BobKowalski
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 17 May 2007
- Messages
- 21,511
Yeah, that's my thinking too. I said weeks ago on one of the threads (can't remember which one), that I felt his best chance of winning a GE was there and then because at that point the Tories were all over the show, and the Brexit negotiations weren't exactly going anywhere. Instead, he's gambled on the Tories imploding still further and by the looks of it, it's backfired on him.
For what’s it worth I think this deal makes Johnson’s electoral chances much worse especially if it’s voted down. Instead of electioneering on ‘do or die’ and ‘Brexit or bust’ the Tories will be campaigning on this deal and like all deals it’s based on compromise. It’s based on NI becoming detached from the Union. It’s based on ECJ rule and oversight in NI and on citizen rights and remaining in the Single Market and CU for at least another 3 years or so. We are still paying billions in a divorce settlement and we will be excluded from all decision making.
Defending this deal is a nuanced position and that makes simple slogans difficult compared to the Brexit Party rhetoric over ‘Johnson’s Surrender Deal’. Labour will play this is as a ‘Trump Brexit deal be fearful for the NHS’ . SNP this deal disadvantages Scotland why can’t we have a bit of what NI has got and Remainers just don’t want to leave full stop.
Johnson would play better as the ‘no deal’ champion and Parliament forced him to extend.
Now he has to defend an actual deal.