Thing is we dont know Uefa really found so far. It seem to be about the Etihad deal, Mansour may have paid large part of it trough Etihad, but there were much more mess in the leaked emails, dont forget when Der Spiegel were running a story they did it day by day bringing up different dirt every time to have maximum exposure.
Longbow Project with players image rights comes to my mind which is a separate issue from the Etihad sponsorship and who kows how much more stuff will be coming to light.
All this goes back imo that we accepted FFP rules and we said we fully cooperate with them. That is our big sin we didnt go against FFP when they done us the first time, we took the punishment, accepted we are guilty, otherwise why accept CL squad limit plus some hefty money penalty.
Taking the pinch got us here.
PSG was clever, they had no problem with Qatar companies labelled related party while we were fighting hard to make it look like Etihad is not related party, they were paid much higher sums than we got from Etihad straight from the pocket of their owner, and Uefa didnt even blink when they even raised the price of it couple years later.
While we trying to do tricks like Etihad leaving emails about it, and playing around image rights maybe.
While PSG pulled off signings like Neymar and Mbappe in the very middle of it.
Wish there would be a joint fight vs Uefa from PSG owner and Manosur but Qatar and UAE is in big shit currently with each other. Seems like PSG became good friends with Uefa since then while we only have enemies there.
CAS could be very dangerous. Its a 50-50 imo no matter how confident City try to sound. Its a legal battle now, and history shows sometimes courts put an innocent person in jail for 30-40 years and let guilty ones walk. Thats legal battle for you...
Make no mistake the pressure on Uefa is huge to fucking ban us by our rivals, the small elite. They might have power to strong arm CAS people as well.
3 possible outcomes:
complete success for City, CAS says fuck off Uefa none of this ban is valid.
no change on 2 years ban and penalty, CAS says Uefa is correct.
middle ground, ban only goes for one season.
imo Uefa would be happy with 2 of 3 options. For us only 1 option is acceptable. Chances are against us.
And dont forget after CAS is over PL will give their verdict as well if not sooner. So much depends on it is madness.