COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[worsleyweb]

Beats Morrisons in Eccles,which is like an episode of The Walking Dead.

i only went in once - what a shithole. Thats where people who live in Worlsy have to go shopping and one of the reasons i left.

 

[Healdplace]

As feared the NW data was probably screwed up yesterday (along with NE and Yorks too but to a lesser degree) and was why numbers were so low as they have gone up significantly today and represent a big chunk of the day to day rise. Though I had feared a little worse.

And London still has more cases.

London 1964 - down from 2069

Midlands 1435 - down from 1718

North East 638 - UP from 528

Yorkshire 1237 - UP from 1119

And North West 1689 - UP from 802 and more than doubled - a number which was almost certainly significantly under reported yesterday.

As I noted then when posting the results - given the astonishingly low data it created for Greater Manchester - it was hard to take as genuine.

Would not be surprised if around 1200/1300 both days was more accurate.

 

[shemnel]

cases per 100k per LA, seven day rolling rate. Up to and including 26/11

Cumbria right down, Liverpool is plummeting, Manchester & Lancashire decreasing. Lancaster having something of a little rise since its day in the sun a few days back!! still tier 3 though, and not doing itself favours for any review.

 

[Ban-jani]

603 deaths tragic.
Cases are falling and may drop further but at the END of the lock down I'm not sure whether that figure is low enough.

I don’t think it is but, whilst I’m not one of those blaming schools, hopefully if they do shut them a bit earlier this year, that will somewhat make up for the lockdown ending, meaning it doesn’t jump too much.

603 deaths on the last day of lockdown is tragic.

 

[Healdplace]

Greater Manchester news. Not a disaster - though everywhere up.

Not as impacted by the increase as other parts of the NW and the GM percentage of the NW total fell again fron yesterday's low low numbers to just 43% - confirming that.

Total today is 731 - double yesterdays very unlikely 351 but still pretty low - though not falling really week to week - the total last Tuesday was 721 - 10 fewer. With 763 the day before.

So across the two days if we suspect low data yesterday that is 1484 last wk over those two days v 1082 over them this wk.

We will have to see what happens tomorrow to judge if there is any pattern emerging.

Every borough was up on yesterday naturally and Manchester back up above 100. But everywhere else was still in just double figures.

Oh and for residents of Oldham - you had fewer cases than Stockport - which looked impossible a week or two ago.

Admittedly by just 1 case. But nonetheless a sign of great progress there.

 

[FantasyIreland]

i only went in once - what a shithole. Thats where people who live in Worlsy have to go shopping and one of the reasons i left.

Agreed,it makes Eden Sq look posh.

 

[kaz7]

13,430 & 603

Shocking numbers of deaths again. Yes i know it is tuesday , they are still sad numbers , winter hasnt even got going yet

 

[kaz7]

The Department of Health and Social Care has said that more than a million tests will be sent to care home providers over the next month to allow safe indoor visits.

Visits will be able to happen across all tiers and will begin on Wednesday.

COVID-19: Family members allowed to visit relatives in care homes if they test negative

Visits will be able to happen across all tiers and will begin on Wednesday, the government has announced.

news.sky.com

 

[Mayor West]

Shocking numbers of deaths again. Yes i know it is tuesday , they are still sad numbers , winter hasnt even got going yet

Got to least try to look on the bright side though, I fair few of those 603 wont actually be covid.

 

[kaz7]

Got to least try to look on the bright side though, I fair few of those 603 wont actually be covid.

That is a ridiculous way to look at it , sorry

 

[blueparrot]

Shocking numbers of deaths again. Yes i know it is tuesday , they are still sad numbers , winter hasnt even got going yet

The 13,430 isn’t shocking it’s a continuation of reducing new cases. The deaths while sad are a product of cases being over 20,000 3 weeks ago and we knew they were coming.We know they’ll start to fall if cases keep falling.

 

[shemnel]

Does anyone know how often nurses, teachers, front line workers etc get tested?

 

[Mayor West]

That is a ridiculous way to look at it , sorry

Is it? Why? Surely it brings the actual covid deaths down? How is that a bad thing?

 

[Churchlawtonblue]

Got to least try to look on the bright side though, I fair few of those 603 wont actually be covid.

dont get Kaz started pls. She will tell you that number is actually much higher.

 

[blue b4 the moon]

Greater Manchester news. Not a disaster - though everywhere up.

Not as impacted by the increase as other parts of the NW and the GM percentage of the NW total fell again fron yesterday's low low numbers to just 43% - confirming that.

Total today is 731 - double yesterdays very unlikely 351 but still pretty low - though not falling really week to week - the total last Tuesday was 721 - 10 fewer. With 763 the day before.

So across the two days if we suspect low data yesterday that is 1484 last wk over those two days v 1082 over them this wk.

We will have to see what happens tomorrow to judge if there is any pattern emerging.

Every borough was up on yesterday naturally and Manchester back up above 100. But everywhere else was still in just double figures.

Oh and for residents of Oldham - you had fewer cases than Stockport - which looked impossible a week or two ago.

Admittedly by just 1 case. But nonetheless a sign of great progress there.

That's fantastic news for Oldham, makes me wonder if that many have had it who are out & about there's hardly anyone whose not being ultra careful left to get it....that's perhaps wishful thinking.

 

[FantasyIreland]

Does anyone know how often nurses, teachers, front line workers etc get tested?

Im once a week currently.

 

[Gaylord du Bois]

I hope 2021 is better than this cluster fuck of a year but I'm not holding my breath.

Please do ;)

 

[Healdplace]

Someone has plotted out the cases based on the actual numbers after redistribution to day of positive test. Which means it runs up to about 5 days ago.

What they found was that the case numbers stalled and then peaked around 9 November. Which matches exactly the date of the previous peak number of England hospital deaths. When they seemed to stabilise.

You would expect a lag between cases stalling then falling if translating into deaths. And at present the highest date for deaths is 9 days after that high point for cases - being right now 316 on 18 Nov.

That sounds about the right kind of lag we might expect.

 

[Healdplace]

Of course, what happens when lockdown ends and tiers arrive for 3 weeks or so tomorrow is hard to say. But it seems unlikely it will be as successful as this national policy - which is worrying.

I do rather fear that the five days of Christmas may unfortunately this year need rewriting

Potentially they will bring five bold rings from the test and trace ap telling who you just met over a party drink that tested positive, four calling birds tweeting you to now urgently self isolate as that guy dressed as Father Christmas you just had a beer with has now tested positive, three French hens telling Boris all travel to and from Britain will be banned once Brexit arrives on 1 Jan to protect their nation from the now highly infected Britain, two turtle doves ignoring social distancing and spreading the virus as they kiss and cuddle unaware what fate that will bring them a week later and a partridge in a pear tree keeping well away from all the revellers inside their houses as it is a darned sight safer out there in the cold than inside those houses now.

 

[Out on blue 6]

Im once a week currently.

My missus works in the NHS and she bought a box of flow tests home to be used twice a week just for herself. She has enough to last 3 months. Everyone she says in the hospital got a box.