COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Yes could do with finding that bar chart thing which had the daily death numbers on it where the UK was tracking along at the exact same rate but 14 days behind. I'm sure we should have had the massive spike by now.

The UK has definitely fallen below Italy and Spain now but they were in lockdown by now whereas the UK pretty much carried on. There might be discrepancy in terms of when Italy and the UK announce their results. Italy might be announcing deaths and cases from a later time in the day but I don't know for sure.
 
It's expected to go up and it will go a lot higher than 87 sadly. But it is worth looking at projections and trajectories because that will guide us, but not by any real degree of certainty, where we're heading. We've said it a lot but these next few days are crucial. From what my expectations were about 4 days ago it's not been a terrible four days in terms of numbers.
Yeah I'd agree thankful it's only 87, sounds a dreadful thing to say.

I do think we'll pay for the 25% of dickheads in the country's actions though shortly.
 
It's expected to go up and it will go a lot higher than 87 sadly. But it is worth looking at projections and trajectories because that will guide us, but not by any real degree of certainty, where we're heading. We've said it a lot but these next few days are crucial. From what my expectations were about 4 days ago it's not been a terrible four days in terms of numbers.

No one really knows anything about this disease though and yes you can compare to Italy, buts it’s going up at different speeds for most countries

It could be 90 people a day for six months now. No one knows
 
3 days ago we were dead level with the growth of the pandemic in Italy.

Since then we've gone from no difference to a 33% difference.

We do look have dropped off abit compared to Italy which I suppose is something. I think % wise the daily increase isn’t at crisis point yet.
 
Does this mean lockdown doesn't work?

There's plenty of examples of lockdown working, Italy have had a drop in deaths the past couple of days (12-15 days after lockdown started). It's why todays numbers are so important because if they drop again it shows a trend rather than just a better couple of days.
 
3 days ago we were dead level with the growth of the pandemic in Italy.

Since then we've gone from no difference to a 33% difference.

We have had a good few days now, the big question is how bad will it get before the lockdown hits the figures in 3 weeks time.
Favourable?
 
went to the shops earlier. Coop had milk first person in tried to get every carton in his trolley ! The manager came and said it was one carton per person. Huge tantrum ensued. Made good viewing but the level of selfishness being displayed is mind blowing.
Remember when the MEN used to have a hall of shame for all the drink drivers caught in the previous week. It might help flagging circulation figures to revive the practise for anyone caught hoarding.
 
I didn't realise that this lock down actually meant anyone can go out washing their cars, people out cutting their front lawns and parents out with their kids playing football.

I know Boris said we can exercise but i thought the idea was to stay indoors if at all possible.
Of course washing cars and cutting lawns is ok!
 
Be careful with comparing death numbers directly,every country has come at this differently,different standard of healthcare etc

No one really knows anything about this disease though and yes you can compare to Italy, buts it’s going up at different speeds for most countries

It could be 90 people a day for six months now. No one knows

Agreed totally. It's just a guide, nothing concrete.
 
I don't know the unhappy couple personally but no doubt they'd be grateful for your good wishes. You're talking comprehension. I'm talking statistical risk of a "gathering" that's less risky than Johnson's recent press conferences.

Heartless, mate.
Maybe you’d be good enough to devise a giant spreadsheet complete with complex algorithms, scoring every conceivable eventuality and setting them into rank order. Then, in column AZ, you can comment on how to implement your plan.

While you’re amusing yourself, the government can get on with trying to manage a fast-changing emergency.
 
Is the PM doing a 5 o’clock speech today? Would like a update from the medical professors also.
 
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