COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[oakiecokie]

I wonder how many apples were expected to fall on his head? Was the graph followed closely or was there a large deviation?

It all depends if its a Grannie Smiths or a Coxs.

 

[Summerbuzz]

FT Graph for cumulative deaths helpfully includes three projected exponentials, doubling in two, three, and four days.

I'm used to the following shorthand approximations:

~20% increase in cumulative total = cumulative total doubles every four days.

~25% increase daily = doubles every three days

~40% daily = doubles every other day.

I'll spare you from anything projecting further into the future than that.

 

[kaz7]

You must be really bored but each to their own. Can't you just create your own?

i wouldn't recognise a dick if i fell over one these days ha

 

[Ban-jani]

Had my first walk today after having to self isolate most of the week.

Most people were in pairs, clearly couples or parents and children, sticking to the rules and ensuring when passing on foot paths that adequate distance was kept.

Then I saw a group of 5/6 scallies on bikes whizz past, spitting as they went and talking like they were from the bronx, when in reality they were probably skinny white lads from Marple.

It’s idiots like that that will contribute to hundreds of people dying unnecessarily.

 

[gordondaviesmoustache]

It all depends if its a Grannie Smiths or a Coxs.

You not run out of Guinness yet then, mate?

 

[Centurions]

i wouldn't recognise a dick if i fell over one these days ha

If you fell over one that would surely put a smile back on your face.

 

[oakiecokie]

i wouldn't recognise a dick if i fell over one these days ha

I bet you did on the last Blue Moon meet up. ;)

 

[SWP's back]

i wouldn't recognise a dick if i fell over one these days ha

I thought you spent 8 hours arm in arm with one vs Villa?

 

[oakiecokie]

You not run out of Guinness yet then, mate?

Unfortunately I have only had 6 bottles of Belgium type beer over the last 3 weeks mate.Hate Guinness in cans.

 

[kaz7]

I bet you did on the last Blue Moon meet up. ;)

Too busy catching the plague for that,i did get to wave a flag at wembley though,brought it home as well,not the wooden bit

 

[kaz7]

I thought you spent 8 hours arm in arm with one vs Villa?

ooh get him @worsleyweb

 

[oakiecokie]

Too busy catching the plague for that,i did get to wave a flag at wembley though,brought it home as well,not the wooden bit

Dare I ask ? What did you do with the wooden bit ?

 

[Chippy_boy]

14th March =21
24th March = 422
A = A0ekt
422= 21ek10
divide both sides by 21
20.09=ek10
K= In(20.09)/10
K=0.3
30% growth rate.

What's your point? The growth rate over the past 2 days has been 50%. Which then is, er, higher than expected. Jeez this is tedious.

 

[kaz7]

Dare I ask ? What did you do with the wooden bit ?

Cup of coffee for oakie !

 

[kaz7]

Bit of unrest starting in italy where food is short,groups forming to storm supermarkets

Deaths up 889 in one day

10,023 in total

 

[Chippy_boy]

My point is more data more better. Looking at a snap shot of one or two days does no-one any favours. The FT graph posted earlier gives a similar trend to the one I demonstrate using the standard formula for calculating K and also shows trends for higher and lower values.

Going fucking apeshit every time a new daily number is published is an overreaction. It's just another data point.

Wind the clock back mate. I didn't "go ape shit". I said the numbers were higher than expected.

Anyway, losing the will to live on this, and need to start cooking dinner. Mushtoom risotto - the wife's favourite. Not mine, but you have to do these things ;-)

 

[goatersnipple]

Bit of unrest starting in italy where food is short,groups forming to storm supermarkets

Where did you hear that..worrying if its true

 

[kaz7]

Where did you hear that..worrying if its true

sky news,they do a report from italy every day

 

[squirtyflower]

Bit of unrest starting in italy where food is short,groups forming to storm supermarkets

Deaths up 889 in one day

10,023 in total

Do you have a source for the storming?

 

[Summerbuzz]

BTW for any cheap bastards / incurable dilettantes / believers in freedom of information during a time of public emergency who would like access to paywalled 'premium' articles and content at the financial times / telegraph / times / new statesman / ny times / scientific american etc...

Firefox (click to install)

https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypas...wnload/v1.6.9/bypass_paywalls-1.6.9-an+fx.xpi

Chrome (read instructions)

https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome