Will we win the league this season? No

[M12Blue]

Opta stats have the arse 92% odds to win, that’s a surprise

 

[Leroy Leroy Leroy]

Opta stats have the arse 92% odds to win, that’s a surprise

The stats also had them to lose to us, Southampton, Bournemouth at like 0.002% or something
Odds are irrelevant as it doesn't factor their bottle gene

 

[Alfie Budd]

Opta stats have the arse 92% odds to win, that’s a surprise

Opta takes into account nothing but raw data and doesn’t factor in momentum or emotion.

On paper, we’ve got the harder remaining fixtures and (as of now) we can’t afford to drop points hence the big discrepancy in probability percentages. If we win today, that should swing considerably and if we do that and win next weekend, the change will be dramatic.

 

[M18CTID]

Ridiculous yes….remotely possible yes.

Can you imagine the outcry though?!

He’s right though. If you want to look at games that have bitten us on the arse and could lose us the title, one where we actually got the 3 points shouldn’t even come into the equation.

 

[BillCarlisle]

I was of the opinion that Arsenal had to lose today to give us any hope, i didn’t think them dropping points with a draw is what would let us back in.

I’m still not saying we’re going to do it, ultimately we have no insurance policy and we have to be pretty much flawless now. It’s going to be scrappy, we’re past the point of a draw equalling a loss now for Arsenal, every point matter for them now - there are simply too few games left. I think they need to lose once more not including a potential loss against us next Sunday - goal difference isn’t great for us

they’ve shit the bed no doubt, we’re going to need a massive push from Pep and the lads now. Even if we don’t do it, I want to really push them and make them earn it. They might stumble over the line but equally we might win the league - all or nothing now

GD can quickly be less of a problem. Win today and its down to 5 at most. Beat them by 2 next week and it's down to 1. A much different scenario then. Fingers crossed.

 

[Marvin.]

The stats also had them to lose to us, Southampton, Bournemouth at like 0.002% or something
Odds are irrelevant as it doesn't factor their bottle gene

Statistics and data are always relevant but the game is human and so fear and panic are also factors.

 

[Alfie Budd]

GD can quickly be less of a problem. Win today and its down to 5 at most. Beat them by 2 next week and it's down to 1. A much different scenario then. Fingers crossed.

Correct. And then we have the game in hand to potentially overtake them.

 

[blue b4 the moon]

Get the points and the GD will almost certainly fall into place.

I really don't see this season being about GD anyway.

 

[alexmcity]

GD can quickly be less of a problem. Win today and its down to 5 at most. Beat them by 2 next week and it's down to 1. A much different scenario then. Fingers crossed.

It's enough to beat Chelsea and Arsenal by one goal. Better GD should be secured in the last 6 games. Our attack is the best in the league.

 

[Corky]

Opta takes into account nothing but raw data and doesn’t factor in momentum or emotion.

On paper, we’ve got the harder remaining fixtures and (as of now) we can’t afford to drop points hence the big discrepancy in probability percentages. If we win today, that should swing considerably and if we do that and win next weekend, the change will be dramatic.

The statistics imply form and momentum, and we have just drawn against two relegation teams in a row, it will only take into account PL games.

 

[Johnny Mars Bar]

It's incredible that this is still a conversation, truly a damning indictment of the state of Arteta.

 

[Manchester_lalala]

When was the last time we won 8 on the bounce in the league? I don’t think we will win every game, but I don’t think it’s necessary. However, winning today and next week is crucial. It puts all sorts of pressure on Arsenal and I firmly believe if this happens they will crumble in their remaining games. West Ham away is a monster game. Also Newcastle at the Emirates isn’t easy, Newcastle aren’t particularly fond of them.

With Burnley almost relegated, we both face them and it could the case of who ever scores the most against them wins the league.

 

[Brendan110_0]

I sort of agree. But that said, about a month or so ago it was in our hands and we let that chance slip. Ok that was maybe too early to count as the home straight, but the point im making is we still aren’t as robust as previous iterations of City.

That was with midweek CL games. We’re free of that now.

 

[St.Pauli support]

BBC

 

[The Lightbowne Cowboy]

I'm just showing him the error of his ways my friend.

I think that may take a while Dodge :)

 

[M12Blue]

Opta takes into account nothing but raw data and doesn’t factor in momentum or emotion.

On paper, we’ve got the harder remaining fixtures and (as of now) we can’t afford to drop points hence the big discrepancy in probability percentages. If we win today, that should swing considerably and if we do that and win next weekend, the change will be dramatic.

Agree, just surprised me that’s all

 

[M12Blue]

The stats also had them to lose to us, Southampton, Bournemouth at like 0.002% or something
Odds are irrelevant as it doesn't factor their bottle gene

Bottle gene, I like it.

 

[Ryan.98.]

Hate being mr negative but I have a really bad feeling that we are gonna lose it on goal difference ffs

 

[Xhavenjoe]

Hate being mr negative but I have a really bad feeling that we are gonna lose it on goal difference ffs

We have 3 matches to catch up on goals scored and also GD.
Chelsea, Burnley and the bumnal match in between.
Should we win those 3 we will have pulled back that GD
If we don't win all 3 then it probably won't go down to GD and bumnal will be chamoions

 

[Marvin.]

In the BBC Football article,

'Big punch in the face' - could Arsenal really blow title from here?​

there is a poll on Who will win the title, and the results are interesting. At the moment it reads: