It’s not my view it’s the government’s view the only year of a deficit was Covid 19
? I haven’t relied on a think tank I rely on the government website
What is National Insurance contributions for? “copied from
GOV.UK”
National Insurance contributions count towards the benefits and pensions in the following table.
| Basic state pension | | |
| Additional state pension | | |
| New State Pension | | |
| New Style Jobseekers Allowance | | |
| Contribution-based Employment and Support Allowance | | |
| Maternity Allowance | | |
| Widows Allowance | | |
The government actuary department “The surplus is loaned to the government debt management to reduce the national debt, previously it was invested into gilt edge securities the surplus is loaned to the government through the Debt Management Office (which is part of the Commissioners for the Reduction of the National Debt), via instruments termed 'Call Notice Deposits'.[6] Previously it was just invested in gilt-edged securities. Interest on the 'Call Notice Deposits' is paid back into the NIF – around £1.3 billion in the 2007/08 year
IMO it’s a pointless discussion read the Beveridge report 1942 on what national insurance scheme was set up to do.
Finally the conservatives intend to merge NIC into general taxation starting in 2027 which will be the final erosion in something set up to protect NIC rights as the state pension is a right.