COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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kaz7 said:
The coronavirus reproduction rate differs across the country.

The North West of England currently has the lowest – between 0.9 and 1.1, followed by the North East and London, which are both in line with the national figure of between 1.0 and 1.2.

The South West, South East and East of England have the highest R numbers – with a maximum of 1.4.

The coronavirus reproduction rate in the UK has fallen slightly to a maximum of 1.2, government scientists have said.

Nationwide, the reproduction (R ) number is now between 1.0 and 1.2 – down from between 1.1 and 1.3 last week, according to the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

The number of new COVID-19 cases is increasing by between 1 and 3% every day, they added.
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Please can you provide a link to articles rather than just copying and pasting them. Thanks.
 
Ric said:
Please can you provide a link to articles rather than just copying and pasting them. Thanks.
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It is a blog by sky , rolling news, it is official numbers so not their opinion and can be found everywhere the same as all the other official numbers posted on here
 
If only the cases say it HAD increased by just 1% yesterday Kaz,

Let's hope they do so again tonight. And that big rise in England was illusionary.
 
johnnytapia said:
Young people this year:
Number of 5-24 yr olds died from Covid: 410
Number of 5-24 yr olds died from other causes: 23, 569

There are exceptions for all diseases and yes, some young people will be badly affected but the chances of them becoming ill, short, medium and long term are extremely low. But that wouldn't make a headline would it?
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The odds of long covid are not "extremely low".

there are currently an estimated 300k people in UK with long Covid.


by all accounts.

1 in 5 have it for more than a month.
1 in 20 over 3 months.
 
certainly interesting, not so novel?

www.bmj.com

Covid-19: Do many people have pre-existing immunity?

It seemed a truth universally acknowledged that the human population had no pre-existing immunity to SARS-CoV-2, but is that actually the case? Peter Doshi explores the emerging research on immunological responses Even in local areas that have experienced some of the greatest rises in excess...
www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
 
Mayor of Liverpool says the rapid testing in Liverpool up to today has in the first week tested 90,000 people and only 430 of them tested positive. Under 0.5%. Less than half of those who tested positive had any symptoms.
 
Healdplace said:
These are grim figures for a Friday and the cases are starting to show a bit of a concern too.
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Absolutely. Seems it was only a plateau and not a continual reduction we were having, now on the rise again. Sad news after a little bit of hope the past couple of weeks have given.
 
Healdplace said:
Mayor of Liverpool says the rapid testing in Liverpool up to today has in the first week tested 90,000 people and only 430 of them tested positive. Under 0.5%.
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Which suggests most of the cases are being found by testing and unlike the first wave where we estimated finding only10% or less, the positive case numbers now are fairly accurate indicators of the full extent.
 
Yes blueparrot - testing is the main reason we have a wave.

Its a bit like in Japan where they are currently fearing the onset of a THIRD wave despite the first two barely qualifying as a ripple in UK terms.

For a country twice the population it has had one tenth of our cases across the first two 'waves' and just 1867 deaths, And this 'third wave' is being based on just over 1000 new cases.

Without testing they likely may have barely noticed there was one.
 
shemnel said:
i'm not knowledgeable about seroprevalence and antibodies; could someone please explain why the antibody level is not rising with the massive increase in positive tests? (or maybe it is?) (might be something to do with T-cells?)

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In simplistic terms, people who produce a strong T-Cell response will often mean antibodies are either very few in number or not present at all. T-Cells therefore produce immunity within quite a large part of the population (immunity meaning infection with very mild or no symptoms as well as some who will just never catch it).

One of the key drivers for T-Cell production is the production of Vitamin D and is a huge argument for taking Vitamin D supplements.
Japan have have one of the oldest populations in the world and some of the highest Vitamin D levels, they have had very little by way of lockdown measures but have had less than 2000 Covid deaths.
 
Feels a lot closer to home than the first wave. This week my cousin and husband (in their 40s), sister (40s) and Uncle (70s in a care home) have all been found positive in the Bury area.
 
Wales health minister says in his briefing there are early signs the circuit breaker has worked.

In two of the worst impacted areas the weekly pop score has fallen dramatically (just as we have seen here with places like Oldham and Wigan).

Merthyr Tydfil - the worst area - has dropped from 770 to 420 and Wrexham has fallen way back to 150

No GM borough is close to 150 and 420 is better than all in GM right now bar Stockport, Trafford, Tameside and Manchester.
 
kaz7 said:
long covid is not about dying , anyone can get it , no matter how severe or mildly you have covid , hundreds of thousands have it , young people need to know that they can get long or even permanent illness, it is not about them dying, deny all you like, stop quoting me
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I'm denying nothing Karen. I'm simply putting other stats out there to give a semblance of balance.
 
This is why meeting in private is not allowed , you wont be tempted to do this outside

The Office for National Statistics found that 22% of those polled had had physical contact with at least one other person when socialising indoors in the previous 24 hours.
The ONS said examples of such contact were hugging, shaking or holding hands or making contact when passing objects

 
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