Another new Brexit thread

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Spot on mate

It warms my cockles to see so many of those that have been adamant in the view that the only good Brexit is a dead Brexit - now changing their positions.

I see this as a positive development for those of us that have held the line for years

I have wondered in the past whether the strength of argument has been related to just wanting to be on the winning side on an internet forum - starting to think along these lines again.

Perhaps there is a new group forming?

Maybe the collective noun for those evolving their position could be a 'Len' ;-)

Just teasing BTW - before anyone gets precious

We should leave with a deal, it’s still 50/50 in the polls or there abouts and every other direction, than leaving with a deal, will cause further social issues and distrust in the general population.

That said, Brexit is still shit. This deal will still make us poorer and the country weaker.

Just less so than the worst case scenario.

Those of us that are happy for it to pass are just compromising and appreciate a FTA is much much better than no deal.
 
That was probably correct prior to Brexit fatigue kicking in on both sides.
Ha - getting the excuses in early?

If that was even to be remotely plausible then surely Brexit fatigue would be reflected in a massive Remain majority just to 'stop it'.

We have of course been promised this was the case anyway - even without the fatigue factor - have Remainers been over-confident?
 
Either way half the country is pissed off. Scotland is pissed off no matter which way and NI has seen a willingness by the English to have its economy carved out of our Union. Press the brakes or press the accelerator I reckon it’s too late no matter what we do.

The NI sell out was a big line to cross and we crossed it.
Was it? There's 1.8m people in NI, and how many of them are so up in arms? Half perhaps? Most could probably not give a toss. Either see how it goes and stick with it, or up sticks and move to the UK if life is so absolutely intolerable being more closely aligned to EU rules. They WANTED to be aligned with EU rules when they voted Remain FFS.
 
The real fun and games would start when we get into negotiating a free trade deal. There is a belief that we will get a FTA that basically replicates what we have now the full SM and CU membership. There would be a very rude awakening when the detail starts to emerge.
The good news though surely is - should we ever get to that stage having properly left - that 100% of posters on here will be promoting the same best outcome for the UK

Having already left the EU there would be no obvious - to me - logically explanation for anyone on here not whole-heartedly behind securing the best FTA possible. Certainly there cannot be any reason anyone would be on here batting for the EU - could there?
 
Ha - getting the excuses in early?

If that was even to be remotely plausible then surely Brexit fatigue would be reflected in a massive Remain majority just to 'stop it'.

We have of course been promised this was the case anyway - even without the fatigue factor - have Remainers been over-confident?

Most people think passing a deal ‘stops it’

 
Was it? There's 1.8m people in NI, and how many of them are so up in arms? Half perhaps? Most could probably not give a toss. Either see how it goes and stick with it, or up sticks and move to the UK if life is so absolutely intolerable being more closely aligned to EU rules. They WANTED to be aligned with EU rules when they voted Remain FFS.

The DUP and most Unionists do not want a border between NI and mainland Britain. They campaigned for Brexit not Remain. For them it’s not just about economics. It’s about their way of life and their beliefs. It’s going to cause problems and it only takes a small hardcore of Unionists to cause serious problems. That’s just the reality.
 
I just can’t see bercow allowing the vote. He loves the attention and power too much.

Maybe, maybe not. Think there are the votes there. Most would vote for this blind right now.

It’s a bit like the Iraq war vote. You shut your eyes and go with the flow and end up in a mess of shit later.
 
We should leave with a deal, it’s still 50/50 in the polls or there abouts and every other direction, than leaving with a deal, will cause further social issues and distrust in the general population.

That said, Brexit is still shit. This deal will still make us poorer and the country weaker.

Just less so than the worst case scenario.

Those of us that are happy for it to pass are just compromising and appreciate a FTA is much much better than no deal.
I am not looking to provoke anything - and yes I can see absolutely that many will share your view that leaving with this deal is '..... less so (damaging) than the worst case scenario....' which you suggest No-Deal represents.

Just as an aside - and as I say meant non-provocatively - purely from a POV of view of managing negotiations......…….

