Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Scotland Data:

22 deaths - was 27 last week

591 cases - was 500 last week

2.5% positivity - same as last week

556 patients - down 26 in day - was 726 last week

46 ventilated icu - down 4 on yesterday - was 69 last week
 
Scotland vaccination update:

1, 825, 800 first doses given - 16, 642 today - was 19, 781 yesterday & 26, 729 last week

141, 433 second doses given - 8673 today - was 9074 yesterday & 7508 last week

100 % (approx) of all aged 65 - 69 vaccinated

45% of all aged 60 - 64 vaccinated

38% of all aged 55 - 59 vaccinated

31% of all aged 50 - 54 vaccinated
 
Wales vaccination update:

1, 034, 141 first doses given - 14, 931 today - was 11, 819 yesterday & 9523 last week

221, 902 second doses given - 15, 508 today - was 14, 364 yesterday & 14, 664 last week
 
The Gov UK dashboard have just posted about an update regarding testing data:-

QUOTE

We have introduced a new card + 12 new metrics for cases in England on the UK Coronavirus Dashboard. You can now see the number of cases by test type (specimen date). This includes positive results from PCR tests, LFD tests, and LDF tests confirmed by PCR.

Anyone understand these tests enough to suggest which should be used / not used in creating a meaningful positivity rating. Or is that still impossible given the range of tests now counted?

They have confirmed - too - that they do NOT duplicate cases - so if someone tests positive by two methods it is only recorded as one case.
 
Zoe App prediction of infections today falls again - by 238 - to 5493.

I do wonder if it might just be the lockdown erosion effect that makes people less likely to report than when it was regarded as necessary to comply with the rules and less so if people feel we are coming out of this.
 
Any of our scientists here able to comment on how concerned we should be that some Euro nations have again stopped use of the AZ/Oxford vaccine after claims one batch (not apparently used in the UK) has been associated with several reported blood clots?

There do not seem to be any reports from the UK where you would assume this would be apparent if a factor of the vaccine given we surely have vaccinated more with it here than any other country? And started earlier.

It is likely just precautionary based on a handful of cases. But AZ does not need more bad publicity if it has substance even in a single batch.
 
Any of our scientists here able to comment on how concerned we should be that some Euro nations have again stopped use of the AZ/Oxford vaccine after claims one batch (not apparently used in the UK) has been associated with several reported blood clots?

There do not seem to be any reports from the UK where you would assume this would be apparent if a factor of the vaccine given we surely have vaccinated more with it here than any other country? And started earlier.

It is likely just precautionary based on a handful of cases. But AZ does not need more bad publicity if it has substance even in a single batch.

However, a preliminary review by the EMA’s safety committee said there is “no indication that the vaccination has caused these conditions, which are not listed as side effects with this vaccine.”

Batch ABV5300 was delivered to 17 EU countries and comprises 1 million doses of the vaccine.

Several other European countries including Denmark, Estonia, Lithuania, Luxembourg and Latvia, also subsequently suspended this batch as a precautionary measure, while the investigation is ongoing.
 
As mentioned the other day, I had someone (anti-vaxx during the past year) suggest someone on his street had the vaccine (he was in his 30's) and is now in ICU and they're not sure if he would pull through.
I've not heard anything since this was said during a conversation but how feasible is this?

He himself won't have the vaccine as he's had (apparently) two anaphylactic shocks over the past ten years and also a fear of needles, but if he'd said this from day one (and not falling down a qanon rabbit hole) I'd perhaps take it a little more seriously.
 

However, a preliminary review by the EMA’s safety committee said there is “no indication that the vaccination has caused these conditions, which are not listed as side effects with this vaccine.”

Batch ABV5300 was delivered to 17 EU countries and comprises 1 million doses of the vaccine.

Several other European countries including Denmark, Estonia, Lithuania, Luxembourg and Latvia, also subsequently suspended this batch as a precautionary measure, while the investigation is ongoing.
Thank you. Sensible to be cautious. Wise not to over react.
 
England hospital deaths: 159 - with 22 from North West.

Not a big drop from 184 and 30 last week.....but again a huge backlog

Only 117 of them were in the past month. The other 42 are 4 weeks or more older - January 18 - the peak of this second wave when the most died in England hospitals on one day - over 860 - still adds 6 today two months later.

