Coronavirus (2021) thread

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North West fell only a little today with bigger falls in many other areas. But GM fell by 61 on yesterday - whilst the NW fall was 57. So that tells you that GM is not now the biggest factor in the numbers as it had more than the entire regions fall today on its own.

Wk to wk the region is up 529 and GM up 210 - which is below the expected 50% rise as you can see.

So a good day for GM again.

But Manchester up to its second highest total in months and nearly 3 times the number of cases today at Bolton.

Wigan up again to second highest behind Manchester.

And Salford in third place down to 113. lowest this week. but still ahead of Bolton.

Stockport fell again below 100 to its lowest score in 10 days.
 
Cases across the regions:


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago


SOUTH


East DOWN 43 to 256 V 87 - that number is not very trustworthy - likely was a test data issue it was 321 next day.

London DOWN 30 to 932 V 635

South East DOWN 16 to 570 V 426

South West UP 111 to 507 V 190 - up here very big day to day and nearly tripled wk to wk.

Been rising daily for a region that was 2 weeks ag sub 100 every day for weeks is a definite hot spot driven by the hot weather and people day tripping to the beach. Blackpool has spiked in the NW for likely the same reasons as has the North Wales coast.





MIDLANDS



East down 33 to 318 V 218

West UP 41 to 464 V 329


Edging up by around 50% wk to wk here too




NORTH



North East down 150 to 301 V 166 - big fall but still doubled in week here

Yorkshire down 147 to 553 V 494 - another big fall here



AND

NORTH WEST down 57 to 2134 V 1605 - more modest drop here





Past weeks NW numbers are 1605 - 1673 - 1840 - 2112 - 1976 - 2317 - 2191 - 2134

Equivalent NW numbers a week earlier 935 - 1038 - 780 - 1158 - 1643 - 1755 - 1752 - 1605

GM numbers in past week 827 - 825 - 950 - 1062 - 984 - 1191 - 1098 - 1037
 
Healdplace said:
Cases across the regions:


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago


SOUTH


East DOWN 43 to 256 V 87 - that number is not very trustworthy - likely was a test data issue it was 321 next day.

London DOWN 30 to 932 V 635

South East DOWN 16 to 570 V 426

South West UP 111 to 507 V 190 - up here very big day to day and nearly tripled wk to wk.

Been rising daily for a region that was 2 weeks ag sub 100 every day for weeks is a definite hot spot driven by the hot weather and people day tripping to the beach. Blackpool has spiked in the NW for likely the same reasons as has the North Wales coast.





MIDLANDS



East down 33 to 318 V 218

West UP 41 to 464 V 329


Edging up by around 50% wk to wk here too




NORTH



North East down 150 to 301 V 166 - big fall but still doubled in week here

Yorkshire down 147 to 553 V 494 - another big fall here



AND

NORTH WEST down 57 to 2134 V 1605 - more modest drop here





Past weeks NW numbers are 1605 - 1673 - 1840 - 2112 - 1976 - 2317 - 2191 - 2134

Equivalent NW numbers a week earlier 935 - 1038 - 780 - 1158 - 1643 - 1755 - 1752 - 1605

GM numbers in past week 827 - 825 - 950 - 1062 - 984 - 1191 - 1098 - 1037
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I suppose that from a GM perspective the numbers are not rising exponentially which is in itself some good news.
 
Carpe Diem said:
I actually hope this keeps going for awhile longer yet. I'm learning far more about the state of the country, it's media and education system as this goes on it's fascinating to observe and take notes.

Remember, stay safe, stay at home and protect the NHS...
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Don’t think many in the hospitality sector will agree with you CD
 
Full GM details:


Total cases 1037 - down 61 on Yesterday - from NW fall of 57. More than all of it.

Wk to wk up 210 of the NW rise of 529 - also well under the expected 50%.

So GM had another good day again relative to rest of the region.


BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 100/ DOWN 34 / DOWN 20

BURY 82 / UP 14 / UP 14

MANCHESTER 284 / UP 32 / UP 91

OLDHAM 72 / UP 7 / UP 30

ROCHDALE 63 / DOWN 29 / UP 18

SALFORD 113 / DOWN 20 / UP 30

STOCKPORT 70 / DOWN 24 / DOWN 5

TAMESIDE 58 / DOWN 11 / UP 14

TRAFFORD 70 / UP 2 / UP 14

WIGAN 125 / UP 2 / UP 24




Just 4 boroughs over 100 today (or 3 as Bolton was exactly 100).

Stockport good day as along with Bolton the only borough to be down both day to day and week to week.

Manchester now though double everywhere else in GM. Will always have the biggest score because of population but that in of itelf is a degree of normality returning. Though at a too high level that will see it above Bolton's Pop Score today.

Something the media will notice next week presumably. As Salford sent Bolton down to second in GM yeserday and it may well be third or fourth by the time they catch up from the 4 or 5 day data.
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-




Tameside 379, Oldham 441, Trafford 472, Rochdale 477, Bury 519, Stockport 667, Wigan 774, Salford 821, Bolton 848, Manchester 1739.



Manchester now more than double Bolton and Salford almost overtaked Bolton's weekly numbers too. Wigan not much further behind. Stockport falling back a bit after a good few days.


Only Tameside sub 400 now.


2 or 3 weeks ago Bolton was 20 - 30 times more than most in GM. Big change in past week or so.
 
