BBC pundits' title predictions

[uwe rosler 28]

bsica

I can't fathom why the two Manchester clubs are the outstanding favourites with the bookmakers. Whilst Pep and Mourinho are widely considered to be two of the best managers in today's game, Chelsea will be reinvigorated under Conte, and Arsenal and Spurs finished above us last season.

Basically city were favs to start because of there squad and getting pep early then when the rags got maureen all the vermain come out and bk them pushing the price down!

 

[Deepest Blue]

I can't fathom why the two Manchester clubs are the outstanding favourites with the bookmakers. Whilst Pep and Mourinho are widely considered to be two of the best managers in today's game, Chelsea will be reinvigorated under Conte, and Arsenal and Spurs finished above us last season.

Tottenham won't be within 15 points of the title winners.

 

[Phil1]

There's that famous BBC bias.

You've got to be pretty stupid not to see it exists.

 

[aguero93:20]

32 pundits. What the fuck for?

Wondered where the licence money was going

30 to cover the rags and 2 for the other 19 clubs going by their website. I wouldn't mind if they just left Sinclair doing our stuff.

 

[west didsblue]

These were last years:

http://forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/threads/pre-season-predictions.315527/

Alan Shearer Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United
Ruud Gullit Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United
Jason Roberts Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United
Jacqui Oatley Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United
Steve Bower Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United
Rachel Brown-Finnis Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United
Jermaine Jenas Chelsea Arsenal Manchester United Manchester City
Kevin Kilbane Chelsea Arsenal Manchester United Manchester City
Jonathan Pearce Chelsea Arsenal Manchester United Manchester City
Ian Dennis Chelsea Arsenal Manchester United Manchester City
Alistair Bruce-Ball Chelsea Arsenal Manchester United Manchester City
Gary Lineker Chelsea Manchester City Arsenal Manchester United
Mark Lawrenson Chelsea Manchester City Arsenal Manchester United
John Hartson Chelsea Manchester City Arsenal Manchester United
Chris Sutton Chelsea Manchester City Arsenal Manchester United
Graeme Le Saux Chelsea Manchester City Arsenal Manchester United
Conor McNamara Chelsea Manchester City Arsenal Manchester United
Pat Nevin Chelsea Manchester United Arsenal Manchester City
Guy Mowbray Chelsea Manchester United Arsenal Manchester City
Dan Walker Chelsea Manchester United Arsenal Manchester City
Danny Mills Chelsea Manchester United Arsenal Manchester City
John Murray Chelsea Manchester United Arsenal Manchester City
Ian Wright Arsenal Chelsea Manchester United Manchester City
Gabby Logan Arsenal Chelsea Manchester United Manchester City
Didi Hamann Arsenal Chelsea Manchester United Manchester City
Trevor Sinclair Arsenal Chelsea Manchester City Manchester United
Dion Dublin Manchester United Chelsea Arsenal Liverpool
Steve Wilson Manchester United Chelsea Arsenal Manchester City
Chris Waddle Manchester City Chelsea Arsenal Manchester United
Alistair Mann Manchester City Manchester United Chelsea Arsenal

 

[Cobwebcat]

Danny Mills,does anyone take the clown seriously?

Trevor Sinclair backing the Rags surprises,and disappoints,me.

Why? It's who do you think will win not who do you want to win. Isn't a blue allowed an opinion?

I think the rags will win the next two seasons and then we will take over for a very long time.

 

[dickie davies]

These were last years:

Dion Dublin Manchester United Chelsea Arsenal Liverpool

Now there is one fucking idiot
How the fucking hell has that pillock got a job on telly!

 

[moenchengladbach blau]

18 of the 32 pundits asked have backed City to win the title, with 10 backing United, 3 backing Chelsea and Chris Waddle backing Spurs. No one has us finishing lower than third.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/37040156

They might predict it but most would hate it.

 

[Marvin]

Fuck knows which line i was reading then.......cheers.

Still thought he'd be in our corner though.

He is in our corner, but he is a pundit. This is a serious question for a pundit.

 

[willipp]

Funny, Danny Murphy just on talksport talking up Chelsea as his choice for the title where he has tipped City on BBC. Maybe of they go around different media outlets saying different teams thinking they will get at least one right.

 

[Marvin]

I am not alone in detecting a bit of bias from Mr Mills but to be fair he does say "This season depends on how quickly they settle in but Pep will win the league with City at some point - it is a question of when, not if."

It's a reasonable opinion to believe that City might struggle immediately to come to terms with Guardiola's method.

 

[aguero93:20]

I am not alone in detecting a bit of bias from Mr Mills but to be fair he does say "This season depends on how quickly they settle in but Pep will win the league with City at some point - it is a question of when, not if."

It's a reasonable opinion to believe that City might struggle immediately to come to terms with Guardiola's method.

And if it were anyone else I'd take it as a reasonable opinion and respect it, however the oxygen thief has form for talking shite.

 

[andy h]

Dean Saunders - City, Leicester, Liverpool & Tottenham

One wonders what he has been smoking?

 

[Marvin]

And if it were anyone else I'd take it as a reasonable opinion and respect it, however the oxygen thief has form for talking shite.

Yes. There seem to be a few ex-blues who seem to resent the fact that they were at the club when it struggled, or maybe that they knew they weren't popular and have taken it to heart.

