Paris Saint-Germain (A) - CL SF | Pre-Match Thread

Result Prediction


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Its a massive decision Stones v Laporte.

Laporte will be fine and has just scored a winner in the cup final, but Stones has also scored goals this year and tbh Laporte got turned a few times today on the counter.

Also zinch v cancelo i couldnt call either

I’d be shocked if Gabby plays - Kev has been wonderful up front in europe and Bernardo gives those extra legs in midfield. Foden and Mahrez pick themselves and are bang in form.

Rotation doesnt come into it now; the league is done as fuck.
 
Ederson
Walker
Stones
Dias
Zinchenko
Rodri
De Bruyne
Gundogan
Mahrez
Bernardo
Foden

We'll have loads of posession and will get plenty of chances, we just have to make sure we take them. A repeat of today's performance/score will do, but I'd rather see us bring at least a two goal lead back to the Etihad.
 
Sadly football is not quite as simple as that.

The PSG United game is a completely different dynamic to the one we will play. For starters we will be trying to dominate the ball and will look to play high up the pitch which will obviously leave a lot of space in behind for mbappe to exploit if we don’t control their counter attacks. PSG are most dangerous when they are counter attacking.

United however like to sit in deep and counter themselves which meant PSG had to take the game to them something they are not brilliant at (you Only have to look at their record in the french league to see this). Like with boxing styles make fights and imo United are set up perfectly to stop PSG.

If we have a slight advantage going into the home leg the following week I’d be delighted. This will be incredibly tough they are fantastic at what we struggle against and have World class forwards in neymar and mbappe . Im not confident tbh.
Agreed, PSG beat Bayern pretty much on the counter, they are deadly at that. The game in Munich, Bayern 31 shots, PSG 6, yet PSG won 3-2.
 
Having watched the PSG v Bayern quarter finals both of their defences were vulnerable our defence as a unit is at a different level , we give very few chances away and that is what will get us through to the final. Our forward play is brilliant at times but our finishing is also dire at times , we are short of a predator in the penalty box a striker with a nose for goal and that is why our chance conversion rate is poor.
If we have our shooting boots on we will tear PSG apart and the second leg will be a formality , but we need to rectify the striker situation in the summer.
 
Taking chances is the key to this game. We have to be more clinical. I expect Bernardo to play (For Sterling) and Ederson. The decisions are Stones or Laporte / Cancelo or Zinchenko. I think he will go Laporte/Zinchenko

Having said that, why didn’t Jesus play today if he isn’t in the frame for Wed, especially after being hooked at HT against Villa? I was expecting him to be in the line up today. That one may be the surprise and if Pep picks him then it may be Foden to miss out. Be interesting to see what Pep does there.
Phil has to play mate, would be a shocking decision to leave him out.
 


Referee Appointments: UEFA announces the Refs only two days before the game, so we'll find out who they're sending for us at approx. 9:10am tomorrow (Monday) morning ... at which point I will update the header above.

The much hated Senor Lahoz is certainly one UEFA can send our way but I am hoping due to the recent patch up with them and especially after Aleksander Čeferin's glowing statement when we pulled out of the Super League, he might send us someone else, perhaps his fellow Slovenian Slavko Vinčić or the Turkish Cüneyt Çakır. Those are the only two high-ranking non-English and non-French officials I can think of now given the Dutch Danny Makkelie has already been appointed to the other Semi Final between Real Madrid and Chelsea. It is not going to be who the ref is but what he his brief has been and I guess we'll find out if PSG remaining on the side of UEFA in last week's saga gets rewarded in the some way.





Home Fronts

While we are pretty much in control of the Premier League title race, the same can't be said for PSG. They are right in the fight for the Ligue 1 title, which in recent seasons gone by, has been a formality for them. But I am not sure if that is a good thing for us or not ... as in previous years when they have won their league rather comfortably and early (usually by now), then by the time they get to the later stages of the Champions League they have dropped that week-to-week intensity in their weekend games having swooped up most of their domestic titles ... but this year being involved in a proper fight for the title might actually help them. This is how the Ligue 1 table stand after yesterday’s ties that included PSG’s game this weekend. Lille who were right on top till last week might re-take that top spot by the end of today as they don’t play till later this evening.



And a quick head-to-head reminder ... we have played them three times in total, most recent of which were the double legged ties in a previous Champions League campaign at the Quarter Final stage of the 15/16 season. We managed to draw 2-2 away before winning 1-0 at home and thus qualified for our first ever Champions League Semi Final. The man of the match performances of Kevin de Bruyne in both legs are still fondly remembered by us to this date. The third tie between the two was a nil-nil draw in UEFA Cup back in 2008, which essentially was a dead rubber for PSG who had already qualified.




Avant et Après
(Before & After)


The slightest little advantage at this stage of the season counts for a lot ... and in that scheduling sense they have that over us if you look at both legs and the three games around them as a whole.

