Another new Brexit thread

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I don't suppose any of us actually know or can really prove anything tbh. All just conjecture based on what we think /feel, and it seems everyone on both sides is just 'posting the same stuff' in the absence of anything new. We just go round in circles cherry picking bits and bobs from our own echo chambers to suit our views. It seems most of us are dicks, and at least this thread serves the purpose of herding us into the one place and leaving the rest of the forum a better place.

We can prove that we’re going to be worse off because our trade will be diminished, we can prove we’ll have less influence on the world as we’ll no longer have a top seat at the world’s largest trading bloc.

There are many things we can prove and the rest we can be confident in predicting.

We do go around and round on here though and I can’t be arsed at the moment.
 
I don't suppose any of us actually know or can really prove anything tbh. All just conjecture based on what we think /feel, and it seems everyone on both sides is just 'posting the same stuff' in the absence of anything new. We just go round in circles cherry picking bits and bobs from our own echo chambers to suit our views. It seems most of us are dicks, and at least this thread serves the purpose of herding us into the one place and leaving the rest of the forum a better place.
That, and that the US have said the same exact thing to the EU. A no deal means no deal for the EU with the US, either.
 
More importantly I hope that they are keeping a lot back and that no-deal preparations are now top priority.

The government did not start such planning in earnest until early summer 2018 and it was not top priority

Should have been since July 2016

Either way important information should not be shared with the sycophants

How can you prepare for no deal if you keep people in the dark? How do you build necessary infrastructure without letting people know where to build? We’re not planning the Normandy invasion we’re building a fucking customs shed. Except in NI. Definitely not building one in NI.
 
Macron thinks Irish reunification may help with the border but it’s not up to France (ya think?) and the Poles aren’t happy with this settled status shit. Nor I imagine others struggling to get paperwork they never thought they would need. To be honest I’m not convinced that when it comes to no deal and all 27 having to agree a future EU/UK deal, pissing off the citizens of said countries is entirely the best move.

 
From Gutteridge in the Sun (yeah I know but the journo is good) idea of limiting the backstop to livestock and agricultural produce which is about 80% of the trade is being kicked about. Will mean enhanced checks between NI and GB which will annoy the DUP but it makes sense.

Can it get past ERG Tories and DUP? Unlikely and it’s by no means a given the EU go for it but if the U.K. could guarantee the WA passing with a revised backstop then I think they will swallow it as it then gives us four years or so of transition to work with.
Problem is always going to be the chlorinated chicken ( and anything else) hidden in the back of the "trusted traders" van (or anyone else's van for that matter).
Unless you go in for NI/EU compliance or significant spot checks ( possible but politically difficult) no amount of tinkering will stop non compliant goods or tariff smuggling into the EU.
 
Macron thinks Irish reunification may help with the border but it’s not up to France (ya think?) and the Poles aren’t happy with this settled status shit. Nor I imagine others struggling to get paperwork they never thought they would need. To be honest I’m not convinced that when it comes to no deal and all 27 having to agree a future EU/UK deal, pissing off the citizens of said countries is entirely the best move.



Fucking unbelievable
 
Problem is always going to be the chlorinated chicken ( and anything else) hidden in the back of the "trusted traders" van (or anyone else's van for that matter).
Unless you go in for NI/EU compliance or significant spot checks ( possible but politically difficult) no amount of tinkering will stop non compliant goods or tariff smuggling into the EU.
Tbh I think chlorine is probably one of the better aspects of imported chicken. Not even the red tractor or EC label are any guarantee with chicken and pork in particular. More an animal husbandry than Brexit point btw.
 
Majority supporting the backstop. Unionists opposing the backstop. The divide and recipe for future conflict laid bare. The only acceptable solution across the divide is the current status quo. But by supporting Brexit the DUP and other Unionist parties also oppose the current status quo so their citing of the GFA is perhaps ‘problematic’.https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/...tusk-supporting-brexit-backstop-38426562.html
Why is it any more problematic than Sinn Fein etc wanting a united Ireland?
"DUP MP Sir Jeffrey Donaldson said the letter confirmed that all unionist parties opposed the backstop.
He said it was clear the backstop did not have the support of both communities and that it would undermine the Good Friday Agreement as it would erect a border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK.
"The best way to protect the Belfast Agreement and enjoy a positive north-south relationship is to have a sensible deal as we exit the European Union," the Lagan Valley MP said.
"Those who pedal scare stories about barbed wire and soldiers on checkpoints are being irresponsible. Neither London nor Dublin have any plans to go back to the borders of the 70s and 80s even in a no deal scenario."
Sir Jeffrey said that Mr Tusk had an obligation to consider the views of unionists.
"The Belfast Agreement was about balancing the views of unionists and nationalists yet these parties want to foist a deal on Northern Ireland which every unionist party opposes. So much for those parties’ commitments to a shared future," the DUP MP said."
 
Why is it any more problematic than Sinn Fein etc wanting a united Ireland?
"DUP MP Sir Jeffrey Donaldson said the letter confirmed that all unionist parties opposed the backstop.
He said it was clear the backstop did not have the support of both communities and that it would undermine the Good Friday Agreement as it would erect a border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK.
"The best way to protect the Belfast Agreement and enjoy a positive north-south relationship is to have a sensible deal as we exit the European Union," the Lagan Valley MP said.
"Those who pedal scare stories about barbed wire and soldiers on checkpoints are being irresponsible. Neither London nor Dublin have any plans to go back to the borders of the 70s and 80s even in a no deal scenario."
Sir Jeffrey said that Mr Tusk had an obligation to consider the views of unionists.
"The Belfast Agreement was about balancing the views of unionists and nationalists yet these parties want to foist a deal on Northern Ireland which every unionist party opposes. So much for those parties’ commitments to a shared future," the DUP MP said."

There’s not a single suggestion to what that would or should look like, in any of that from Donaldson.
 
Brexit MEP Ben Habib threatening BJ not to back track or else.
So what have we here. A guy born in Karachi ends up being educated at the elite Rugby school. A major beneficiary of freedom of movement! And his property fund operates in the UK, Poland and Rumanía.
 
Macron thinks Irish reunification may help with the border but it’s not up to France (ya think?) and the Poles aren’t happy with this settled status shit. Nor I imagine others struggling to get paperwork they never thought they would need. To be honest I’m not convinced that when it comes to no deal and all 27 having to agree a future EU/UK deal, pissing off the citizens of said countries is entirely the best move.


Makes you wonder who will get settled status.
 
Brexit MEP Ben Habib threatening BJ not to back track or else.
So what have we here. A guy born in Karachi ends up being educated at the elite Rugby school. A major beneficiary of freedom of movement! And his property fund operates in the UK, Poland and Rumanía.
In fairness that background probably makes him a better, or at least less parochial judge of the situation than a bunch of ex public school boys.
 
The joint EU/UK Alternative Arrangements panel has proposed phased measures which would preserve the legal integrity of the EU and the GFA free movement provisions. No need for any backstop except to prevent Brexit.
I suppose once (if) a solution is found which makes the WA deal more palatable, it will soon become clear how many of those claiming to be against 'no deal' are in fact just Remainers prepared to say anything to throw,a spanner in Brexit. In darkness to the lib dems they are at least honest in this respect.
 
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