It is significant that pundits whose career depends to an extent on being right, and the bookies whose profits depend on being right both have City as significant favourites. if I was a betting man, which I am as I made money on Stones signing, I would find the odds on Spurs winning quite tempting. I don't think they will win it, but I'd give them more than a 10% chance.

The other odds look reasonable:

City: 9/4
Utd: 3/1
Chelsea: 5/1
Arsenal: 6/1
Liverpool: 8/1
Spurs: 10/1

I think Utd and Liverpool's odds are shortened slightly to reflect the amount of money they get from their fans, and hence the losses they might incur if they win.

 

[aguero93:20]

Yes. There seem to be a few ex-blues who seem to resent the fact that they were at the club when it struggled, or maybe that they knew they weren't popular and have taken it to heart.

It is significant that pundits whose career depends to an extent on being right, and the bookies whose profits depend on being right both have City as significant favourites. if I was a betting man, which I am as I made money on Stones signing, I would find the odds on Spurs winning quite tempting. I don't think they will win it, but I'd give them more than a 10% chance.

The other odds look reasonable:

City: 9/4
Utd: 3/1
Chelsea: 5/1
Arsenal: 6/1
Liverpool: 8/1
Spurs: 10/1

I think Utd and Liverpool's odds are shortened slightly to reflect the amount of money they get from their fans, and hence the losses they might incur if they win.

It's an offset book bud, they'll make between 5-10% profit whoever wins, that's how they set the odds.

 

[The perfect fumble]

Here's the list....

The Premier League starts again on Saturday, with surprise champions Leicester City defending the title they won by 10 points last season.

Who will win it this time, and how will the Foxes fare? We asked 33 BBC TV and radio pundits, presenters, journalists and commentators - and one super-computer for their one-two-three-four and an explanation of their selection.

The predictions were made on the basis of how each squad shaped up on Friday 12 August, before the opening weekend and with more than a fortnight to go before the transfer window shuts.


Predictor 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Jermaine Jenas Man City Tottenham Chelsea Liverpool
John Hartson Man City Arsenal Man Utd Liverpool
Dean Saunders Man City Leicester Liverpool Tottenham
Danny Murphy Man City Chelsea Man Utd Liverpool
Ian Wright Man City Chelsea Man Utd Arsenal
Ruud Gullit Man City Chelsea Man Utd Arsenal
SAM (super-computer) Man City Chelsea Man Utd Tottenham
Conor McNamara Man City Chelsea Man Utd Arsenal
Casey Stoney Man City Chelsea Arsenal Man Utd
Chris Sutton Man City Man Utd Liverpool Arsenal
Martin Keown Man City Man Utd Arsenal Tottenham
Pat Nevin Man City Man Utd Arsenal Tottenham
Dan Walker Man City Man Utd Chelsea Liverpool
Mark Lawrenson Man City Man Utd Chelsea Arsenal
Guy Mowbray Man City Man Utd Chelsea Arsenal
Juliette Ferrington Man City Man Utd Chelsea Arsenal
Kevin Kilbane Man City Man Utd Tottenham Chelsea
Alistair Bruce-Ball Man City Man Utd Tottenham Liverpool
Danny Mills Man Utd Man City Tottenham Chelsea
Garth Crooks Man Utd Man City Chelsea Arsenal
John Murray Man Utd Man City Chelsea Arsenal
Rachel Brown-Finnis Man Utd Man City Chelsea Arsenal
Eniola Aluko Man Utd Man City Chelsea Tottenham
Gabby Logan Man Utd Man City Chelsea Tottenham
Manish Bhasin Man Utd Man City Chelsea Liverpool
Steve Bower Man Utd Man City Arsenal Liverpool
Ian Dennis Man Utd Man City Arsenal Liverpool
Alistair Mann Man Utd Man City Arsenal Liverpool
Jason Roberts Man Utd Arsenal Man City Chelsea
Jason Mohammad Man Utd Chelsea Man City Tottenham
Trevor Sinclair Chelsea Man City Liverpool Man Utd
Steve Wilson Chelsea Man City Arsenal Man Utd
John Motson Chelsea Liverpool Man City Man Utd
Chris Waddle Tottenham Arsenal Man City Man Utd

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/37040156

 

[YaYa's Left Peg]

To be fair, as a City fan, I wouldn't tip us to win it for fear of jinxing it.

 

[YaYa's Left Peg]

Why? It's who do you think will win not who do you want to win. Isn't a blue allowed an opinion?

I think the rags will win the next two seasons and then we will take over for a very long time.

I hope you're wrong about the next couple of seasons ;)

 

[Marvin]

It's an offset book bud, they'll make between 5-10% profit whoever wins, that's how they set the odds.

I meant to say lengthened by the way for Utd and Liverpool. To reduce liabilities. Would that be right?

 

[aguero93:20]

I meant to say lengthened by the way for Utd and Liverpool. To reduce liabilities. Would that be right?

Look, if Spurs are 10/1 then roughly £1 in £12 has gone on spurs, meaning that if there's £12m on the book and Spurs win the title then the bookies keep £1m. If we're 9/4 they'll have a similar (maybe slightly smaller) margin on us winning, say £2 in £7 has gone on us. If we're a shorter price than the rags and liverpool, it's because they've taken more money in bets on us than on either of the above teams. The bookies don't leave themselves open to losing much money on these things.