Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 14,717
For a former president and tyrant that has basically overtaken the party that is a very weak result.Actual result:
Haley 26.5%
Trump 68.2%
Predicted margin 56pp, actual margin 42pp.
I’m going to sound like a broken record but… polls overestimate Trump again. Every single primary. He’s never even got close to hitting his polling.
He's not universally popular among gop voters. What chance does he have with the swing voters he needs?