The Title Race 2022/23

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I cant stop looking back at the 2 games pre & post -World Cup.

Everton & Brentford

They were a shambles, 100% players wernt arsed v Brentford as long as they didn't get injured for Qatar & the game when they came back same again to many not a4sed especially the English & Portugl players, Cancelo had seen his arse, Dias not in the starting 11 & Walker & Foden still in holiday mode
Peps outburst was absalute bang on
Only 2 games but 2 home games we would have won especially that Everton game
But every season we have posters saying ‘if it wasn’t for x game…’ which completely misses the point of a 38 game season. It isn’t possible to go through a season and not have off days, and subpar results. Even in the centurion season, we dropped points we shouldn’t (Palace, Huddersfield).

It happens. It’s always happened and it always will.

By any objective measure our points total this season is good, and will probably be better at the end of the season.
 
I feel goal difference could play a part once again.

Hopefully we show no mercy come saturday tea time & put 8 past the saints

If there was a book on who’d win on GD with money returned if if didn’t, we’d be 1/100 minimum.

For that to happen we’d almost certainly have to beat them, which would give us a minimum of +4. For them to overturn that whilst picking up five less points from the remaining games, is almost unimaginable.
 
There’s always a couple of games like that every season. Usually at home and usually against similar profile teams.

I think it’s a bit insulting to suggest the players weren’t arsed. I’m not suggesting the World Cup was totally irrelevant to the Brentford performance in particular. But to put both results totally down to it, is hugely over simplifying matters.
Not from my seat in the ground, half hearted tackles, runs & closing down players 100% didn't want it against Brentford

Ivan Toney took the piss, the Everton game was a complete shambles were were shit one of our worst performances under Pep
 
Liverpool at home will take points of Arsenal it’s up to us to beat Southampton
I hope so but that Liverpool team are shocking at the moment.
They were poor against us and no better when they played Chelsea during the week.
 
The most important thing is just to win on Saturday. Don't care how, just win. Had some mixed results down there over the years so we need to turn up, fully focussed and be right up for it. You can usually tell within the first 5 minutes what City will turn up. Need to show the urgency straight away. Just make sure we are 5 points behind on Saturday night.

Southampton will see it as a free hit and look to set pieces. We all know how they'll play. Aggresive, in our face, trying to stop us playing and take their chances when they come. We really need the first goal.

I have no doubt Liverpool will be up for it Sunday. I know they are going through a poor spell, but Anfield will be right up for it, and they are still a force when they want to be with some great players.
 
I feel goal difference could play a part once again.

Hopefully we show no mercy come saturday tea time & put 8 past the saints
I understand this feeling, but I think the very, very worst thing you can do in a run-in is start wondering how many you'll score rather than worrying about getting a win by any means necessary. I'd be perfectly happy to win every game 1-0 for the rest of the season.
 
I hope so but that Liverpool team are shocking at the moment.
They were poor against us and no better when they played Chelsea during the week.
Their away form is terrible, their home form is pretty decent. In fact, its such an extreme that they'd be in a title race based on home form (points per home game x 29 = 67 points) and a relegation scrap based on away form (0.87 x 29 = 25).
 
I understand this feeling, but I think the very, very worst thing you can do in a run-in is start wondering how many you'll score rather than worrying about getting a win by any means necessary. I'd be perfectly happy to win every game 1-0 for the rest of the season.

I equally understand your analysis, and players won't be thinking about it, I believe. Only we on here have the leisure to do that.
I don't think it's only about the final goal difference consideration. The plain fact is that if you've got a 3-0 cushion, or more, round about the sixty-minute mark, you can start sending subs on, and giving your key players valuable rest, while keeping your subs sharp. In a schedule as crowded as ours in the coming month that may well be important. If you're only leading 1-0 managers are notoriously wary of mixing it up, unless obliged to by injury. And Pep's no different there.
 
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Their away form is terrible, their home form is pretty decent. In fact, its such an extreme that they'd be in a title race based on home form (points per home game x 29 = 67 points) and a relegation scrap based on away form (0.87 x 29 = 25).

Honestly, I'm expecting Arsenal to do them. They're just better. However, I'd snatch your hand off for a draw, and Arsenal dropping two points. Unfortunately, Arsenal don't seem to really do draws this year.
 
I cant stop looking back at the 2 games pre & post -World Cup.

Everton & Brentford

Funnily enough, not bothered about those. We were shit, we got no more than we deserved. I can accept that.
No, the two games that are still preying on my mind (if we don't win this thing) are the rags away, and that disgusting non-goal that was given by a pure piece of PL chicanery in interpreting the laws — I continue to believe that we were still in a state of utter disbelief and outrage for their second, we shouldn't have been, but we were — and Forest away. Both matches we fully deserved to win. That's five points more than we have now. I shouldn't be harping on what's long gone, but it bothers me.
 
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Big couple of weeks we play against the bottom 2 while arsenal have Liverpool away and a London Derby away at West ham. If they come through them 2 games with 6 points it's looking bleak for us even if we win both of our games.
Not sure why, Liverpool arn’t the force they were and west Ham are dire at the moment. Expect them to win both comfortably. Newcastle and Brighton both in form teams are the tough ones for arsenal.
 
However poor Liverpool are this season, no one tends to go there and have an easy ride of it, and for some reason they seem a different side at home than away.

Like others have said, if Arsenal can beat Liverpool, Newcastle, Chelsea and Brighton, and win all 4, then they'll fully have deserved to win the league.

Personally I think they'll have to win every single game, as we look formidable at the moment, and will capitalise on any dropped points.

I still have us down as winning by a point or two
 
Honestly, I'm expecting Arsenal to do them. They're just better. However, I'd snatch your hand off for a draw, and Arsenal dropping two points. Unfortunately, Arsenal don't seem to really do draws this year.
Oh I'm not expecting anything. But their record there is about as ours. You almost have to factor in a loss there to win the league.
 
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