World Cup Bets

Stephen230 said:
Well done today. Particularly on Japan. But I’m not sure that there’s logic in a win either way being more likely than a draw with more injury time?
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I think you might be right! I'm not doing so well today.

My thinking was this: Qatar (and FIFA) really want this tournament to be a success despite the criticism and that means lots of goals and not many nil:nils. So in the Uraguay vs S. Korea that just finished they put up 7 mins injury time on the 90 and the commentator and pundit were puzzled as to why.

As it turned out, although there were a couple of chances in those extra minutes, it was another zero-zero (the 4th so far compared with only 1 in the 2018 tournament). However, because of Spain and England I guess the goal situation is still decent compared with past World Cups. If I recall correctly, Italia 90 was a very low scoring tournament, but one we loved at the time.

Not sure why, the temperature issue doesn't seem to have slowed games down. The ball seems OK (unlike the one in South Africa that was flying all over the place). But in future bets I shall not rule out draws and in fact one helped me out yesterday.
 
El_george said:
I think you might be right! I'm not doing so well today.

My thinking was this: Qatar (and FIFA) really want this tournament to be a success despite the criticism and that means lots of goals and not many nil:nils. So in the Uraguay vs S. Korea that just finished they put up 7 mins injury time on the 90 and the commentator and pundit were puzzled as to why.

As it turned out, although there were a couple of chances in those extra minutes, it was another zero-zero (the 4th so far compared with only 1 in the 2018 tournament). However, because of Spain and England I guess the goal situation is still decent compared with past World Cups. If I recall correctly, Italia 90 was a very low scoring tournament, but one we loved at the time.

Not sure why, the temperature issue doesn't seem to have slowed games down. The ball seems OK (unlike the one in South Africa that was flying all over the place). But in future bets I shall not rule out draws and in fact one helped me out yesterday.
Click to expand...

The old cliche “Nobody wants to lose their first game” also makes me inclined to think that draws are more likely in the first round of games. There’s been 5/14 games so far. Not worked it out but I imagine that would be enough to show a profit if you’d backed every game as a draw. Even more so if you disregarded the games where there was a 1/3 favourite or shorter.
 
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