Another new Brexit thread

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Apparently Corbyn is planning to stay neutral during a 2nd referendum campaign. Is that a realistic position for a PM to take?

What would happen if he negotiates a new deal and no senior politician is prepared to lead a referendum campaign in its favour?

There's a group of Labour MPs headed by Stephen Kinnock who want May's deal back! So there'll be no shortage of Labour MPs, and some Tories come to think of it, who would happily campaign for a custom union, single market thingy.
 
Who was it that seriously suggested that on here?
That was funny.
I'll spare his blushes, and the undercurrent of what he was saying was correct, i.e. the politicians who have been negotiating on our behalf have been appalling, but I could name a load of people in business better suited than Ashley to conduct the Brexit negotiations. Horses for courses. Not saying he isn't good within his own world, but he'd be horribly unsuited to sorting this deal out. People think it's a normal negotiation, with the same rules that apply in a commercial transaction, but it's so much more nuanced than that. How could it be anything else?
 
I'll spare his blushes, and the undercurrent of what he was saying was correct, i.e. the politicians who have been negotiating on our behalf have been appalling, but I could name a load of people in business better suited than Ashley to conduct the Brexit negotiations. Horses for courses. Not saying he isn't good within his own world, but he'd be horribly unsuited to sorting this deal out. People think it's a normal negotiation, with the same rules that apply in a commercial transaction, but it's so much more nuanced than that. How could it be anything else?
If only we had the likes of Mike Ashley negotiating we'd be in the midst of the sunny uplands right now, having both:

(i) taken back control and;
(ii) got on with it.
Snuggling down for a future in Verhofstadt's Empire as personally showcased to Ms Swinson this week
 
I'll spare his blushes, and the undercurrent of what he was saying was correct, i.e. the politicians who have been negotiating on our behalf have been appalling, but I could name a load of people in business better suited than Ashley to conduct the Brexit negotiations. Horses for courses. Not saying he isn't good within his own world, but he'd be horribly unsuited to sorting this deal out. People think it's a normal negotiation, with the same rules that apply in a commercial transaction, but it's so much more nuanced than that. How could it be anything else?
He would probably challenge junker to a drinking competition. Winner takes all
 
If it makes no sense - and that may well be the case - I'd still be grateful if you could improve my understanding by explaining why.

You say BoJo will likely resign. I get that and agree his other options are not good. But I have no idea what you are suggesting beyond that. I would assume that BoJo would have to nominate a willing successor otherwise he is technically the PM and has to comply or face the courts.
 
I'll spare his blushes, and the undercurrent of what he was saying was correct, i.e. the politicians who have been negotiating on our behalf have been appalling, but I could name a load of people in business better suited than Ashley to conduct the Brexit negotiations. Horses for courses. Not saying he isn't good within his own world, but he'd be horribly unsuited to sorting this deal out. People think it's a normal negotiation, with the same rules that apply in a commercial transaction, but it's so much more nuanced than that. How could it be anything else?

In a business negotiation there is generally something in it for both parties or they have nothing to bargain with. What people fail to relaise is we have practically nothing to bargain with. Yes the EU want to retain as much of the economic trade as possible but that is massively outweighed by the fact that we want to rip up teh rule book and have everything our own way. Never going to happen. In a soft brexit where we accept the rules there is a deal to be done but if we continue to suggest we can pick and choose what elements of membership will apply to us its a non starter and who is making the bidding is irrelevant.
 
In a business negotiation there is generally something in it for both parties or they have nothing to bargain with. What people fail to relaise is we have practically nothing to bargain with. Yes the EU want to retain as much of the economic trade as possible but that is massively outweighed by the fact that we want to rip up teh rule book and have everything our own way. Never going to happen. In a soft brexit where we accept the rules there is a deal to be done but if we continue to suggest we can pick and choose what elements of membership will apply to us its a non starter and who is making the bidding is irrelevant.

I don't understand why people don't get this.

The EU have two choices: Give in to our demands & destroy themselves, don't give in & carry on, with a bit of short term hardship.

