FA Cup Qtr final draw - away (big shock) at Middlesbrough

[johnnytapia]

Mathematically it is looked at as one incident as the probability resets after every event.

I get your point but in this example where there are only two outcomes it is this law that is applied.

Bending mathematical laws to suit agendas is forbidden :-)

Probability isn’t reset, that’s why bookies give better odds for tricasts etc, as, despite the fact they're individual races, the odds on the punter getting it right on 3 consecutive occasions, gets harder (the odds get bigger), that’s why 128-1 is correct, it’s not evens.

 

[Manc in London]

I believe this is apt for Rammy Blue.

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

:)

Who said it is being reset and it cannot be regarded as a sequence?

The men who invented the laws of probability and they rule so that's that :-)

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Probability isn’t reset, that’s why bookies give better odds for tricasts etc, as, despite the fact they're individual races, the odds on the punter getting it right on 3 consecutive occasions, gets harder (the odds get bigger), that’s why 128-1 is correct, it’s not evens.

It is reset on these type of events.

Theoretically if you were betting in Jan 16 about us getting 7 aways on the run then you are correct. But the odds of getting Boro away rather than home was evens.

Choosing 2 horses In a double on a Saturday before both races are run and both horses are evens is 3-1.

Choosing the second horse after knowing the result of the first race, the odds are evens.

Depends which way you look at it.

The outcome of a draw in football is independent of the draw before it. Pretty much like the toss of a coin.

 

[kaz7]

She never said it was a fix. She made a factual statement. You sound paranoid mate.

Frank paranoid never lol

 

[Manc in London]

The men who invented the laws of probability and they rule so that's that :-)

I cannot remember Pascal stating that it resets :)

I guess, we'll agree to disagree, mate.

 

[East Level 2]

I cannot remember Pascal stating that it resets :)
I guess, we'll agree to disagree, mate.

He was under a bit of pressure at the time.

 

[East Level 2]

Should get about 5,200 if we get through. Unless they start the "on police advice" bollox.

 

[CrownPointBlue]

Big,big incentive to beat udders feeld.

Go strong in both games.

 

[EL APACHE TEVEZ]

Should get about 5,200 if we get through. Unless they start the "on police advice" bollox.

I reckon more like 7000