Another new Brexit thread

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Its a fair point, personally I think Scotland should be independent, if that is the democratic outcome I have no issue with it, as I have no issue with leaving the EU because of the democratic outcome.

The problem is though is its an emotive issue and as Brexit has become an issue based on emotion, so would Scotland leaving. The fact we have been in union with Scotland, share a currency, a monarch, a language, even drive on the same side of the road, for over 300 years means we are far more intertwined with Scotland than we are with the EU on an emotions basis.

That emotion is difficult to categorise because we are so intertwined, I would have thought the overwhelming majority have Scottish friends, a lot will have Scottish relatives, far more so than we have EU friends and relatives. That reason alone may be an underlying reason for differing opinions on either subject.

You could even turn it round and say, I am a believer Greater Manchester should leave England and be a state in its own right. How many people who support leaving the EU would support that? Would there be people who voted to remain in the EU who would vote for Greater Manchester to leave England? It would become an emotive issue.

Or maybe they could just be a mix of A, B and C
I agree with the principle that people should vote and decide and decisions should then be honoured.

So if Scotland vote to Leave the UK - then that is their decision

I am just pointing out the inconsistency of what some posters are saying - it frankly means that either they are not thinking it through very well, or the claims that they have made regarding the economic impact to the UK of leaving the EU have been grossly overstated
 
I have more of a clue than you. But then so does practically everyone else on the forum.
Your analysis of the Scotland independence issue is absolutely laughable. If it was anyone else I’d explain why but for you I would be wasting my time.

Oh - please do ensure that the forum benefits from the quality of your analysis

Bring it on - let's see an example of such detailed analysis. It is not just me - I am sure that the entire forum is waiting with bated breath to hear your profound asessments

You are normally just full of insults and ridicule - generally reduced to only offering snide and cheap shots - so this is your chance to show you have some substance

So - set out what - in your opinion - are the Top 10 disadvantages to the UK leaving the EU and we can take it from there, but to help you get started:

What about the importance of maintaining your existing export markets?

What about the importance of trading with those countries geographically close to you - remember the importance of JIT?

What about the ability to cross unhindered across borders?

What about settlement of the WA and associated costs before commencing a trade deal?

What about unravelling 40 years (let alone a lot more) of close working/integration?

Come on - you can do more than just make cheap shots - as Delia would say:

'Let's be having you....'

If you do/can not - that you will have confirmed sooooo much
 
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The EU have always wanted a deal. That's why they expended time, effort and money negotiating a deal with the UKs negotiators under May.
I was referring to mcfc’s assertion that Parliament taking no deal off the table had scuppered the chances of reaching a deal. Whilst I agree that the intention of Parliament was to frustrate Brexit, I actually believe the EU are now at the stage where they just want this done and would be willing to compromise. I don’t think they’d be willing to sacrifice Ireland in the process, but they would be willing to remove the backstop if a sensible alternative can be found.
 
I was referring to mcfc’s assertion that Parliament taking no deal off the table had scuppered the chances of reaching a deal. Whilst I agree that the intention of Parliament was to frustrate Brexit, I actually believe the EU are now at the stage where they just want this done and would be willing to compromise. I don’t think they’d be willing to sacrifice Ireland in the process, but they would be willing to remove the backstop if a sensible alternative can be found.

They have always been willing to remove the 'backstop' that's why it has the name 'backstop' because it is purely there to try & avoid fucking up the Irish border, if no alternative can be negotiated.

If an alternative can be negotiated, there is no & never has been a need for the backstop.
 
Anyone who thinks the EU will force Varadkar or any Irish Leader into establishing a hard border that contravenes the GFA is deluded.

As empty a threat as you will hear in this debate.
 
Don't say I didn't tell you....this is why Johnson doesn't want his 'plan' made public



I'd hope this isn't true, but fear it is.

One thing I am sure of, is that the people behind Brexit have a sinister reason for engineering it, which is not, as they claim, just about pesky Europeans doing stuff to us, it is about pesky European rules which stop them from doing stuff to us.

Unfortunately, many who support it, don't care about the motives of the people they are supporting & are just blindly supporting 'IT' like a religion.
 
I'd hope this isn't true, but fear it is.

One thing I am sure of, is that the people behind Brexit have a sinister reason for engineering it, which is not, as they claim, just about pesky Europeans doing stuff to us, it is about pesky European rules which stop them from doing stuff to us.

Unfortunately, many who support it, don't care about the motives of the people they are supporting & are just blindly supporting 'IT' like a religion.
I agree with you about the dubious motives of the ERG types for wanting brexit. There is just no need for them to push for this as part of the 'deal' though, as once we are out they can do what they want to workers rights. This is a shabby aspect of brexit, but to suggest it's part of the negotiations is likely bollocks.
 