Their before and after games have an extra day at each end (of these five game blocks) while we get a day less. Our games are both bigger in terms of a domestic cup final and Chelsea at the other end (although that one might be dead rubber by the time we play it, if we have won the title by then, or it could even be the one we win the title at). And the game sandwiched in between the two ties is at home for them while we will have to travel to South London. Small little margins but these could be the difference in terms of who has more tired legs towards the final minutes of these Semi Final ties.



This is how the next two weeks look for both teams:

Paris Saint-Germain

Sat 24 - 5:00pm - Metz (A) - Ligue 1
Wed 28 - 9:00pm - City (H) - CL SF
Sat 1 - 5:00pm - Lens (H) - Ligue 1
Tue 4 - 9:00pm - City (A) - CL SF
Sun 9 - 5:00pm - Rennes (A) - Ligue 1


Manchester City
Sun 25 - 4:30pm - Spurs (N) - Cup Final
Wed 28 - 8:00pm - PSG (A) - CL SF
Sat 1 - 12:30pm - Palace (A) - PL
Tue 4 - 8:00pm - PSG (H) - CL SF
Sat 8 - 5:30pm - Chelsea (H) - PL


All times listed above are local to the teams. France is in Western European Time zone which is GMT+1




The Opposing Manager

Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero - the Argentinian is well known to us so not a lot needs to be said about him here. It’s funny though that when we wanted him to succeed Pep at City and were all building him up, the same stats and hype was used to describe how he got his rather under-par team involved in the Premier League title race or how he got that same Spurs side to a Champions League Final ... but then when we’re upset by how jammy he has been at times especially against us, then the same stats are presented as to how he bottled the title race and allowed Leicester to win that season or then bottled the Champions League Final as well.




Is he underrated or overrated seems to depend on what mood you’re in that day and how you want to see him. Instead of giving you my opinion of him, I’d just list down his managerial career highlights (which frankly aren't many) and let you make up your own mind ...

After retiring as a player (central defender), Pochettino began his managerial career at Espanyol in 2009. He left the club in 2012 after poor results and financial disputes. In 2013, he came to the Premier League and took over Southampton whom he took to an eighth-place finish in the 2013/14 season, equalling the Saints' highest finish in the league. He then signed for Spurs in 2014, finishing as the league runner-up (behind Leicester) in the 2016/17 and then Champions League runner-up in 2019 ... before eventually being dismissed after a string of poor results at the start of the very next season after that. He has now returned to Paris Saint-Germain just in 2021 as their head coach, the team whom he had played for in his playing career as well.





Pep v Poch

More than City v PSG’s head-to-head record, it’s probably worth looking at the two managers record against each other given the two clubs haven’t really played each other that much apart from the three games I mentioned at the start. For what it’s worth, we can at least boast about being undefeated against PSG.

Pep has however faced Pochettino 18 times ... the third highest no. of games that he has faced against another manager after Mourinho (25) and Klopp (21). He has won 10 of those, while Poch came on top three times and the remaining five were draws between the two coaches.

Here is the complete record of the games between the two ...






Pre-Match Thoughts

Big week for both teams leading up to this ... PSG were in their domestic cup action on Wednesday with a quarter-final tie at home to Angers, before travelling to Metz (yesterday) as they looked to keep pace with Ligue 1 leaders Lille (the game that they won and claimed the top spot, at least for now - see Ligue 1 table above in an earlier section).

City on the other had likewise had two important fixtures prior to this Semi Final meeting in Paris, starting with a visit to Aston Villa on Wednesday which was all the more important due to the loss to Leeds in the league last time out so consolidation of our lead at the top and getting back to winning ways was important. Then this weekend we have the EFL Cup Final.

How did the two teams get on this week? Paris booked their place in the French Cup semi-finals with a comfortable 5-0 home win against Angers on Wednesday 21st April. Mauro Icardi got his second hat-trick for the club with fourth being an own goal and a Neymar finish completing the scoring. Kylian Mbappé then scored twice yesterday but limped off injured as PSG won 3-1 at Metz (but latest reports have him declared fit for the game against us). Mbappé showed his pace to get an early opener and, after Metz had levelled; he made it 2-1 with an opportunist effort just before the hour. Just after Mbappé had been replaced, Mauro Icardi's 89th-minute Panencka penalty ensured Paris went top overnight.


As for City ... I can't say about the Cup Final yet (as that game is only later on today and I am drafting this slightly earlier on Sunday) and as little is said about our FA Cup semi-final last weekend the better. On Wednesday though, the same night PSG was involved in their Cup quarter-final, we were away at Villa ... where we went behind within the first half-a-minute, but a superb team goal (at the end of which was our star boy Phil the Foden) and a second one soon after that by Rodri turned the tables before John Stones’ dismissal just before the break made matters a little complicated. However, Villa lost their man advantage when Matty Cash lost his head a bit after being given a run around too many times by Phil Foden and was shown two yellows within three minutes of each other. That victory leaves us 11 points clear at the top of the table (as of Sunday morning, before United play away at Leeds later on today) ... and well in control of the Premier League.

