birch villa
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 Mar 2014
- Messages
- 1,548
We got enuff animals on our streets at the momentAre the lions staying 2 metres apart?
We got enuff animals on our streets at the momentAre the lions staying 2 metres apart?
if this is a short hold assured tenancy I’m calling it a hoax.
He can just tell her to fuck off for at least three months.
I think that, if this virus can reinfect people within 18 months, then the game is up really and you’ll never stop it. If you do gain some level of immunity, and the fact that everyone is now talking about an antibody test to see if people (esp healthcare workers) have had it so they can keep working suggests that you can, then the science is irrefutable really. The reason for the lockdown isn’t really about saving lives from the virus as such, it’s so the health service(s) can cope with the demand.Ive posted this questions quite a few times but not had a response and I’m genuinely interested in the science behind this strategy irrespective of the fact that my instincts tell me it will result in significantly more deaths than a solid lock down. Key word in Herd immunity is immunity.
1. how do you implement this without knowing if the infected have immunity to the virus? Every scientific paper I have read still confirms this is currently an unknown factor at this stage on immunity capacity with those infected.
2. the other 4 seasonal harmless Coronavirus are known to reinfect - Sars however has shown that antibodies for that strain are long lasting, but no evidence that it protects you. having antibodies to a virus does not uniformly give you future protection - HIV is just one example, the antibodies produced can’t see the virus. this covid19 has some hiv traits in its molecular structure.
3. If yes, how do you know how long the immunity lasts? Immunity duration periods can depend on the viral load you absorbed. This makes future trigger points (assuming we have immunity) really difficult to calculate and manage in terms of trying to flatten future reinfection episodes.
look lock down is not a silver bullet as phase 2 isn’t being discussed ( we have a propensity to only discuss what is in front of our face unfortunately ) but in my opinion based on nobody so far being able to answer any of the above questions has to be the only option we have and that we have data to draw upon - I accept it’s only really Chinese data at this time.
genuinely interested if you or anyone has theories or data that assists in answering the above.
says 12549 for me, both on country list and below where it lists sources.
No, our death toll was 366, yours is 281. Hopefully this means you won't follow our same exact course.Death rates higher than italy and spain at the same stage
The testing might not be exactly consistent from day to day but it's still a 1000-positive cases difference from yesterday which I wouldn't attribute to testing differences alone. And I'd say the death toll is accurate as it's pretty hard to mess that number up.that’s a really positive sign if accurate
The new cases total in the UK is only serious cases that require medical intervention and as such is only around 8% of the total cases.Why is that the case? They’re saying total new cases.
The bbc is going we are ahead at the same stage,it is confusingI understand it and I'm 22 lol
No, our death toll was 366, yours is 281. Hopefully this means you won't follow our same exact course.
The testing might not be exactly consistent from day to day but it's still a 1000-positive cases difference from yesterday which I wouldn't attribute to testing differences alone. And I'd say the death toll is accurate as it's pretty hard to mess that number up.