under 80 points aint gonna be enough for title. current 9-3-3 standing is 66.6% of points that puts us to 76 points overall.
also we are 10 points worse off fixture to fixture which is very bad imo. meaning if from now on we just get same results as last year when we won the treble we end up on 79.
that would be losing at Anfield, Spurs and lose a game vs a midtable (Brentford), lose a suprise game at home (Brentford) draw a tough away game (Castle, Brighton) and have two rubbish draws in the mould of Everton h/Forest a but win every single another game.
league is also more competetive this season, look how Luton fought vs scousers and Arsenal, Everton ripped Castle apart, Villa becoming some kind of force too etc, will be easier to drop points.
after 15 rounds we were not much better last season as before the WC we were not in top form at all but had Gundo, KDB, Mahrez around.
but the 10 points difference fixture to fixture is not good sign.
not one opponent we improved against to last season apart from the rags away fixture. but there are 6 teams that got better result already against us this season including the two closest title rivals. Arsenal beating us this time not just 3 more points for them, but 3 less for us. if you do the math on last years final points, that swing would have changed everything.
next 4 PL fixtures were all wins last season so literally we cannot drop points even in these if we want to be above 80 points. otherwise we really need to go Pool Spurs and get wins lol which seem to be bigger bogey places than the african spell Yaya's agent put on us.
(Luton = Soton, Leeds=Sheffield, but doesnt really matter as we got max points vs relegated clubs so its crucial to get 18 now vs promoted clubs, so far so good , 6 points of 6 in the bag)