Looking Ahead

The game on Wednesday won't be a walk in the Parc (des Princes) ... they are slightly more experienced in the Champions League later stages now and were the finalists just a few months ago in that late summer edition of last season's tournament in Portugal. Plus like I said at the start, this time they are in the thick of things at the domestic front so the team hasn't dropped any intensity which is something they have struggled with collectively in the past.

City on the other hand isn't at the peak of their powers that saw us go on that in. cre. di. ble. run between January and March. The recent losses against Leeds and Chelsea are fresh in our minds but they both can be discounted due to much changed line-ups and perhaps too much focus on this competition instead. This is only the second time in our history that we have made it to the Semi Finals of the Champions League and first under Guardiola in his fifth season with us. Before that Pep failed at the Semi Finals stage with Bayern three seasons running so he looks well determined this time around to not only get us to the Semi Finals (which he has) but would certainly be motivated to take us beyond as well.





The Line-ups

It is almost impossible to predict a Pep line-up or the opposition's formation whom we don't see week-in week-out ... but basing on injury news and seeing how the two teams lined up in their respective Quarter Finals just a few weeks ago, I guess we would see PSG line up in their favoured 4-2-3-1 and City sticking to their usual very fluid 4-3-3 formation with KdB as the false-nine up front ... please, please, please, please Pep don't do something strange now or try that double pivot again to try and match their 4-2-3-1 as that just doesn't work for us or suit the personnel we have.


Paris Saint-Germain

Navas
Dagba, Marquinhos (C), Kimpembe, Diallo
Gueye, Paredes
Di María, Neymar, Draxler
Mbappé



Manchester City


Ederson
Walker, Stones, Dias, Zinchenko
Silva, Rodri, Gündoğan
Mahrez, De Bruyne (C), Foden


As much as the focus will be up front where we could do with the individual brilliance of Mahrez, the ever-dependable KdB or the shining star in Foden ... the single most important person in our line-up above who will be the reason we get to our first Champions League final, in my humble opinion will be Rúben dos Santos Gato Alves Dias ... and the guy next to him!




Match Prediction

Neymar is going to score one, or at the very least going to dive for one (pen) ... Mbappé is going to score one, as he is just in that kind of form (and let’s hope and pray that it’s just one) ... Foden on other hand is our in-form player, so I'd like to think he is going to get at least one ... and KdB just always gets one against them, so that’s another for us!


That is four goals right there between the usual suspects. Normally when a game is this hyped-up or suspected of a goals galore, it ends up in a boring nil-nil ... I very much doubt this one will go that way though ... and I’d happily take two away goals for us and no lead for them in the first leg.

Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 2 Manchester City

Great write up as always
 
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Phil has to play mate, would be a shocking decision to leave him out.

I hope so too. Maybe Pep has lost a bit of faith in Jesus but it was strange to see him out of the line up today and never looking likely to come on. I’m sure you will be right. It’s hard to guess what he will do.
 
Think we can beat them over two legs, but a bit surprised by the bookies odds for this particular game (we’re evens, they’re 2/1). Obviously home advantage is less now without fans, but even so that seems generous.
 
With Zincs lack of pace wonder if Laporte plays left back. Cancelo defended well at left back although I think he will be sub with Walker at right back.

I'd hope Pep goes

Eddy
Walker Stones Dias Laporte
Rodri Kev Gundogan
Mahrez Jesus Foden

Poch at Spurs usually played a counter attacking footie & Mbappe for Psg battered Bayern on the counter, even though the German Rags were the better team.
Pep cannot afford to play a high defensive line in Paris. Spurs today as poor as they were, looked dangerous on the counter. Would take a cagy 1-0 win & 2-1 defeat isnt a disaster but we have to score at least 1
 
Taking chances is the key to this game. We have to be more clinical. I expect Bernardo to play (For Sterling) and Ederson. The decisions are Stones or Laporte / Cancelo or Zinchenko. I think he will go Laporte/Zinchenko

Having said that, why didn’t Jesus play today if he isn’t in the frame for Wed, especially after being hooked at HT against Villa? I was expecting him to be in the line up today. That one may be the surprise and if Pep picks him then it may be Foden to miss out. Be interesting to see what Pep does there.
Yep, expect a striker to start on weds - both on the bench today.
 
Taking chances is the key to this game. We have to be more clinical. I expect Bernardo to play (For Sterling) and Ederson. The decisions are Stones or Laporte / Cancelo or Zinchenko. I think he will go Laporte/Zinchenko

Having said that, why didn’t Jesus play today if he isn’t in the frame for Wed, especially after being hooked at HT against Villa? I was expecting him to be in the line up today. That one may be the surprise and if Pep picks him then it may be Foden to miss out. Be interesting to see what Pep does there.

I don't expect to see Jesus starting on Wednesday given Pep's seeming paranoia of counter attacks, but if he does it'll probably be for Sterling instead of Foden.
 
2-2 draw, if we're lucky.

False 9 formation, similar to today with Fern out for Rodders, and Sterling out for Silva.

As long as we give them a good game and a bit of a bloody nose, I'll be happy.
 
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