US Election 2020 Prediction Thread

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Damocles

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Right fuckers, let's get our political nerdery on and play some games. Here's a copy/paste for you to quote and fill in:

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Overall

Democrat - Seats

Republican - Seats

Independent - Seats


Battlegrounds

Arizona - Democrat/Republican win

Florida - Democrat/Republican win

Georgia - Democrat/Republican win

Iowa - Democrat/Republican win

Michigan - Democrat/Republican win

Nevada - Democrat/Republican win

North Carolina - Democrat/Republican win

Ohio - Democrat/Republican win

Pennsylvania - Democrat/Republican win

Wisconsin - Democrat/Republican win

----------------------------------------------

Will invent a bullshit scoring system later or am open to someone else doing it. Keep news discussion to the election discussion thread; election nerdery only here please.

Use https://www.270towin.com/ to work out your seats if needed
 
Last edited:
Overall

Democrat - 300

Republican - 238

Independent - 0


Battlegrounds

Arizona - Republican win

Florida - Republican win

Georgia - Republican win

Iowa - Democrat win

Michigan - Democrat win

Nevada - Democrat win

North Carolina - Democrat win

Ohio - Republican win

Pennsylvania - Democrat win

Wisconsin - Democrat win
 
Not sighted enough on individual states to be able to decide sensibly and it would be guesswork. I think Trump will win but it will be decided in the courts and it will take up to 4 weeks
 
I actually don't care very much either way as behind the contrasting personality of their leaders I'm not sure there is a whole lot of difference between the two main parties in the US. Ideally a landslide either way on weds would probably suppress suspicion over the electoral process itself and avoid the riots. Sadly I think it'll be a narrow, messy and slightly dubious win for Trump.
 
My prediction. I think it will come down to Pensylvannia and Florida. If trump wins both the Dems will be sweating, if Biden wins both then Trump is finished. If both take one each like I think they will it will be close indeed

Democrat - 278

Republican - 260

Independent - 0


Battlegrounds

Arizona - Republican win

Florida - Republican win

Georgia - Republican win

Iowa - Republican win

Michigan - Democrat win

Nevada - Democrat win

North Carolina - Republican win

Ohio - Republican win

Pennsylvania - Democrat win

Wisconsin - Democrat win
 

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Fuck knows. If I had to guess. Biden with around 325 EC votes and 7 million in the popular vote.

Senate. Dems. Just.

House. Dems will romp it.
 
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Based on polling and historical trends, this is my best guess. This is actually the exact same margin Trump won by in 2016. I see Biden taking Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Arizona while Trump keeps Texas, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, and Ohio for the swing states.

The Senate will be the closest of the three where I do think the Dems will get to at least 50, giving them a majority assuming Biden wins. I personally think 52 is where they'll end up, and 2022 only gets tougher for Republicans in Senate re-elections. The House should stay with the Dems.
 
I’m going with a landslide: 352 to 176.

I have a feeling that the democrats will pick up some huge wins in possibly Texas and/or Florida, adding to Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada. Wouldn’t surprise me if they won Ohio, Georgia or Iowa either.
 
Just spoke to Putin he is releasing the video of Trump pissing on a brass as the Dems win by a landslide of 350 plus
 
Ok we’re a day into counting.
I see what analysts on CNN had been predicting largely happening before my eyes.

Wasn’t feeling optimistic for Biden last night, but ultimately I think he’ll win.

It could be weeks of litigation as some states are going to be so close, but if he turns enough of them blue, litigation may become pointless if one or two cases go against Trump.
 
aguerrrroooooooooooo said:
My prediction. I think it will come down to Pensylvannia and Florida. If trump wins both the Dems will be sweating, if Biden wins both then Trump is finished. If both take one each like I think they will it will be close indeed

Democrat - 278

Republican - 260

Independent - 0


Battlegrounds

Arizona - Republican win

Florida - Republican win

Georgia - Republican win

Iowa - Republican win

Michigan - Democrat win

Nevada - Democrat win

North Carolina - Republican win

Ohio - Republican win

Pennsylvania - Democrat win

Wisconsin - Democrat win
Click to expand...
Pretty happy with my guesses so far. Arizona was out of left field but Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada are starting to look good for the Dems now the mail in ballots are being counted
 
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