I was referring to mcfc’s assertion that Parliament taking no deal off the table had scuppered the chances of reaching a deal. Whilst I agree that the intention of Parliament was to frustrate Brexit, I actually believe the EU are now at the stage where they just want this done and would be willing to compromise. I don’t think they’d be willing to sacrifice Ireland in the process, but they would be willing to remove the backstop if a sensible alternative can be found.
I think that their compromise will be - remove the 'unfettered' nature of the backstop - although the handling will be important as they and Varadkar cannot be seen to have 'moved' - then after the transition period either agree quietly that the alternative arrangements are satisfactory of retain N.I. in a backstop until some pre-determined criteria is achieved
 
Spain reporting that they will strip immigrant Brits in Spain of all rights in the event of a ‘no deal’ Brexit. Health Sec hits back with a six month health guarantee although that does beg the question of what happens after six months?

‘We’re working to get a new Brexit deal, but we will protect the health of Brits whatever the outcome. So if we leave without a deal we will fund healthcare for UK nationals living in the EU for 6 months following Brexit on 31 Oct’
@MattHancock
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/...k-nationals-living-in-the-eu-after-31-october
 
I agree with you about the dubious motives of the ERG types for wanting brexit. There is just no need for them to push for this as part of the 'deal' though, as once we are out they can do what they want to workers rights. This is a shabby aspect of brexit, but to suggest it's part of the negotiations is likely bollocks.

Unless it's designed to make sure it doesn't get though Parliament.

Because this wouldn't, of course.

Then the usual suspects on here, & similar folk around the country who have allowed their standards to drop thanks to this, would once again blame 'the opposition' for blocking 'a deal'.

So it pushes up Bozo's chances of continuing to act like a fascist dictator & people abandoning all principles & common sense & actually supporting it. And of course more money & chaos for the Disaster Capitalists.

Hopefully you are right though & it's just not a true story. If it is, it's very very bad indeed & things are going to get much worse even than now.
 
They have always been willing to remove the 'backstop' that's why it has the name 'backstop' because it is purely there to try & avoid fucking up the Irish border, if no alternative can be negotiated.

If an alternative can be negotiated, there is no & never has been a need for the backstop.
How can people not understand?

That is gross naivety - the backstop, if unfettered, gives the EU control over the UK's setting of all key economic and trading policies for what ever period of time they so chose
 
How can people not understand?

That is gross naivety - the backstop, if unfettered, gives the EU control over the UK's setting of all key economic and trading policies for what ever period of time they so chose

We know this & it has given Reece Mogg & Co an excuse to vote against a Brexit deal.

It is however A BACKSTOP. It is only there IF AN AGREEMENT CANNOT BE REACHED. So obviously, if they reach one, it can go, today.
 
Anyone who thinks the EU will force Varadkar or any Irish Leader into establishing a hard border that contravenes the GFA is deluded.

As empty a threat as you will hear in this debate.

There will be a customs border. Johnson is currently proposing plans that will see elements of a land border and sea border as well as accepting NI regulatory alignment with the EU on Agri goods. If the U.K. starts to diverge from EU regulatory standards as Johnson wants, ie lower, then the border will get harder. The U.K. now accepts that there will be a border just as we now accept we can’t have the same degree of frictionless trade. May’s ambition for no physical border and to replicate the frictionless trade we currently enjoy have been abandoned.
 
How can people not understand?

That is gross naivety - the backstop, if unfettered, gives the EU control over the UK's setting of all key economic and trading policies for what ever period of time they so chose
yes please..much more trustworthy than westminster, more democratic what could be better?
 
I think that their compromise will be - remove the 'unfettered' nature of the backstop - although the handling will be important as they and Varadkar cannot be seen to have 'moved' - then after the transition period either agree quietly that the alternative arrangements are satisfactory of retain N.I. in a backstop until some pre-determined criteria is achieved

Retaining NI in a NI backstop was initially proposed by the EU in 2017 and is their preferred option. Dublin would also be happy. Not happy will be the DUP and Unionists in NI. For any solution to work it will need Unionist and Nationalist consent. Dual consent is at the heart of the GFA.
 
Retaining NI in a NI backstop was initially proposed by the EU in 2017 and is their preferred option. Dublin would also be happy. Not happy will be the DUP and Unionists in NI. For any solution to work it will need Unionist and Nationalist consent. Dual consent is at the heart of the GFA.

again, i would also state that it is the DUP primarily who do not want it....there are large numbers of Unionists who are happy/OK with it. Not all Unionists vote DUP.

I think it could be good for NI in particular
 
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