2020 US Elections

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mat said:
And the 15 minute official Trump family rebuke.
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They’ve already released the trailer.

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The NV election official just rebuked Trump campaign claims that they had an observer turned away at the counting site.

”In fact, we have gone above and beyond the statute requirements.”
 
roubaixtuesday said:
I fear the opposite. Trump will milk his notoriety for all its worth in the weeks, months and years to follow.

He or one of his malign spawn will for sure run next time, and will likely be a shoe in for Rep nominee, given the extreme nature of the party now, and the cult of personality.

Nearly 50% of Americans saw what Trump is, and voted for more. That's the sad reality.
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You can look at it another way.... Trump may well lose to an old, characterless, establishment man.
 
mat said:
Biden got lucky.

It’s a referendum on Trump more than wanting Foghorn Leghorn to replace him.
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It is ALWAYS a referendum on the incumbent, even though Trump used every dirty trick in the book to try to obfuscate his disgusting four years of denigration of the Office of the President.

Biden? Lucky? What, times 72,000,000+?
FWIW, that’s more votes cast for ANY CANDIDATE IN HISTORY!!!

Republucans can ONLY win the presidency because of the stupid Electoral College math, which is both antiquated and discriminatory.

“One man, one vote” is meaningless in the Presidential race, and we should remove the discrimination against those who live in more populous states.

The House of Representatives used to grow based on population growth, but when that stopped, it immediately started to disenfranchise voters in populous states and give super-votes to those in the sparsely populated states.

It is UNdemocratic and UNAmerican!

BTW, was Trump “lucky” 4 yrs ago when the HILLARY HATRED he generated with his lies gave him a 38,874 voter (across 3 states!) win in an election with over 136,000,000 votes?
 
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pudge said:
True, those that know are saying it'll go up and down as it has already for a bit but the way the margins are breaking, and where, benefit Biden
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Yes, it is trending up right now. I just wanted to share that info to ease consternation for others when they see fractional point declines/increases.

It’s a reflex as half my job is constantly repeating “context is king”, “just to be clear, this is a trend analysis”, and “that’s not how predictive modelling works”. ;-)
 
roubaixtuesday said:
I fear the opposite. Trump will milk his notoriety for all its worth in the weeks, months and years to follow.

He or one of his malign spawn will for sure run next time, and will likely be a shoe in for Rep nominee, given the extreme nature of the party now, and the cult of personality.

Nearly 50% of Americans saw what Trump is, and voted for more. That's the sad reality.
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They didn’t vote for what Trump “is,” but what he lied about doing for them, and against the anti-Christ, socialists trying to takeover the country for the communists in China!

If you could muzzle those types of lies, you’d be halfway there. The problem is that propaganda works, especially on weak-minded sheeple.

While America is no longer #1 in many things, but we will fight tooth and nail to hold onto our #1 global standing in weak-minded sheeple!

It is no coincidence who the BASE for each party is, and where they get their votes from!
 
Just been doing my sums for what it would take for Biden to flip Penn now.

There are 876,000 votes left to be counted. Trump leads by roughly 112k. That means to bridge the gap Biden needs to take 112k more votes than trump from the remaining ballots available.

That means if Biden gets more than 494k votes from the remaining ballots he will win, that's roughly 57% of the remaining vote share.
 
aguerrrroooooooooooo said:
Just been doing my sums for what it would take for Biden to flip Penn now.

There are 876,000 votes left to be counted. Trump leads by roughly 112k. That means to bridge the gap Biden needs to take 112k more votes than trump from the remaining ballots available.

That means if Biden gets more than 494k votes from the remaining ballots he will win, that's roughly 57% of the remaining vote share.
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I think he will get that easily. Don't think PA will even be close
 
aguerrrroooooooooooo said:
Just been doing my sums for what it would take for Biden to flip Penn now.

There are 876,000 votes left to be counted. Trump leads by roughly 112k. That means to bridge the gap Biden needs to take 112k more votes than trump from the remaining ballots available.

That means if Biden gets more than 494k votes from the remaining ballots he will win, that's roughly 57% of the remaining vote share.
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I’m sure I heard that Biden is winning circa 80% of the mail ballots in that state/county?

Which ever way you cut it, it looks tight

Hopefully it will be like City the other night. A bit iffy for a bit but ultimately pretty comfortable
 
Blue Hefner said:
I’m sure I heard that Biden is winning circa 80% of the mail ballots in that state/county?

Which ever way you cut it, it looks tight

Hopefully it will be like City the other night. A bit iffy for a bit but ultimately pretty comfortable
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I could live to regret this post but I'm not sure from the numbers I've posted above it will be tight
 
If anyone is looking to take a short break from proceedings but still wants to stay informed on what to expect as things progress, this is a great, relevant listen (or flashback):

 
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