COVID Data Thread

[west didsblue]

For data and discussion of data only.

Might not be of interest to many but it is to some and the data regularly provided by @Healdplace tends to be more up to date than can be found in most places on the web, and is useful for recognising trends ahead of what’s generally reported.

 

[Healdplace]

Thank you. That was my reason for doing it throughout as I had the time to do it that most do not. Nothing more.

If the mods let this thread stay here I will use it. But I do not want to do so unless they are happy.

 

[worsleyweb]

I just saw your other post - Gelsons Dad was a good poster. For what it is worth i think a condensed summary is what is needed now, think that is what people want to see. Also for your own mind i think that would be good! Hope no offence taken. Cant be that good for you to obsess over Covid numbers each and every day?

 

[Healdplace]

I said the same in the other thread as to why I wanted to reduce the output myself and wind back towards some normality and had started to do just that by not posting any of the tables or details for two or three days. Bar a post summarising the key NW and GM numbers.

This all kicked off again because on a Monday the England hospital data for three days is always produced at once. So that had to be summarised ahead of the normal one post I was intending to do and as I had the past couple of days summarising the key points of the other numbers.

I felt the hospital numbers over 3 days had to have a post to themselves as they are probably the most important set of numbers right now.

But truthfully doing this on Blue Moon has been a great distraction for me from the other stuff that drove me off Twitter amd other social media entirely as they can make Blue Moon look like a picnic. So it has helped npt hindered - though I can see why it might be presumed otherwise. And as I have said a few times I have set out to try to change that.

I might even get on a bus for the first time in 19 months tomorrow when I go for my booster jab as the trip is several miles. I would never have considered that a week or two ago. And even wearing a mask it will still be a challenge but maybe something I think I need to do.

 

[Healdplace]

ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS


This needs a separate post today to explain what happened over the data crash yesterday.

They are not posting a number for yesterday just adding all the deaths from then onto the actual days and reporting them over the next few days as they trickle through as usual.

So todays number is in effect TWO days - the usual low Monday number plus the usual high catch up Tuesday one. So it looks scarier than it really is.

Though they do note that there will probably be some deaths ascribed to Monday that filter in over the next few days also. But again that happens anyway. So it should not be something too obvious.

So today there were 217 deaths reported versus 185 last Tuesday - but in reality that is V 210 if you add last Monday and Tuesday together - the closest match.

So up but not by as much as it seems if the media do not report this correctly.

The North West total today (as in plus yesterday too, of course) is 28 of that 217 - last week it was 24 of the 185 plus another 2 of the 25 from Monday. So 26 is the best comparison to todays number.

North West 28 today - NE & Yorkshire (55) & Midlands (47) are the highest.

Happy to add more data such as NW trust numbers and the ages split if anyone wants. Just ask.

But I do not want to overpost as promised.

 

[Healdplace]

Should really add though that 27 October is at 130 deaths in England hospitals already. By far the most of late. No higher number has been recorded in England hospitals - even with months of add ons - since 5 March.

 

[Healdplace]

Turning into one of those days. Scotland the latest to have an IT lab test issue with data flow since yesterday afternoon which means todays cases will be under reported. The very high positivity number suggests a problem too. As it is well up on recently. 13.5% V 10.8% yesterday for a near identical number of cases (2065 yesterday & 2010 today).

 

[Healdplace]

Hopefully nothing more until the 'one' (hah!) post for the day. Well, two normally, as I will do the three nations totals separate from England in detail as otherwise the England one would be too long

Though by all means let me know if I am overdoing things.

Happy to do as you request.

Will only post the hospital and England and NW/GM headlines in one now. No big posts and tables. Or Zoe. Just these basics.

 

[Healdplace]

THREE NATION DATA

NORTHERN IRELAND

2 deaths (was 4 last wk) - 1114 cases (was 1124 last wk) - 8087 weekly cases (was 8569 last wk) - 381 patients (up 55 in day - biggest jump in weeks - was 358 last wk) - 29 ventilated (was 23 last wk)

SCOTLAND

26 deaths (was 20 last wk) - 2010 cases (was 2262 last wk) - 932 patients (up 1 on day was 917 last wk) - 63 ventilated icu (down 5 on day was 59 last wk)

WALES

10 deaths (was 31 last wk but for 3 days not one as today) - 2210 cases (was 5288 for 3 days not one as today) - 686 psatients (was 632 last wk) - 68 ventilated (was 62 last wk)

 

[west didsblue]

Hopefully nothing more until the 'one' (hah!) post for the day. Well, two normally, as I will do the three nations totals separate from England in detail as otherwise the England one would be too long

Though by all means let me know if I am overdoing things.

