Another new Brexit thread

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'Ex pats' sounds oh so colonial.
PS If it all goes to rat shit i.e. no WA deal, no mini deals,no money (39bn +) ,no nothing, are flights still guaranteed? You seem to know so don't be coy, please enlighten us.

Im confident flights will continue as i am the sun will still rise and set and the Earth spin on its axis.

Im even more sure that most of us will get on with things but accept that some will want to stand in the road outside of Westminster and probably do more harm to the local/London economy by doing so than brexit itself but eh ho, each to their own.
 
Actually that was an anecdotal comment from one interviewee (that I saw). It wasn't a BBC report suggesting it or giving any facts or numbers behind it.

I think people live in 'the now' and don't plan for the future. It's sad that many of those interviewed were suffering illnesses and were worried about the cost of medicines etc, and I would hope/expect any future British government to help them out, but agreements between countries are only ever temporary, regardless of how permanent they feel, and they should have taken steps to protect themselves.

Fuck me. The point of being in the EU is that rights for people like Health care are consistent between countries and not subject to the whims and vagaries of individual Govts. You voted to remove our rights and deliberately create a situation where agreements between us and the rest of Europe are temporary, or in the event of no deal non fucking existent, and then breezily say well the silly sods should have planned for the future.

Well yeah I guess they should have prepared themselves for the stupidity of the British electorate. Get to fuck with your temporary shite.
 
I share your concerns, but think it boils down to whether you see the EU as force for good or an abusive partner. I think the later, and equate the risk/pain of leaving with that of someone bailing out of an abusive relationship who is risking financial ruin to do so.

Fair enough.
I see the e.u as flawed but necessary,neither good nor abusive.
I've no issue with people having a different opinion.
 
Im confident flights will continue as i am the sun will still rise and set and the Earth spin on its axis.

Im even more sure that most of us will get on with things but accept that some will want to stand in the road outside of Westminster and probably do more harm to the local/London economy by doing so than brexit itself but eh ho, each to their own.
Could you back your 'confidence' up with facts?
Or is just , no flights would be so disastrous neither side would contemplate it?
 
Fuck me. The point of being in the EU is that rights for people like Health care are consistent between countries and not subject to the whims and vagaries of individual Govts. You voted to remove our rights and deliberately create a situation where agreements between us and the rest of Europe are temporary, or in the event of no deal non fucking existent, and then breezily say well the silly sods should have planned for the future.

Well yeah I guess they should have prepared themselves for the stupidity of the British electorate. Get to fuck with your temporary shite.
Morning Bob.
 
More snivelling nonsense from the Brexit Sec.

‘The car industry’s ‘just in time’ supply chains rely on fluid cross-Channel trade routes. >1,100 trucks filled with car parts cross seamlessly from EU into UK each day. We need to start talks now on how we make sure this flow continues if we leave without a deal.’

Really? No shit. Its what we voted for you absolute tit.
 
Could you back your 'confidence' up with facts?
Or is just , no flights would be so disastrous neither side would contemplate it?

I’m just a pleb so no but then neither can you back your Nostradamus like predictions of the end of the world as we know it Len.

Funny that eh?
 
I get your argument @mcfc1632, I always have and you've repeatedly stated it, that's true.
It may well be that you are finally getting what you wanted on the negotiating table, and the threat of a no-deal, may or may not work.
However what I have repeatedly maintained is that the Irish government stance is the only one that actually seems to have the backing of the island of Ireland and has genuinely got the people North and South and their futures together in mind.
What you describe above is a strategy. A strategy that you have advocated all along.
Your point No 1. above demonstrates to me that you are fully aware that the language you used repeatedly in here was part of that strategy.
The EU need to be seen as bullies!

I did take issue with you once, but decided thereafter that the point didn't need constant repeating, that no matter how many times you used that particular terminology, it didn't make it true.
I appreciate your view and it's not a criticism of your tactic or the tactic that you feel should have been employed, but I regard this strategy to be 'weaponising' (your word) Northern Ireland and the GFA more than anything you regard the EU to be doing.

