Weekend bets

Liverpool v Everton draw.
Burnley v West Ham draw.
Stoke v Blackburn home win.
Tottenham villa draw.
Hull v Man City away win.

£5 pays 669 i think.
 
bizzbo said:
MCFCinUSA said:
yeah, there's a reason you're getting a payout of 300 quid for a single, and that's because each event you've parlayed is around 2/1 odds; so the chances of all of them coming off for you is around 300-1. Despite what SuperCity thinks, your parlay is a bit of a long shot, a bit like putting one joker in amongst six decks of cards and you pulling it out in one pick.

of course, if finding 300-1 parlays that pay off was that easy, we'd all be getting banned from the Bookmakers because that's what they do to professionals who win money regularly. They're in the business of taking it off of you - not giving it away.

if you want to test your gambling smarts try this:-

<a class="postlink" href="http://www.okcupid.com/tests/the-professional-gambler-aptitude-test" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://www.okcupid.com/tests/the-profes ... itude-test</a>
heh, seems like an ideal amateur punt to me, a high return and a small stake, and exciting to follow!

isn't the thing here, because they all come in at once you don't think of it this way, but if 5 of the results came in, you'd effectively be staking a huge amount on the 6th result, no matter what 'value' it offered? but you wouldn't have that huge stake otherwise.... wouldn't you be better making individual bets on 2/1 events that happened consecutively? so you could decide whether or not you wanted to continue?

I'll be honest, it makes my head hurt to think about this stuff. that's why I don't get involved ;)

if you wanted to make money on 2/1 draws the way you'd likely do better is to back them individually, BUT stake a smaller amount on the overall parlay, and/or shorter parlays - much like backing 'a Heinz' (57 bets on 6 selections).

If you were good at picking draws, or if draws were favoured and be more likely than the odds they were being offered at, you'd cover all your options with multiple bets - including the 'big one' in having them all in one line. If 4 out of 6 come in you'd still do handsomely well. If you were decent at sniffing out your 2-1 bets this would be the way to go. You could write a spreadsheet - assuming odds of 2/1 on each event, to show you what your winnings would be if in the above example you picked 6 matches and you had 2, 3, 4, 5 or the perfect 6 return winners.
 

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