Zhou Enlai was supposed to have answered “it’s to early to say” when asked about the French revolution’s legacy.
I feel the same about Brexit. All the arguments are based on short term economics, which hardly tells the story. The true assessment would require a comparison of where we actually end up in say 10 or 20 years with where you think we would have ended up inside the EU. The future scope of QMV, the clash between Napoleonic codes and Common law, (as illustrated by the NI Protocol), the future of the defence of Europe etc would all need to be assessed.In geo political terms, the EU vision is of a third force between The US on the one hand and China/Russia and others on the other. The outcome of the Ukrainian war may make that vision obsolete already. Has this war strengthened NATO, as the Germans and the British want or has it weakened NATO as the French desire? Will such as the Baltic states be happy with EU as the third force?
I merely pose these questions, but I am sure that short term economic results is a minor part of the conundrum.
”Its too soon to tell”.