Russian invasion of Ukraine

gordondaviesmoustache said:
We can all be guilty of confirmation bias on any (and certainly this) subject, myself included, but you’ve been as culpable as anyone on this thread, especially in the early days of the war. So I’m not sure I agree with your strident assertion of being open minded, certainly not based on the evidence of this thread.
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I’m genuinely intrigued how you see a Russian victory playing out. Do you think Ukraine will be straightforward to hold? Do you think the citizens of Ukraine will just fold? Not a fucking chance. This misadventure will consume Russia.

This will be their Waterloo.
 
gordondaviesmoustache said:
I’m genuinely intrigued how you see a Russian victory playing out. Do you think Ukraine will be straightforward to hold? Do you think the citizens of Ukraine will just fold? Not a fucking chance. This misadventure will consume Russia.

This will be their Waterloo.
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Wasting your time arguing with that one ;)
 
Officially, Lieutenant General of the Russian Federation, Fanil Sarvarov, was eliminated in Moscow.

A car bomb exploded in Moscow this morning.
———
Офіційно, генерал-лейтенанта Російської Федерації Фаніла Сарварова ліквідували в Москві.

Сьогодні вранці в Москві вибухнув замінований автомобіль.
 


TLDW: €90bn loan from Europe guarantee's 2 years of funding for Ukraine but could well be eeked out to 5 years keeping full supply lines open. Not using the frozen assets is actually a good thing in some ways as its one of the only things that Russia cares about so not using now keeps it on the table as a bargaining chip later.
 


“3/6 The territory of modern Donbas remained largely uninhabited for a long time and was known as the 'Wild Fields' (Dyke Pole). Only wild nomadic tribes appeared here occasionally (except for Greek settlements on the Azov Sea coast). I won't go into long and tedious stories about those nomadic tribes — the Polovtsians, Khazars, and others.

Until the 16th century (after the collapse of the Golden Horde), this area was a buffer zone between the Grand Duchy of Lithuania and the Crimean Khanate. On European maps of that time, it was depicted as empty steppe, or as 'Great Tartary,' or as part of the Crimean Khanate.

Nearby, Ukrainian Cossackdom was developing (part of Lithuania, and later the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, but functioning like a 'state within a state' with its own elected leaders, laws, and courts). It was the Cossacks who started the real settlement of the 'Wild Fields' — the part we now call Donbas.

The first mention of Cossacks in these territories dates back to 1547 (one of the sources is the Nikon Chronicle). It is possible that Cossacks appeared there even earlier.
From the 17th century onward, this turned into regular, gradual settlement of the wild region by Ukrainians, continuing into the 18th century. This is confirmed in works by historians from various countries: Polish, Ukrainian, Russian, and French”

A history lesson of the Donbas
 
roubaixtuesday said:
Phillips O'Brien weekend update:

Ukraine Is Winning The War At Sea and the US is helping Russia far more than people want to admit.

phillipspobrien.substack.com

Weekend Update #164: Ukraine Is Winning The War At Sea

Europe: Glass Half Empty or Half Full?; Is The Trump Administration Quietly Unwinding Sanctions On Russia?
phillipspobrien.substack.com phillipspobrien.substack.com
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I was reading that the CIA had been sneakily providing weapons to Russia all the payments are being sent to a mystery account with Trump involved..
 
A Russian general has been killed in a car bombing in Moscow, officials have said.

Russia's Investigative Committee said Lt Gen Fanil Sarvarov died on Monday morning after an explosive device planted under a car detonated.

A real shame...
 
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