Coronavirus (2022) thread

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Rammy Blue said:
Well I’ve never been as poorly in many many years as I am currently. Barely moved out of bed for nearly 48 hours, did a covid test this morning for once expecting it to be positive, of course it‘s negative, lol.

Just weird, I’m more ill than both times I’ve had covid put together, I know loads with covid yet I’ve not got it. I do wonder if because I had omicron at Xmas that you sort of catch it but don’t, if that makes sense?

Closest thing to flu I’ve had in 20 years, tried to get out of bed for a piddle earlier and it was practically impossible.
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I had this. I got covid before christmas then about a month later I couldn't get out of bed for a couple of days and it took almost a week before I felt like doing anything. I wondered if it was a post-viral reaction or something. I know a bloke I bump into walking the dog and he had the same. Been fine for a few weeks now until catching a head cold this week but no other symptoms. Hoping it's behind me now.
Hope you feel better soon.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
ONS out today.

All time record infections in Scotland, Wales and very close to record in England. NI past the peak.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK - Office for National Statistics

Percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) in private residential households in England, Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland, including regional and age breakdowns. This survey is delivered in partnership with University of Oxford, University of Manchester, UK Health...
www.ons.gov.uk

Given the changes in testing, this is the only reliable measure of infections in the UK.
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It is a week behind though. Zoe is showng signs of a tail off which is hopefuly showing we are near the peak

I have posted a lot of data on the other thread including todays Zoe graph with pushing 350,000 new cases tday - a new record - as it has been every day for a while now. It has just under 4 million with ongoing Covid cases today too - also a record.

Patients are still rising but ventilators remain around 300 or so - far below where they were in past waves. Hence people are not getting as sick or dying as often despite the record Covid levels.
 
Healdplace said:
It is a week behind though. Zoe is showng signs of a tail off which is hopefuly showing we are near the peak

I have posted a lot of data on the other thread including todays Zoe graph with pushing 350,000 new cases tday - a new record - as it has been every day for a while now. It has just under 4 million with ongoing Covid cases today too - also a record.

Patients are still rising but ventilators remain around 300 or so - far below where they were in past waves. Hence people are not getting as sick or dying as often despite the record Covid levels.
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Absolutely agree re severity. Also very interesting study out yesterday re vaccine effectiveness vs hospitalisation which takes account of incidental infections and shows much less waning over time as a result. Which is very good news. I'll post a link.

On lag- yes - given the rate of change and level in the ons it's very likely levels today are at an all time UK high.

I lost confidence in Zoe a long time ago as any kind of accurate assessment. Maybe indicative of trends.
 
chedlee said:
I had this. I got covid before christmas then about a month later I couldn't get out of bed for a couple of days and it took almost a week before I felt like doing anything. I wondered if it was a post-viral reaction or something. I know a bloke I bump into walking the dog and he had the same. Been fine for a few weeks now until catching a head cold this week but no other symptoms. Hoping it's behind me now.
Hope you feel better soon.
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I suspect that there are a few nasties going around and all of us spending 2 years being careful has left us uniquely open to an infection be it a germ or viral and its effects. I had Covid a year ago and 8 weeks ago I got a chesty cough and getting more and more congested and just tired out. Kept testing and there was no dreaded return of the Rona's taking place - in the end been to the doc's because I was just going upstairs and I couldn't breathe and the heart was pounding - been put on a course of anti-biotics and I can feel an improvement already
 
Alan Harper's Tash said:
The more people that get it now will hopefully mean less catch it in winter,so it’s probably a positive for the country to have all these cases as long as the NHS can cope and deaths don’t skyrocket.
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Looking at the spikes it’s like once you have had it, your covered immune for at least 3 months!

Looks like this Covid is like Flu but all year around! Maybe in years to come it be like flu and mainly every year it peaks.
 
waspish said:
Looking at the spikes it’s like once you have had it, your covered immune for at least 3 months!

Looks like this Covid is like Flu but all year around! Maybe in years to come it be like flu and mainly every year it peaks.
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Can we have a flu thread and all the data associated with it.
 
In laws have got it now. Both late 70s but had all the jabs. Seem ok ish apart from being extremely tired.
 
