Another new Brexit thread

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It's all part of the process of moving to a totalitarian state. Discredit the democrats and invoke the 'will of the people '.
Yeah the fake outrage about this vote is incredible from a group of people who have used every underhand, devious tactic in the book to try and ensure that a hard or no-deal Brexit goes ahead, not to mention the many dodgy ways that the referendum was won in the first place.
 
And it’s on us to come up with the alternative, particularly considering that requirement was our suggestion to begin with.
It is all a moot point now that the EU's acolytes at Westminster have undermined the UK's negotiating position, but had the No-Deal option been available:

It is for the EU to confirm that it will be removed - then alternative arrangements could have been established during the transition period - I have posted an alternative to the backstop and if I can think of how it can work then I am sure that the two negotiating teams - acting in good faith can

I hear a lot about how the backstop was the UK's idea - but it is not as simple as that and just reflects how negotiations can work.

It is a great outcome and, in this case a credit to the professional EU negotiating team - when you get the other party to accept that there is a red line that cannot be removed and make them scurry around for a solution. That is what that utter empty suit Robbins did. Once Robbins accepted the need for a backstop and May's idiocy had left her dependent on the DUP then this poisonous option came forward - yes by the UK but directed by the EU due to Robbins stupidly accepting the red line which was due to him being a shit negotiator and not committed to leaving the EU
 
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I seem to recall the opinion polls forecasting May would increase her majority prior to the 2017 GE - that worked out well.
Do you think Johnson will bring forward a manifesto that will alienate a great number of their core support?
 
Never would have happened if they’d not decided to prorogue parliament for the sake of four days debate, Cummings really showing he’s a genius so far...

This will keep going as a remain vs leave debate, it hasn’t really been that for a while. It’s all been down to the ineptitude of the conservative government and some of them turning further to the right and creating the split that has caused all of this.
That parliament,during September/October, would act to stop a No-Deal Brexit certainly would have happened - the acolytes have been playing the game of keep pushing the date back and wait for everybody to get fed up and have a 2nd referendum

The actions taken have ensured that they have had to act in a manner of high drama and now a GE can be undertaken against the backdrop of it being parliament against the people rather than simply 6 years of Conservative failure

The Conservatives may not win, but they have a better chance in a GE following this drama than they would have had. This is especially the case given the extent to which so much of the Remain support resides in constituencies that would never risk a Corbyn PM and the potential for that support in many marginal seats to be split between several parties against only one Leave party - so long as the BXP acts sensibly
 
Saw them on Newsnight.
They confirmed that Boris has not negotiated sincerely for a deal.
This was all planned and that the Tory party has been taken over by a Brexit Right wing element.
This from within.
Also Churchill’s nephew and Clarke say that they are for leaving with a deal but what Boris is looking for is not achievable.
So if as expected the GE doesn’t get through with a 2/3 majority if no deal is not safely dispatched of, what’s then?
Suppose it depends on whether the bill gets passed tomorrow.
The impression given tonight was that the 21 wouldn’t have done what they did if they were not prepared to carry the bill tomorrow.
There are a few amendments to be discussed first that may swing some however.

Interesting times.
In these circumstances Johnson has to go 'all in'. He may not win the GE to follow, but there is no point him winning it and then having 20+ of his MPs voting against his manifesto. Certainly not aimed at you - but it is amusing to read/hear all the faux outrage generated about how mean it has been against Churchill's grandson and other privileged people from a lot of people who would have only had contempt for them before.

As with a lot to do with Brexit it is just false concern/double standards - born both from being an opportunity to bash Johnson and concern that Brexit has not yet been stopped
 
The Lords have agreed to pass the bill by friday so it can go to the house on Monday and should become law, Johnson will then do a GE vote again and it will go through before parliament shuts back down.

Oct 15th election will probably happen
 
Do a little poll of leavers in here

@blueinsa @Mëtal Bikër @mcfc1632

Guys if there is a second referendum would you bother voting again?
Maybe not, but probably in the hope that the democracy deniers can be stymied.

But what Saddleworth is suggesting is just the typical Remainer approach - not democracy - just get Brexit cancelled, but preferably in a way that it can be seen as the will of the people - so our duplicity is not too obvious

Let's see the options he suggests:

1. An utterly shit deal that anyone caring for the UK's best interests could not vote for Vs

2. Remaining

Yep - that should have loaded the dice sufficiently in the favour of those that simply wish to stop Brexit - not even Remain Vs No-Deal

Now how would Remainers on here view a Confirmatory vote where the options were:

1. An utterly shit deal that anyone caring for the UK's best interests could not vote for Vs

2. No-Deal

Because that would be a lot more honest, delivering against the 1st referendum and democratic - but, a lot of the time, it seems democracy is only relevant when it supports what Remainers want
 
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It is all a mot point now that the EU's acolytes at Westminster have undermined the UK's negotiating position, but had the No-Deal option been available:

It is for the EU to confirm that it will be removed - then alternative arrangements could have been established during the transition period - I have posted an alternative to the backstop and if I can think of how it can work then I am sure that the two negotiating teams - acting in good faith can

I hear a lot about how the backstop was the UK's idea - but it is not as simple as that and just reflects how negotiations can work.

