I've completely changed my mind since the morning of the opening day. Hull are already 1/6th of the way to what was safety last season so I think they could scrape through. Think people have Bournemouth all figured out by now. Not seen enough from Palace to suggest they'll stay up and if not for a good start they'd have been certain to go down last year. Sunderland are also contenders, while Stuani, Negredo and Ramirez should see Middlesbrough safely through. Burnley still don't have me convinced- I've learned never to judge someone on a performance against Liverpool who are so inconsistent and 18% possession wouldn't have been enough on most days. Swansea have lost their leader. Watford could scrape through under Mazzarri and look good so far. West Brom are the ones I most want to go down (of the likely contenders), mainly because I can't stand Pulis and his awful brand of football.
Based on the season so far, I'm going with:
18. Bournemouth
19. Crystal Palace
20. Burnley