Just ordered my last pack of LFTs. Typical that the wife gets Covid the week they stop!

Day 3 for her. Windows open until she’s negative. Working so far.
 
Looks like this thread is becoming less and less relevant as most people either don't care or are cracking on with life. Props to @Healdplace for all her analysis throughout with notable mention to @roubaixtuesday

Hopefully life will return to normality for most, if it hasn't already, in the not too distant future. Commiserations to all those expert virologists, immunologists and epidemiologists on here who have had to pivot and become eastern Europe military experts.
 
Eds said:
Looks like this thread is becoming less and less relevant as most people either don't care or are cracking on with life. Props to @Healdplace for all her analysis throughout with notable mention to @roubaixtuesday

Hopefully life will return to normality for most, if it hasn't already, in the not too distant future. Commiserations to all those expert virologists, immunologists and epidemiologists on here who have had to pivot and become eastern Europe military experts.
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As well as ww2 nuclear and combat war experts
The only army some have seen is the salvation:)
 
Alan Harper's Tash said:
The more people that get it now will hopefully mean less catch it in winter ,so it’s probably a positive for the country to have all these cases as long as the NHS can cope and deaths don’t skyrocket.
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Not sure thats how this is gonna pan out personally. while I think the direct threat to the NHS is over. and I think that we're at a point now that hospitalisations/deaths are going to be pretty low overall,

But I do think we're going to see waves of people getting ill every 3 months or so. and over the next year or 2 that will just level off into a steady level of infections in the background of life.

if the 3 months cycle pans out over the next year we'll have another in July/Aug then another in Oct/Nov. the waves should in theory start to lower each time until becoming background "noise"

Thant being said, South Korea is a confusing set of data, they had a 80% vaccination rate by Nov last year and Omicron is kicking crap out of them right now. No idea what vaccine they used tho.
 
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Just as you reopened the thread here is today's Zoe graph showing clearly as all evidence indicates that this second Omicron wave is a few days from peaking. Numbers have been flattening for a few days now.

We are still at record high numbers of ongoing cases 4,445,557 in the UK have Covid today. But the daily rise is starting to fall it was 69,007 today. It may not top 5 million before it starts to fall which should be within the week, Likely not now.

The predicted cases today are 345,226. They peaked here a few days ago at the record daily high of 352,510 new cases and the number has been falling by a few more every day than it did the day before. Down 3785 today.

England hospital deaths are suggesting to have almost peaked too. The past 7 days is the most in six weeks since the end of the first Omicron wave - 645 v 552 last week v 474 the week before. But last few days are hopeful it will not go much higher.

If it does not the key take will be that even V the first Omicron wave in December/January this one will have had higher overall cases but lower overall deaths. Largely as there are fewer on ventilatrs now than then and far lower than pre Omicton waves.
 
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Healdplace said:
View attachment 39408

Just as you reopened the thread here is today's Zoe graph showing clearly as all evidence indicates that this second Omicron wave is a few days from peaking. Numbers have been flattening for a few days now.

We are still at record high numbers of ongoing cases 4,445,557 in the UK have Covid today. But the daily rise is starting to fall it was 69,007 today. It may not top 5 million before it starts to fall which should be within the week, Likely not now.

The predicted cases today are 345,226. They peaked here a few days ago at the record daily high of 352,510 new cases and the number has been falling by a few more every day than it did the day before. Down 3785 today.
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How will Zoe operate from tomorrow? If no one gets tested, how can Zoe predict anything?
 
grunge said:
Zoe has only ever based its information on symptoms being posted in the Zoe app its self, it doesn't worry about the tests.
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Which is why I now cite it more often. But it has had its funding taken away so is becoming less reliable.

Rochdale has posted no numbers in Greater Manchester on Zoe for several weeks as it now has too few contributers to be accurate. The other 9 boroughs still do.
 
192 UK deaths V 165 last week

136 in England V 111 last week


74,720 UK cases today V 98,204 last week on Gov UK.

England only 62,816 V 79,373 last week.


NB Scotland had a data issue and are a little under reported - but only by a couple of thousand I suspect.


700 K pillar 1 & 2 tests V 708 K yesterday & 792 K last week
 
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