Coronavirus (2021) thread

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roubaixtuesday said:
But possible to minimise.

Less cases = less chances to mutate
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The Government's priority though is not to minimise cases but to minimise hospitalisations (subject to break point reviews at which cases would be one of the factors monitored).
So for example school opening and non retail could have been delayed with a view to try and get cases down to hundreds and reduce the risk of variants and if any did emerge giving you more chance to track and trace. Tightening borders even more would also help.
These measures of course would keep us in lockdown longer and not allow the economy to recover as quickly.
Not saying the Government's plan is wrong.
There is risk in all scenarios.
 
feelymcfeel said:
I agree with this. I think there is a bit more that's gone into the 21st June end date than has been publicly declared.
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Yep, that date was known pre Christmas, I got briefed on it in mid December.

It could be sooner than that too, the capacity is there to more than double the speed of the rollout, it’s the supply that will dictate it more.
 
meltonblue said:
Yep, that date was known pre Christmas, I got briefed on it in mid December.

It could be sooner than that too, the capacity is there to more than double the speed of the rollout, it’s the supply that will dictate it more.
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And the government knows what the supply schedule is. They wouldn’t be publicly saying they will double the rate of vaccinations if they weren’t confident of supply. Moderna will be coming on stream and I reckon that they know that there will be supply of the J&J single shot vaccine available too.

The fact that both current vaccines are providing unbelievable results that are way beyond expectations combined with increased supply & more options is a fantastic position to be in.
 
Not sure we even need the calculator anymore. Vaccination rate seems to be about 3m a week - it dropped to about 2.5m the last couple of weeks due to the drop in supply (or maybe stockpiling based on today's comments?)

Anyway, with 33m first jabs to go, if the rate keeps at around 2.5m first vaccinations per week, everybody should have had a shot by first week in June, which would be fantastic.

Any news on when J&J would be available if approved? If this was used for all under 30s then we could indeed be done by the mid-end June.
 
Invisible Man's Bandage said:
And the government knows what the supply schedule is. They wouldn’t be publicly saying they will double the rate of vaccinations if they weren’t confident of supply. Moderna will be coming on stream and I reckon that they know that there will be supply of the J&J single shot vaccine available too.

The fact that both current vaccines are providing unbelievable results that are way beyond expectations combined with increased supply & more options is a fantastic position to be in.
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Correct, not just the government too, we’re fine supply wise for the foreseeable.
 
M18CTID said:
Hilarious. No-one's put a gun to his head and forced him to have the jab. But his actions confirm something I predicted - that the shouty bastards saying they definitely won't be having the vaccine will fold like a pack of cards when they realise that it might stop them doing the things they want to do. Many will try to claim that they haven't had it but will get it on the sly so they can fuck off to Benidorm or wherever on the piss with their mates.

I will add that while Hitchens and Swayne are most definitely right wing, Covid deniers exist across the whole political spectrum. I've got one on my FB who is left wing and has been sharing various conspiracy theories claiming all sorts, and inferring that the government is pretty much making it all up. He's gone quiet on the topic recently. Maybe because he remembered that the company he works for is wholly owned by the government so spreading lies and misinformation about Covid isn't his wisest move.
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or he may have gone quiet coz he too has had the jab lol
 
Nellies left peg said:
That would seem rather quick wouldn't it?. My missus had her Pfizer jab yesterday and no side effects, just a sore arm at injection site. So happy days.
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Had mine (also Pfizer) on Saturday morning. Had an achy upper arm / shoulder at point of injection for about 24 hours and really stiff and achy legs for around the same time. Not sure if the latter was due to going for a run on Friday morning for the 1st time in ages or a side effect of the vaccination, or a bit of both !!!
Anyway, really efficient operation at Staffordshire County Showground. Was in and out before the actual booked appointment time, including the 15 minutes for "observation".
 
Strangeways, Brinnington, Burnden, Adswood and Abram in the 6 day old data are the only five areas in Greater Manchester in the red watch zone with a very localised pop score of over 400 (more than double any borough in GM including Mancheser, Bolton and Stockport as a whole).

Strangways at 717 is the highest, Brinnington at 568, Burnden in Bolton at 499 and Adswood at 453 are the top red watch scores as of 23 Feb. As this is based on cases allocated to the actual date of test so runs nearly a week behind to allow that process to be completed.

Abram in Wigan is at 438 but was going down. The others were heading up - though only Brinnington to a significant degree and increasing its pace not slowing.

Data has improved in Manchester, Bolton and Stockport over the past week in the daily data so I expect these areas might be better now than they were then.

Hopefully.
 
Wales data:

3 deaths - was 9 last week

All three deaths were in the North Wales health board of Betsi Cadwaladr

193 cases - was 319 last week

2.2% positivity - was 3.2% last week

Weekly Pop Score 64 - down from 67 yesterday - was 80 last week

Great set of numbers to start the week.
 
Scotland update:

0 deaths - was 0 last week (Sunday registration means this is common)

386 cases - was 715 last week

123 Greater Glasgow, 70 Lothian, 51 Lanarkshire

4.5% positivity - was 6.6% last week

824 patients - down 13 on yesterday - was 1141 last week

71 ventilated - down 7 on yesterday - was 99 last week

Another really good set of numbers to start the week
 
Both Wales and Scotland have not updated their vaccination data from yesterday.

There has been our old friend 'an IT error' so these are delayed but hope to be fixed in a couple of hours.

However, Wales has announced they passed the one million mark for total vaccinations and the 100,000 total for people with BOTH doses yesterday. Which means at least 36,585 first doses were done yesterday as they were at 963, 415.

Wales have also given 3% of its population both doses which they claim is the highest proportion of any nation.
 
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