Whether you absolutely hate the thought or not - can there be any doubt that the last weeks have proven the pressure that a No-Deal outcome can achieve in focussing peoples minds

Everyone has moved - the UK team - the EU team - FFS even posters on here and...…. perhaps even now we are witnessing the HoC moving

Just saying
 
I am not looking to provoke anything - and yes I can see absolutely that many will share your view that leaving with this deal is '..... less so (damaging) than the worst case scenario....' which you suggest No-Deal represents.

Just as an aside - and as I say meant non-provocatively - purely from a POV of view of managing negotiations......…….

Whether you absolutely hate the thought or not - can there be any doubt that the last weeks have proven the pressure that a No-Deal outcome can achieve in focussing peoples minds

Everyone has moved - the UK team - the EU team - FFS even posters on here and...…. perhaps even now we are witnessing the HoC moving

Just saying

It’s moved people in the UK certainly. The opposition have actually worked together to block it and you have people like me that want a deal over it, but I do think a deal over another referendum or revoking is probably the only way through now regardless.

I don’t think the EU have moved, they’ve moved because Johnson has taken something they put forward to us in 2016. They said to Johnson ‘you come to us with a proposal and we’ll consider it, if not it’s up to you to take the WA on offer or no deal’. Johnson buckled and took the Irish Sea border.
 
I am not looking to provoke anything - and yes I can see absolutely that many will share your view that leaving with this deal is '..... less so (damaging) than the worst case scenario....' which you suggest No-Deal represents.

Just as an aside - and as I say meant non-provocatively - purely from a POV of view of managing negotiations......…….

Whether you absolutely hate the thought or not - can there be any doubt that the last weeks have proven the pressure that a No-Deal outcome can achieve in focussing peoples minds

Everyone has moved - the UK team - the EU team - FFS even posters on here and...…. perhaps even now we are witnessing the HoC moving

Just saying

*cough* Benn Act. There is currently no ‘no deal’ pressure. What you are witnessing is pressure to get something done after almost three years. Fatigue and the fact we have run out of options leaving only the terms currently on the table.

Also Johnson pivoted from no deal to get a deal no matter what. So there’s that.
 
Almost 50/50 the UK in one poll :)

UK, Opinium poll:

European Union Membership Referendum

Remain: 49.8%
Leave with Johnson Deal: 50.2%

Fieldwork: 15-17 October 2019
Sample Size: 2,001
Polls are useless imo. I'm certain leave would win in a second ref as most of the UK media is hell bent on us leaving.

When you control the media you usually control the people.
 
This is a genuine question to leavers: If Labour won a GE in the next few months on a second referendum led campaign, what would you feel about that? Would it be democratic and fair enough or would you be seething?
 
We should leave with a deal, it’s still 50/50 in the polls or there abouts and every other direction, than leaving with a deal, will cause further social issues and distrust in the general population.

That said, Brexit is still shit. This deal will still make us poorer and the country weaker.

Just less so than the worst case scenario.

Those of us that are happy for it to pass are just compromising and appreciate a FTA is much much better than no deal.

Personally, I don’t know how anyone can really say if they’re happy or not as there’s been no detail published yet. I can’t say whether that compromise is worth it or not as I don’t know what it fully is.

I do get why people want it to pass regardless, I’m concerned when MPs are happy for that without knowing the detail though, I think that’s a dereliction of duty on their part. Ditto if they reject it without knowing that detail too.
 
This is a genuine question to leavers: If Labour won a GE in the next few months on a second referendum led campaign, what would you feel about that? Would it be democratic and fair enough or would you be seething?
I'll save you time.

They'll say "Leave means Leave!"
 
This is a genuine question to leavers: If Labour won a GE in the next few months on a second referendum led campaign, what would you feel about that? Would it be democratic and fair enough or would you be seething?

I’m not a leaver but will answer anyway-

It’d be absolutely fair enough as that is a mandate to enact their manifesto. That said it wouldn’t put an end to all the madness, it’d kick the can down the road, as the leave support in the UK will push for another referendum, following the 2nd one. We could be here for decades.
 
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