Healdplace said:
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-




Tameside 379, Oldham 441, Trafford 472, Rochdale 477, Bury 519, Stockport 667, Wigan 774, Salford 821, Bolton 848, Manchester 1739.



Manchester now more than double Bolton and Salford almost overtaked Bolton's weekly numbers too. Wigan not much further behind. Stockport falling back a bit after a good few days.


Only Tameside sub 400 now.


2 or 3 weeks ago Bolton was 20 - 30 times more than most in GM. Big change in past week or so.
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Do we know if manchester is ramping up the vaccine rollout..it bloody needs it
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.


Salford 317 / 231 / UP 86 Testing positive 9.8%

Manchester 315 / 225 / UP 90 Testing positive 10.4%

Bolton 295/ 327 / DOWN 32 Testing positive 11.1%

Bury 272 / 191 / UP 81 Testing positive 9.7%

Wigan 235 / 153 / UP 82 Testing positive 9.4%

Stockport 228 / 178 / UP 51 Testing positive 7.7%

Rochdale 215 / 138 / UP 77 Testing positive 10.2 %

Trafford 199 / 147 / UP 52 Testing positive 7.5

Oldham 186 / 96 / UP 90 Testing positive 10.2%

Tameside 169 / 98 / UP 71 Testing positive 8.5


Salford back on top with Manchester also overtaking Bolton too. Putting it now just third highest Pop Score in GM when it was highest in the UK 3 weeks ago.

Wigan climbing above Stockport which fell again today and is looking more stable.

Trafford just survived making it into the 200s. Probably just for 24 hours.
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:


Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY



BOLTON 73.7% / 51.2 % V 73.6% / 50.8%

BURY 73.9% / 53.1% V 73.4% / 52.8%

MANCHESTER 54.6% / 32.1% V 53.9% / 31.8%

OLDHAM 68.3% / 49.2% V 68.0% / 48.7%

ROCHDALE 71.0% / 48,0% V 70.8% / 47.8%

SALFORD 60.7 % / 41. 5 % V 60.1% / 41.3%

STOCKPORT 77.6% / 56.4% V 77.2% / 55.8%

TAMESIDE 73.1% / 51.9 % V 72.3% / 51.5%

TRAFFORD 74.7% / 53.3% V 74.1% / 52.6%

WIGAN 76.1% / 55.3% V 75.6% / 54.9%


Stockport still well clear as most in both first and second doses and Manchester well behind in both.
 
splinter said:
Do we know if manchester is ramping up the vaccine rollout..it bloody needs it
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It has been the lowest in GM throughout - likely due to age groups. But there is no evidence it is catching up as you would expect now we are well down the age range.

But from what local MPs in GM have said they have been flatly told no changes to the way the numbers of vaccine are redistributed for areas where cases are high. They follow the age groups strictly regardless it seems. Though this means always some boroughs will be at very different siages to one another.

But as they are down into the 20s now everywhere their only problem is the downer on AZ for younger people as that is the one vaccine they have loads of to use but limited people left to give it too.

If I understood what was said by one of the ministers on the BBC today.
 
Spent today in Blackpool. Chin wearing is actually more popular than wearing the fecking masks properly now. If ever a a demographic said I don't care anymore it was people in the FY postcode today. We always knew that though, first jab in arms and people think they are invincible don't they. Whatsapp Group yesterday with close mates and 3rd party people I don't bother with just wound me up. "Gotta isolate" followed by "wouldn't have to if you uninstall the app". These are the same people trying to get me out for a beer with them. Nice one, so you can do your best to contract a virus to me. Ace.
 
The Light Was Yellow Sir said:
Update to various Covid-19 indicators for England: • Deaths still stable (down on the day), triage too. • Admissions, positivity & cases continue up. • Total patients going up more slowly & daily number (as opposed to 7-day ave) actually down from 906 to 884 today.

Looking ahead to reports already in, clear signs of some of the hotspots cooling off, e.g. Bolton peaked a couple of weeks ago, but looks like Blackburn (currently area with highest rate) will be joining it soon and despite positive tests in Blackburn increasing rapidly since mid-April (so plenty of time to see an effect on deaths), averaging just 0.6 deaths per day (data up to 6 June) & not a single death reported so far (obviously more may be reported later) over the past 7 days.

Total hospital patients at 884, a tad or two below below the 7k-12k projected for this date by SAGE in their modelling of the re-opening steps already enacted. To now suggest that we are currently in a worse position than expected is somewhat disingenuous, especially as it seems to be from the same SAGE modellers mentioned earlier.
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As expected, key hotspot of Blackburn now joining Bolton in levelling off. Positive tests look to have peaked at 667 /100k in last 7 days (lower than Jan peak but still v. high). Deaths averaging 0.4/day. May well go up a bit, but not a single death reported so far since 7 June.

Also, a close look at the Zoe estimates show daily estimate & 7-day average both still going up but the rate of increase slowing up significantly.
 
Anyone think that there's a chance of a typical government stall tactic with the announcement tomorrow? As in we'll delay the full lifting but only by a couple of weeks rather than the 4 that has been hinted at? See how we are at the end of the month.
 
Bluemoon dan said:
Anyone think that there's a chance of a typical government stall tactic with the announcement tomorrow? As in we'll delay the full lifting but only by a couple of weeks rather than the 4 that has been hinted at? See how we are at the end of the month.
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I don't believe a word they say anymore
 
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