It is a great outcome and, in this case a credit to the professional EU negotiating team - when you get the other party to accept that there is a red line that cannot be removed and make them scurry around for a solution. That is what that utter empty suit Robbins did. Once Robbins accepted the need for a backstop and May's idiocy had left her dependent on the DUP then this poisonous option came forward - yes by the UK but directed by the EU due to Robbins stupidly accepting the red line which was due to him being a shit negotiator and not committed to leaving the EU
So you don't like what Robbins did in negotiations, and prefer the present approach of doing nothing to find a solution.

That must be very frustrating when you have all that experience of advising ministers and no-one seems to be listening to you, the one person in Europe with a workable alternative to the backstop.
 
Its one big mess, I’d had enough of it two years ago and purposely not read anything about it. TV and radio straight off at the hint of Brexit.

I think an election may just be the right way to go though. Im just cacking it at the thought of a Government led by Corbyn, Abbott and McDonnell. They would bring this country to its knees, it was bad enough when Labour bankrupted the country last time when that twat Brown sold off the nations gold just before the price went on to hit a record high.

Read about Corbyns plans to tax inheritance on a lifetime basis, he will do anything to take money from those who have saved, invested or inherited money so he can give it away. We’re not talking just the super rich here, it concerns the hard working man and woman who have been sensible with their finances.

Brexit has been a three year disease, hopefully it’s not terminal.
Emphasising those points along with making some very tasty pledges in his manifesto is the way I expect Johnson will go

I cannot see him repeating the idiocy of May in 2017

I have said a few times that Corbyn could be responsible for Brexit happening - hopefully he is that unpalatable to the electorate that it will be the case
 
Maybe not, but probably in the hope that the democracy deniers can be stymied.

But what Saddleworth is suggesting is just the typical Remainer approach - not democracy - just get Brexit cancelled, but preferably in a way that it can be seen as the will of the people - so our duplicity is not too obvious

Let's see the options he suggests:

1. An utterly shit deal that anyone caring for the UK's best interests could not vote for Vs

2. Remaining

Yep - that should have loaded the dice sufficiently in the favour of those that simply wish to stop Brexit - not even Remain Vs No-Deal

Now how would Remainers on here view a Confirmatory vote where the options were:

1. An utterly shit deal that anyone caring for the UK's best interests could not vote for Vs

2. No-Deal

Because that would be a lot more honest, delivering against the 1st referendum and democratic - but, a lot of the time, it seems democracy is only relevant when it supports what Remainers want


Any fererendum for me should have 3 questions

  • Leave no deal
  • Leave with a deal which secures a trading relationship and no customs borders.
I Could add revoke article 50 and remain , but the first two would solit the leave vote and allow this option to win so would be unfair.

Any referendum should not include overturning the previous one, but securing we leave with protection from a no deal or Mays shit deal.


I voted remain but really now not bothered if we leave, I have made my peace with that, what's now important is how we leave and on the futire relationship we have with Europe.
 
Why should it be the EU's problem and why should they make any move?

I would have thought it is there job to react, not initiate. They are guarding their status quo, they have no reason at all to make things easier for the UK, why on earth would they?

I really do believe this sort of thinking is a direct consequence of some of the talk we heard during and just after the referendum, talk such as "they need us more than we need them" when obviously they don't and whilst common courtesy would be expected I see no reason for us to be treated with exceptionality.
In that last para you have gotten what my views wrong - I have never been of the 'they need us etc. view

In the first 2 we are actually saying the same thing.....

It is for the EU to react - that is what they should do in the to and fro of negotiations

I am saying that they are never being put in the position of having to react because they can just watch their sycophants undermine the UK's negotiating position
 
So in short you make an incorrect & unfounded claim, & then refuse to explain it, or clarify what happened to you in the 90s regarding Europe. I mean, did you get tummy ache on a holiday to Magaluf, & since then you've blamed the Europeans because you got the shits? Anyway, at the FIFTH TIME of asking!

The Irish border is the issue.

The backstop was an agreed solution.

You quoted:

"Certainly the EU have no need to find a solution for the backstop - and neither have the UK"

So why would the EU need to find a solution for the backstop, when the backstop was their agreed solution with the UK government for the Irish border question?

I'll sit here patiently whilst you dig up an answer which makes sense.



Also, whilst you're at it, can you explain what your views on the EU were in the early 90s, & why?
In summary:

You are just squirming and twisting words in your desperation - you are not alone.

The answer is in your own post. You say:

"The Irish border is the issue.

The backstop was an agreed solution."

You post what I quoted:

"Certainly the EU have no need to find a solution for the backstop - and neither have the UK"

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Correct - I did post that and it is self-evident that neither party needs a solution to the backstop because - as you clearly say - it is not the backstop that is the issue - it is the border. Simply find another solution to what is the issue - not a solution to what is a potential solution - not rocket science if you have any capability to think

Beyond that - In the short time you have been posting on here you have ensured that you have quickly made people consider you to be someone who is not worth time engaging with

All your disgusting references and comparisons to Nazis etc. - which I am shocked have been allowed to be made in such volumes and hysterical tones - mean for me you are not someone that I will spend time on.