I suggest that we are not that far apart in our assessments - we present them differently as we have different drivers as priorities and different outcomes as our desires.

Some comments on your points:

"It may well be that you are finally getting what you wanted on the negotiating table, and the threat of a no-deal, may or may not work."

Agreed - I have said many times versions of "We will not see movement from the EU unless and until they face the prospect of a viable walk-away option and the political will to use it". It is a simple factual statement that has been proven entirely correct IMO by events over the past 3 years - they have been able to just sit and observe the UK farce. BUT - even this does not mean that the other party will shift as much as you want them to - it just means that you make them consider/offer concessions that they are willing to as they wish to avoid the walk-away outcome. It means no more than that. They may end up being willing to offer substantial concessions or none at all - that does not detract from the truth of my view.

"However what I have repeatedly maintained is that the Irish government stance is the only one that actually seems to have the backing of the island of Ireland"

I can accept that - certainly the UKs stance does not.

Also, I suggest that there should be recognition in Ireland that the UK has made a sovereign decision to exit from the EU - and a level of acceptance/respect shown towards that determination.

The path should have been that, immediately following the referendum, representatives of Ireland and the UK were established as a joint group to 'calmly and in a spirit of goodwill' consider the implications for the GFA and to be tasked with identifying the key issues and bringing forwards proposals/processes/workarounds to ensure that changes, acceptable to both sides, could be determined, planned and implemented.

"What you describe above is a strategy. A strategy that you have advocated all along.
Your point No 1. above demonstrates to me that you are fully aware that the language you used repeatedly in here was part of that strategy.
The EU need to be seen as bullies!"


Entirely correct - one that recognises the here and now issues presented by the lack of representation of the English element of the UK at parliament and one that seeks to plot a path for the referendum result to be implemented. It is not going to be implemented in the current climate - the cadre of Remainers are just waiting for it all to fizzle out and be overturned by a 2nd vote.

I put forward a path that allows for N.I. self determination through a referendum with the options being either an Irish Sea border but remaining part of the UK or unification (be careful what you wish for). I include a path for self-determination in Scotland through an Indyref2 vote - although I make clear that I feel that Scotland will vote to remain in the UK by an increased majority - which I am surprised some have not challenged.

There is though a prevailing set of narratives that are disregarding of the rights of England. Irish and Scottish nationalism is presented as noble - that there should be any consideration of what English people want is dismissed - but there was a massive majority in England for Leaving the EU

So, you are right, what I set out is a strategy to resolve the situation - personally I would suggest that they are actually sensible steps - to be successful there needs to be a narrative that positions the EU as the bad guy and takes advantage of a window during which the Remain vote will be split.

"I appreciate your view and it's not a criticism of your tactic or the tactic that you feel should have been employed, but I regard this strategy to be 'weaponising' (your word) Northern Ireland and the GFA more than anything you regard the EU to be doing"

You and other posters based on the Island of Ireland have understandably taken issue with this POV. I maintain that it is correct - for me it is entirely self-evident because otherwise we would jointly be doing what I suggest in my 2nd comment above. You may think that the EU are being altruistic - I certainly do not. I repeat it because, just like how a unfettered backstop would be used, some posters clearly do not understand it. There are some posters on here - not from the island of Ireland - that bang on in a manner as if the GFA is and always has been sacrosanct to them - when it fact it is just 'cover and code' for - this can be used to stop Brexit.
 
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Thank you.
carbon copy @blueinsa

As you state these agreements may not be rolled over and could be withdrawn in the event of the UK reneging on it's agreement to pay the 39bn plus.

Well the Green Party and Thurnberg will at least be pleased along with the end of the world as we know it environmentalists.

