2020 US Elections

[yankblue]

One resource I'd recommend for anyone interested is 538 blog: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo

It was founded by a statistician a few years ago and they have a good breakdown of specific states and races in an easy to digest format

The founder actually started as a sports statistician, and they dabble in other topics aside from politics. I've found them to be an accurate source, in 2016 they were one of the very few that were bullish on a Trump win

 

[mat]

Trump winning 11-0 at the moment

11 - 0 and you fucked it up.*

*I hope

 

[mancity2012_eamo]

Cautious optimism for Biden in Florida

Early signs encouraging.

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

don't quite follow the "calling" states when it's so early in the counts.

 

[mat]

don't quite follow the "calling" states when it's so early in the counts.

So much for their agreed "back the fuck off until it's official" plan...

 

[mancity2012_eamo]

don't quite follow the "calling" states when it's so early in the counts.

It’s just their projection.
They see the trend consistent with expectation.

 

[Claytop]

Florida seems quick, 35% of estimated votes in.

 

[Mazzarelli's Swiss Cheese]

don't quite follow the "calling" states when it's so early in the counts.

There is a lot of pressure from competing news channels to be 'first to the news' which doesn't help

 

[Claytop]

Biden vote share potentially down in Miami Dade, didn’t Tolmie mention something about that?

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

farcical this, just reality TV.