Even if they would love to give us everything we want, they can't, as then all the other countries will leave, on the same deal. So the best deal we can have, is the one May came back with, or, we can choose a Norway style position, as Farage advertised, to win votes in the referendum.
 
You say BoJo will likely resign. I get that and agree his other options are not good. But I have no idea what you are suggesting beyond that. I would assume that BoJo would have to nominate a willing successor otherwise he is technically the PM and has to comply or face the courts.
I don't think Bojo can both obey the law and be presented at the GE as a martyr so it follows he'll have to resign, permitting the extension request by others - unlikely to be the Tories as a party but possibly Grieve as part of a temporary coalition. Meanwhile the rebel legislation may be challenged in the British courts as improperly enacted and some sort of injunction sought allowing the October 31 deadline to be passed without its terms taking effect. It's that last mechanism which seems particularly problematic but another way is possible if the Supreme Court rules prorogation lawful BoJo could do it again to enable the same outcome.
 
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I don't think Bojo can both obey the law and be presented at the GE as a martyr so it follows he'll have to resign, permitting the extension request by others - unlikely to be the Tories as a party but possibly Grieve as part of a temporary coalition. Meanwhile the rebel legislation may be challenged in the British courts as improperly enacted and some sort of injunction sought allowing the October 31 deadline to be passed without its terms taking effect. It's that last mechanism which seems paricularly problematic but another way is possible if the Supreme Court rules prorogation lawful BoJo could do it again to enable the same outcome.

Following again the methods of Hitler.
 
Glad to see Boris is fully up to speed with the detail of what is required to replace the backstop. From a meeting with Barnier and Juncker:

According to an account of the meeting, the prime minister was told by his EU counterparts in no uncertain terms that the UK’s plan to replace the backstop by allowing Northern Ireland to stick to common EU rules on food and livestock (known as SPS) was not enough to prevent customs checks on the vast majority of goods that cross the Irish border.
At that point, a befuddled Mr Johnson turned to David Frost, his chief negotiator, and Stephen Barclay, Brexit secretary, and said: “So you’re telling me the SPS plan doesn’t solve the customs problem?”

https://www.ft.com/content/7453c686-d9b7-11e9-8f9b-77216ebe1f17

Reality strikes in the easiest negotiation in history.

Having dinner with Juncker is always a dangerous affair. The bugger has the entire conversation distilled into a brutal press briefing and released as the guests are getting their coats on. Did the same thing to May at the Downing Street dinner in 2017 which revealed May didn’t have a clue either and it’s the same with Johnson.

It reinforces the impression that the Brits at a political level are inept buffoons when it comes to EU and Europe which given our performance so far is hardly a revelation.

https://www.independent.co.uk/voice...otiations-downing-street-dinner-a7711526.html
 

A straightforward illustration why resolving complex issues with simple solutions based on the opinion of people who have absolutely no idea of the detail (and I include myself in that) is always a bad idea. That is why we have a representative democracy not regular referenda for the people to decide what the government should do based on what they've gleaned from social media and from their favoured news outlets which have no requirement to be objective.
 
I am neutral on it. I don’t have a view. It’s safer

I prefer ambivalent. Neutral, as you point out, suggests you have no opinion whereas ambivalence is holding a number of contradictory opinions. I think there are a few like that on here and in the broader Brexit debate.
 
I don't understand why people don't get this.

The EU have two choices: Give in to our demands & destroy themselves, don't give in & carry on, with a bit of short term hardship.

Even if they would love to give us everything we want, they can't, as then all the other countries will leave, on the same deal. So the best deal we can have, is the one May came back with, or, we can choose a Norway style position, as Farage advertised, to win votes in the referendum.

Yep. It is like the golf club analogy. You can be a full member and get full privilege and a seat on the committee or you can pay and play as a guest, irrespective everyone follows the same rules on the course. The idea that one member wants to leave but negotiate a full privileges deal while clearly not wanting to follow the rules is absurd. Send anyone you like to argue your case at the Golf club - they will say no as there is nothing in for them. They might lose your membership fee's but so what - what you are suggesting will destroy the club over time.
 
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