See brexit can be all things to all men
 
Of course they are. But crashing out of the EU with No Deal will lead to a much bigger downturn than the next upturn. If you think I’m simply arguing from a Remain perspective you’re wrong and you’ve fallen for Johnson and Rees Mogg’s bullshit. I’m arguing against No Deal. An exit arrangement that could transition us into a free trade deal with the EEA countries whilst being outside the EU would satisfy the vote and only screw up the economy by a tolerable amount. We’re a million miles from that though. We’re facing No Deal or a deal that all the Brexiters hate that the Johnson government have adamantly dismissed. Any other deal is fantasy bollocks.

I was talking about the fact that economies in the eu and staying in the eu are in recession or on the brink of recession including the biggest countries.

I thought it was an economic super power. The way you talk on here being in the eu would almost be an economic shield from recessions.

Surely we should be already in recession given all the bollox we have had over the last 3 years . We are no worse no better than Germany and France, just with a lot more jobs for our people.
 
And now Hannan is snivelling

I have had constituency cases of EU nationals being denied settled status despite living here for years. This is a breach of the assurances I and other Leavers gave during the referendum. Please help sort this out @patel4witham before we end up with another Windrush scandal.’

It’s the consequences of what we voted for and you championed you grade A weapon. Remove our rights and the rights of others and people get fucked over. Who knew.
 
More snivelling nonsense from the Brexit Sec.

‘The car industry’s ‘just in time’ supply chains rely on fluid cross-Channel trade routes. >1,100 trucks filled with car parts cross seamlessly from EU into UK each day. We need to start talks now on how we make sure this flow continues if we leave without a deal.’

Really? No shit. Its what we voted for you absolute tit.
Well knock me down with a feather.
I'd forgotten about all those just in time non tariff barrier supply chains which affect many industries ( not just automotive).
Thank God the government have just remembered this, cos I'd forgotten all about it.
They're good aren't they.
 
I recognise what the GFA is

I recognise that the GFA is very important and needs great care and sensitivity

I recognise what the prevailing conditions were when it was established and how those conditions are about to change

I am confident that Ireland and the UK would/could have undertaken calm diplomacy and joint actions to ensure that processes and workarounds could be designed and amendments could be agreed to ensure smooth cross-border movements and mitigated the risks we hear so much about

I am certain that the EU weaponised the issue for opportunistic reasons

If you genuinely believe that their actions reflect only altruism then I suggest that you should join me in a joint hunt for that pot of gold


That’s a bingo
 
I was talking about the fact that economies in the eu and staying in the eu are in recession or on the brink of recession including the biggest countries.

I thought it was an economic super power. The way you talk on here being in the eu would almost be an economic shield from recessions.

Surely we should be already in recession given all the bollox we have had over the last 3 years . We are no worse no better than Germany and France, just with a lot more jobs for our people.

The EU is an economic superpower. As are the USA and China irrespective of whether they are in recession or not.

The EU is designed to facilitate trade without barriers across 30 countries. How well those countries do or take advantage of being part of the bloc is entirely down to them. Removing ourselves from it removes our ability to trade freely and without hinderance. How this works to our advantage has yet to be explained.
 
I’m just a pleb so no but then neither can you back your Nostradamus like predictions of the end of the world as we know it Len.

Funny that eh?
Not really mate.
I made no predictions.
The discussion was restricted to your assertion that flights would continue post no deal brexit.
I asked you if you had any facts to back up your assertion.
You had none.
Another poster later provided some useful information on the subject.
Have a nice day.
 
The EU is an economic superpower. As are the USA and China irrespective of whether they are in recession or not.

The EU is designed to facilitate trade without barriers across 30 countries. How well those countries do or take advantage of being part of the bloc is entirely down to them. Removing ourselves from it removes our ability to trade freely and without hinderance. How this works to our advantage has yet to be explained.

USA and China are countries bob.

The eu is a political bloc of different countries - Cyprus? Given your definitions then I visited cyprus it did not feel like an economic superpower to be honest.

Or are you now at the stage where you see the EU as a nation in itself like China and the USA.
 
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