Happy to do as you request.

Will only post the hospital and England and NW/GM headlines in one now. No big posts and tables. Or Zoe. Just these basics.

If anyone tells you you're overdoing things on this thread just tell them to fuck off. You'd have my support and I suspect most visitors to this thread.

 

[True_Blue69]

If anyone tells you you're overdoing things on this thread just tell them to fuck off. You'd have my support and I suspect most visitors to this thread.

Totally agree, post as much data as you wish @Healdplace out of order the people complaining.

 

[Ric]

Thank you. That was my reason for doing it throughout as I had the time to do it that most do not. Nothing more.

If the mods let this thread stay here I will use it. But I do not want to do so unless they are happy.

More than happy HP! I know a lot of people, myself included, find the data you post very useful.

 

[Healdplace]

293 deaths - 255 in England v 263 and 208 last week

The posts earlier explain why this is high.

 

[Healdplace]

Cases 33, 865 - down 6208 on yesterday

And down 7089 on last week.

England only 28, 531 - down 3550 on yesterday & 3749 on last week

Lowest England total since 4 October. And lowest in UK since 3 October.

 

[Healdplace]

Let me know if these multiple smaller posts are too many.

Been very busy this evening and having to do them on the fly.

But it will give chance to see if several smaller posts or the one longer one suits you all the best.

Have a feeling the longer ones are too much in one go.

Happy to do what you prefer.

And to compile them all into one post now and delete the individual ones as I was doing in past days when the data came in bits - but only now have more time to do that today.

Whichever you find easier to read I will either leave or do.

 

[Healdplace]

Greater Manchester's day was less good than of late. NW fell both day to day and week to week by around 300 each.

But GM is actually UP on both by small numbers (63 & 78).

Only three boroughs are actually down week to week today - Bury, Rochdale & Stockport - Stockport by the most (41). Manchester up by the most (63).

Wigan with Manchester the only ones over 200. Bury, Oldham and Rochdale all sub 100.

 

[xgorton]

293 deaths - 255 in England v 263 and 208 last week

The posts earlier explain why this is high.

People still mixing in large crowds and not wearing masks in shops and public transport is the problem.

 

[Blue.Roys.Son]

Let me know if these multiple smaller posts are too many.

Been very busy this evening and having to do them on the fly.

But it will give chance to see if several smaller posts or the one longer one suits you all the best.

Have a feeling the longer ones are too much in one go.

Happy to do what you prefer.

And to compile them all into one post now and delete the individual ones as I was doing in past days when the data came in bits - but only now have more time to do that today.

Whichever you find easier to read I will either leave or do.

Thank you for all you have done in the last 18 months HP and yes for me the smaller posts work perfectly.

And for all those that have moaned about the data I have just looked on the BBC main page for today's update and there are no figures on today's data but they have updated that China has ran out of vegetables.

Once again HP has made it easy for me to quickly check the stats and that we appear to still be on the way down with cases.

 

[Healdplace]

People still mixing in large crowds and not wearing masks in shops and public transport is the problem.

It may well be and I will find out tomorrow going on the bus for the first time in 19 months!

But my post actually referred to the data glitch that meant there were no deaths reported from England hospitals yesterday and the decision to just add them on to the days following rather than post a number today as coming from yesterday - meaning each day will be a little higher than it would have been as Gov UK are warning.

Yesterday will officially stay at zero reported when it was probably around 30/35 - mostly added today and tomorrow to up those numbers a little. .

Indeed it actually shows as 13 which will be just the out of hospital deaths probably and will look like a big drop and todays 255 look like a bit of a rise (more than it should do as it always rises on Tuesday due to the lack of registrations on Sundays reducing Monday numbers eaxh week). So the impact is small and probably why Gov UK chose to d it this way.

Just worth knowing if the media refer to the high number today. It is a bit higher than it would have been if yesterdays deaths had already been recorded.

 

[Tim of the Oak]

I’m not sure whether or not this thread includes research data and outcomes but I was listening to the Naked Scientist guy (Chris) this morning who reported on a Japanese Study that showed closing schools didn’t reduce Covid, significantly. Obviously, there’s different contexts in every country but it was interesting the contrast with the assumptions made about U.K. schools during the pandemic. I have attached a link from the Telegraph but I’ve not read the full story.

Access Restricted