]

Gullis is a proper bellend

I think the twat (his final words on this video) means implied, not inferred.
The seagull wanking, book-less twat.

 

[shemnel]

FPTP means reform will never be a problem for anyone.

Their best case scenario is being UKIP 2.0 circa 2015, which is to say they had zero parliamentary presence but managed to influence the mainstream party they were associated with to change their agenda.

UKIP have won 1 election in their history, Reform are predicted to get 0 seats in the next election.

Creaming 10% of the vote off the Conservative side doesn’t make Reform a danger, it just guarantees a Labour landslide.

I think your second and fourth paragraphs are at slight odds with each other. I think they continue to drive the debate downwards.

 

[Vic]

well i would tend to agree, it seems we are wandering to an inevitable conclusion, but i predict a further rise in Reform voters plus a slight rebound for Tory voters. I think Labour will contract a touch, tis the way with elections, things tighten up again once it comes to the actual vote. Get a free tenner for every 70 if you like!

Did you miss the stat that "demographics" mean that every month they lose ½% of their voters?

 

[domalino]

I think your second and fourth paragraphs are at slight odds with each other. I think they continue to drive the debate downwards.

UKIP was able to drive the Tories right because the 2 main parties were so close in the polls that losing the ~10% of their voters to UKIP would guarantee the Tories would lose a general election.

Labour are predicted to have a 200 seat majority after the next GE. When your majority is that big, it doesn’t matter what a 10% splinter group says or does.

Besides, Reform isn’t eating Labours vote, they’re just going to split the tiny remaining Tory contingent as the old school conservatives move back towards the centre, like every party that loses an election, and the Reform nut jobs go even further right.

 

[shemnel]

UKIP was able to drive the Tories right because the 2 main parties were so close in the polls that losing the ~10% of their voters to UKIP would guarantee the Tories would lose a general election.

Labour are predicted to have a 200 seat majority after the next GE. When your majority is that big, it doesn’t matter what a 10% splinter group says or does.

Besides, Reform isn’t eating Labours vote, they’re just going to split the tiny remaining Tory contingent as the old school conservatives move back towards the centre, like every party that loses an election, and the Reform nut jobs go even further right.

Yes, I agree that a move to centre in 2025 makes quite a bit of sense, for the Tory party