Arsenal Thread | 2025/26

Betterdeedthan red said:
Does that not show what a pointless load of wank xg is .
Expected 2.17
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At risk of sounding like a broken record, xG has perfectly predicted us winning the league every single time since 2012.

Media companies use it incorrectly which is why nobody understands it and people think it's bollocks. xG is the same mathematical principle casinos use to ensure they always have a house edge. There's nothing bollocks about that.

The problem is you should never use Expected Value predictions to compare really small samples like one or two games. Even looking at a season's worth of results is on the low side. All teams will revert to their xG under a long enough time horizon because the luck element evens out. I worked with a club that won their first 5 games of the season, they thought their system was the dogs bollocks but the stats said they were massively outperforming their xG for those 5 games. They insisted on sticking with the system because it got them undeserved wins. They ended up finishing one point off relegation. Everybody can bleat that xG is bollocks but you simply can't beat the law of averages, it's simply a description of mathematical reality - i.e. how much of your form is based on luck.

City were so dominant between 2020-2024 because their xG was so much better than everybody else's it wasn't even close. We need to get there again, at the moment we aren't and the results bear that out.
 
Im not sure if we have ehat o5 fakes to do it. But it is clear to me now that Arsenal doesn't want this :)
 
Don Karleone said:
I had low expectations, so I didn't watch it. I meant his rallying cry

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I thought you meant his rousing half time team talk!

He sprinted off at half time to get in the dressing room, to fire up the players, and they came out second half and were even worse!
 
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Ric said:
Guess that TikTok video at the training ground didn't work then.

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When Balotelli was questioned about his lack of celebration when scoring goals, and he said "does the postman celebrate when he delivers letters?" he was obviously being a bit tongue-in-cheek... but the principle is correct. To do the job and win titles everything has to feel as natural and ordinary as breathing.

This is the thing Arsenal and Arteta simply don't seem to get at all and it's crazy how badly they don't get it. They repeatedly show that they don't get it in the most embarrassing ways.
 
Wigan_Citizen said:
If we beat Chelsea, Arsenal and Burnley, both clubs will be on 70 points from 33 games played.
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Fucking hell
Talk about getting ahead of yourself!

City have blown every chance to reel arsenal in this season
Let's take it one "cup final" at a time eh, because that's what every remaining game is
 
SkyBlueFlux said:
When Balotelli was questioned about his lack of celebration when scoring goals, and he said "does the postman celebrate when he delivers letters?" he was obviously being a bit tongue-in-cheek... but the principle is correct. To do the job and win titles everything has to feel as natural and ordinary as breathing.

This is the thing Arsenal and Arteta simply don't seem to get at all and it's crazy how badly they don't get it. They repeatedly show that they don't get it in the most embarrassing ways.
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I always wondered about a what if

City 2 QPR 2
Aguero has the ball in the box. A QPR defender lunges and takes Aguero out before he has chance to shoot
Penalty awarded
Baloteli steps up... strikes the ball, sending the keeper the wrong way
It's 3-2 City

The question is, does Baloteli stand there with his arms outstretched with just a slight grin on his face, or does he actually celebrate!
 
Mikel has specially requested that as many people as possible are in the bowl before kick off….

What’s this bowl…?
 
dickie davies said:
I always wondered about a what if

City 2 QPR 2
Aguero has the ball in the box. A QPR defender lunges and takes Aguero out before he has chance to shoot
Penalty awarded
Baloteli steps up... strikes the ball, sending the keeper the wrong way
It's 3-2 City

The question is, does Baloteli stand there with his arms outstretched with just a slight grin on his face, or does he actually celebrate!
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It's Balotelli - he would aura farm the fuck out of it like this:

1775919810404.png
 
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