FA Cup Quarter-Final Draw | Burnley (H)

[blueste41]

Based on probabilities it clearly is.

If you truly believe that get yourself on a roulette table, wait for a sequence of consecutive identical rolls and then bet-over time you will take the house to the cleaners because you have a huge edge over the true odds!

 

[Cricket Blue]

since the 20/21 season United have been drawn away just once in the FA cup thats once in 10 games whilst we have had 6 out of 10 not saying its fixed but its fixed

It's been fixed for years

 

[blueinbrazil]

Th

It's not, as each draw is a separate event they have exactly an even chance of being drawn at home each time. If a roulette ball had landed on red 9 consecutive times do you think the odds of it happening on the next roll would be higher than normal?

The odds of a home game for any single draw doesn’t change, but the odds of it happening ten times in a row is very low. Think of flipping a coin where the odds of a head would always be 0.5 on each individual flip. But chances of getting ten heads in a row is 0.5 to the power of 10, or around 0.0009, so basically one in a thousand!!

 

[Zin 'messiah' Zimmer]

He's had his testimonial, he's going home with nowt this time.

;-)

He’s grown 6 digits that day, he’ll have no allegiance and we should expect none, the Flemish **** (:

 

[pride in battle]

Didn't we welcome home a returning hero, once (Rosler) only for him to piss on our chips

???? Dickov ?

 

[Tbilisi]

Sure its been posted but with united playing Thurs they cant play Fri or Sat so looks like a Sat or Fri kick off for us.

 

[Lavinda Past]

He’s grown 6 digits that day, he’ll have no allegiance and we should expect none, the Flemish **** (:

Moon headed fraud

 

[Lovebitesandeveryfing]

Not interested in United, couldn't give a toss. Incidentally, Fulham are good enough to do them. But I don't care even if they get through.
We can beat every one there. We are absolutely coming into form. Kev starting to look like himself, at last. Same for Phil after that blip. Rúben back and looking imperious. Rico still a revelation. Bernardo as classy as ever. Håland still being Erling. Nothing not to like.
And a wonderful reception, I hope, for our legendary captain.

 

[dronefromsector7G]

It's not, as each draw is a separate event they have exactly an even chance of being drawn at home each time. If a roulette ball had landed on red 9 consecutive times do you think the odds of it happening on the next roll would be higher than normal?

Erm

 

[cookster]

If you truly believe that get yourself on a roulette table, wait for a sequence of consecutive identical rolls and then bet-over time you will take the house to the cleaners because you have a huge edge over the true odds!

Tell you what. Quite happy to do a charity bet with you witnessed by an independent bluemooner.
You hit red or black 10 times on the bounce, I'll pay £500 to your chosen charity, you don't you pay £500 to mine.
Deal?

 

[Zin 'messiah' Zimmer]

Moon headed fraud

Yeah, the roswell looking MoFo

 

[ninjamonkey]

Rawk-like conspiracy strikes again. They've just got a worse draw than us, some people are determined to turn us into scousers. How about we look forward to our club legend coming back to the etihad rather than inventing some myth about united somehow influencing the draw.

 

[SebastianBlue]

It's not, as each draw is a separate event they have exactly an even chance of being drawn at home each time. If a roulette ball had landed on red 9 consecutive times do you think the odds of it happening on the next roll would be higher than normal?

It depends if we are discussing discrete event probability or aggregate expected value probability.

You explained the former well, but the latter is a method of determining how aberrant aggregate outcomes are, which can help to determine if processes are actually random or not. Probabilistic analysis uses expected value versus actual value to give a confidence level of bias results.

The longer they go receiving home draws the more aberrational it becomes and the further from expected values.

 

[shemnel]

Amazing draw!! Here's to you Vincent Kompany!! Really happy with that.

Dunno why some people obsess with United so much.

 

[Shirley]

United just drew the 2nd hardest opponent out of 7, so maybe give the conspiracy shite a rest for a while.

Spoil sport …

 

[dronefromsector7G]

It depends if we are discussing discrete event probability or aggregate expected value probability.

You explained the former well, but the latter is a method of determining how aberrant aggregate outcomes are, which can help to determine if processes are actually random or not. Probabilistic analysis uses expected value versus actual value to give a confidence level of bias results.

The longer they go receiving home draws the more aberrational it becomes and the further from expect values.

In essence, he was talking shit

 

[RayCTID]

Amazing draw!! Here's to you Vincent Kompany!! Really happy with that.

Dunno why some people obsess with United so much.

We did get conned in the recent Derby

 

[blueste41]

Ha, true but 10/10 ain’t happening either

I've been a croupier, I've seen 10 consecutive red rolls, black rolls, odd rolls, even rolls and that's just roulette. I've seen all 7 players dealt black jack in the same hand, I've dealt at a craps table and not seen a 7 rolled for 2 hours.....

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Sure its been posted but with united playing Thurs they cant play Fri or Sat so looks like a Sat or Fri kick off for us.

Think we will be Saturday as the two other games are hardly appealing.

 

[Axel Freed]

Perfect chance to welcome Vinny home, great draw