I assume quite a bit of back auditing today. And some will be excluded or double counted when todays total is announced later.
 
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As mentioned the other day, I had someone (anti-vaxx during the past year) suggest someone on his street had the vaccine (he was in his 30's) and is now in ICU and they're not sure if he would pull through.
I've not heard anything since this was said during a conversation but how feasible is this?

He himself won't have the vaccine as he's had (apparently) two anaphylactic shocks over the past ten years and also a fear of needles, but if he'd said this from day one (and not falling down a qanon rabbit hole) I'd perhaps take it a little more seriously.

Its possisble if that person had an anaphaltic reaction to it I guess.

but its just as likely they fell down some stairs or got hit by a bus and they are correlating it to the vaccine.

Or. its all made up bullshit.
 
As mentioned the other day, I had someone (anti-vaxx during the past year) suggest someone on his street had the vaccine (he was in his 30's) and is now in ICU and they're not sure if he would pull through.
I've not heard anything since this was said during a conversation but how feasible is this?

He himself won't have the vaccine as he's had (apparently) two anaphylactic shocks over the past ten years and also a fear of needles, but if he'd said this from day one (and not falling down a qanon rabbit hole) I'd perhaps take it a little more seriously.

How come it's always anti-vaxxers that know bad stories like this and never anyone who isn't anti-vax? Genuine question. You'd think some of us by now without scepticism would have come across a similar story given how many had had a jab, but it's only ever people who are against them in the first place.
 
Any of our scientists here able to comment on how concerned we should be that some Euro nations have again stopped use of the AZ/Oxford vaccine after claims one batch (not apparently used in the UK) has been associated with several reported blood clots?

There do not seem to be any reports from the UK where you would assume this would be apparent if a factor of the vaccine given we surely have vaccinated more with it here than any other country? And started earlier.

It is likely just precautionary based on a handful of cases. But AZ does not need more bad publicity if it has substance even in a single batch.
What I've heard early is that the incidence of blood clots does not exceed the expected incidence in the general population and typically blood clots are 'over diagnosed' I.e. doctors get overzealous with the symptoms.

Your second sentence is key I feel. Time will tell.

MHRA Statement here:
 
I had a missed call yesterday, Googled the number and realised it was my GP. Called them back and they were ringing to offer me the vaccine. Myself and partner booked in for AZ this Sunday.

I'm in my late 20s with nothing on my record to class me remotely as high risk; partner very much the same. I feel a bit guilty and told the receptionist of my shock to be called so early, but I'm not going to look a gift horse in the mouth.
 
Northern Ireland data:

9 deaths - was3 last week

223 cases - was 163 last week

10.6 % positive - was 9.8% last week

Weekly 7 day total 1277 - up from 1216 yesterday - was 1305 last week

17 Care Home outbreaks - up from 16 yesterday - was 20 last week

189 Patients - down 23 in day - was 257 last week

19 ventilated - same as yesterday - was 27 last week


A few signs of concern in cases and positivity rising and care homes up for first time in weeks.


THe weekly cases total has plateaued too around 1200 - 1300.

Guess we will watch and see if this is just insignificant and school related - especially as the really key factrs - patients and ventilated patients are still going down.
 
I had a missed call yesterday, Googled the number and realised it was my GP. Called them back and they were ringing to offer me the vaccine. Myself and partner booked in for AZ this Sunday.

I'm in my late 20s with nothing on my record to class me remotely as high risk; partner very much the same. I feel a bit guilty and told the receptionist of my shock to be called so early, but I'm not going to look a gift horse in the mouth.
As you should not. It is down to the health centre and area you live in and some have few older or vulnerable people living locally so get down to younger ages more quickly.

But they are speeding this up everywhere. The vaccination programme has been superbly organised. A big advantage created by our National Health System and a reminder of how lucky we are and foresighted to have created that after the war. We should never take it for granted when you see how many less joined up nations driven by private healthy care in multiple forms are doing trying to organise with no such cohesion.

Oh and my niece who is at uni and just 22 has her jab this week too. She was as surprised as you. But this is going to be more and more common as we accelerate round the last bend.
 
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