Frankly, I do not give a single fuck about what you want or demand - do one.
 
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The Lords have agreed to pass the bill by friday so it can go to the house on Monday and should become law, Johnson will then do a GE vote again and it will go through before parliament shuts back down.

Oct 15th election will probably happen
Why is a GE needed? It could result in a parliament exactly the same as this with the largest party 30 seats short of an overall majority.

Let's have a caretaker government (leave aside who might lead it *) which will ask the EU for an extension, order a second referendum (obviously with Remain as an option), and take it from there. It doesn't need to be paralysing: it could also abolish the bedroom tax and pass other stuff that everyone but the Tories would support.

What happens if the Commons pass a motion of no confidence in Johnson as PM (but not in the terms of the Fixed Term Parliaments Act)? Here would be a PM who got the job on the basis of having a majority in the HoC which he no longer has (and has since sent Rees Mogg to lie to the Queen about why she should prorogue Parliament), and has been prevented by law from doing what he said he would (leave without a deal on 31st October) and does not have the confidence of the House. Why is he still PM?

* Personally, though I'd assume Corbyn would have first dibs, I'd take the piss and ask Rory Stewart to be caretaker leader.
 
Maybe not, but probably in the hope that the democracy deniers can be stymied.

But what Saddleworth is suggesting is just the typical Remainer approach - not democracy - just get Brexit cancelled, but preferably in a way that it can be seen as the will of the people - so our duplicity is not too obvious

Let's see the options he suggests:

1. An utterly shit deal that anyone caring for the UK's best interests could not vote for Vs

2. Remaining

Yep - that should have loaded the dice sufficiently in the favour of those that simply wish to stop Brexit - not even Remain Vs No-Deal

Now how would Remainers on here view a Confirmatory vote where the options were:

1. An utterly shit deal that anyone caring for the UK's best interests could not vote for Vs

2. No-Deal

Because that would be a lot more honest, delivering against the 1st referendum and democratic - but, a lot of the time, it seems democracy is only relevant when it supports what Remainers want
That's because Remainers are now the majority. It's you that doesn't want to test that.
 
Do you think Johnson will bring forward a manifesto that will alienate a great number of their core support?
Well a significant element of Tory support falls broadly into the "one nation" category and he's already managing to alienate them and he's fooling himself if he thinks he can get an overall majority without their votes.
 
We have had this conversation already so you know my views.
It certainly needs a good campaign from wee Nicky and I bet she will not fall into the same trap as leavers did. She will have to have answers to questions and a properly constructed plan. You continually underestimate the damage the Tories continue to do to any remaining sentiment of support in Scotland though. Ruth resigning left no unionist leadership in Scotland. Its not a shoe in but your zero chance is frankly laughable and destroys any reasonable points that you might make.
ok - zero was flippant - replace it with highly unlikely that - should the UK have not suffered badly following Brexit that Scotland would leave the Union

But - setting aside that error - I am confident that the points I make are factual and the outcome I predict far more likely as heads will win over hearts

I would be interested in seeing thought through counters to what I say rather than homing in on a little faux pas
 
After the Brexit fiasco that could probably be looked at. What it will be is a choice to go it alone and be readmitted to the EU, which we will, don’t believe the shit about that, it will happen.

Project Fear will kick in because if we crash out then the economic situation in the areas who will be affected by Brexit will be worse. They know that, and if you don’t believe me ask yourself thus. If we are such a burden why hold on to us it’s bullshit. We are discovering new oil fields, another on the west coast that will be a goer once we get rid of Trident on the Clyde.

Yes supporting parties are predicted to win over 70% of the seats if Bawbag Boris has an election. The currency question for me is a no brainer. The £ is at its lowest level in 30 years. It will fall through the floor after brexit and I would have no issue going with the Euro. We can still keep the £ as it is an internationally traded currency and to be honest having us still use it will stabalse it. If we leave it, it will fall even further.

A lot to play for and I’m not starting to count chickens. But, Boris, Hard Exit, any exit, continued Tory rule, a hung parliament, and increase in SNP seats all points to enough has changed.

In the last one 300k vote swing and we would have won. 76% of the 65+ age group voted No, winning it for them. A lot of them will be dead now replaced by younger voters who are predominantly Yes. Also in the last one, every age group apart from 65+ voted a majority Yes.

I hope we hold our nerve, but I am not totally convinced yet. Or probably will be until we win.
Be good if you could answer the points I made in the other post

It is for those reasons that I think - if the UK actually ever leaves the EU - that Scotland will Remain in the Union
 
Just imagine a scenario where remain had won in 2016 and for the next three years MPs in parliment had done all they could to overturn the result and get us to leave. Forcing the PM to leave against his will, against the will of the people. Unthinkable isn't it. I wonder how the self righteous remainers would view that scenario? Because that is how 17.4m people feel now.
 
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