Steady heads, calm minds required...
I've taken time to gather my thoughts on this gutting loss, to avoid a kneejerk reaction.
What we're seeing unfold has been in the making since the treble. Our Champions had peaked, they were getting older & more injury-prone, with several on the decline.
Kalvin Philips was Fernandinho's replacement & he disappointed. We tried to sign Paqueta, but his betting investigation put an end to our interest. In a panic, we bought Matheus Nunes.
Nunes is a player I never rated, & wasn't one who I could envisage in a million years being brought to City to challenge & rotate with Rodri who went on to become World Player of the Year.
The signing of Nunes typifies City's squad complacency & our weird post-treble succession planning. It's as if those in charge of transfers believed our elite squad advantage wouldn't be eroded any time soon. However, that complacency has seen our player quality advantage vapourise quicker than a fart in a hurricane.
I don't blame Nunes for the clear penalty. His arm movement was a natural reaction to something coming at your face. However, with Matheus now being converted to a right back, different rules apply.
Defenders know the handball rules, especially in the penalty area, but with him not being a defender by trade, Nunes' lack of defensive nous was cruelly exposed & it cost us dearly.
Knowing we needed to replace Walker & seemingly not doing so, continues the odd squad decisions taken by City since the treble.
To counter the 11-man low block that City faced every game, Pep formulated the inverted full back tactical system with great success. At first most teams were completely flummoxed by this change, & then they copied our play book, but in doing so they also figured out how to counter the tactic. Now it's City's turn to be tactically out-thought & since last season, Pep's shown few signs of figuring out a solution.
Because of Nunes' limitations & 'lack of midfield intelligence' he was moved to right back where he had a measure of success & City's results improved. I believe this had much to do with us using a flat back four which was the only position Matheus was suited to, & it led to a solid run of unspectacular results which secured CL football.
When Nunes was replaced by Lewis against Brighton, Pep again switched to his preferred inverted FB formation, & Brighton immediately started launching balls into the channels in the space Rico had vacated. You can clearly see the 4 v 3 effect it had which led to Brighton's winner, so the question is, how long will Guardiola persist with it?
Ait Nouri was poor & left isolated. Reijnders was ineffective. Moose tried, but his efforts weren't enough in a team devoid of a coherent plan. Have we bought poorly, OR is it our formation & the way the players are being instructed to play that's the main issue?
Player for player, I still believe we have more than enough to compete, but it was Rodri's post match comments which were the most telling. He used the word "kids" three times. As usual with Rodri, this was deliberate & by design, & it made me take notice. Rodri's assessments are rarely wrong.
It seems many of the older squad members who were earmarked to leave will remain. Considering our underwhelming performances so far, it might just be a blessing in disguise, because Pep will then be forced to utilise our full squad.
We'll need to find a working blend of younger legs & experience. My hope is that the experienced squad members will impart their vast knowledge onto our new signings, & instill the winning mentality we were famed for & seemed to have lost somewhere along the line.
We could've avoided this whole situation if only Pep & those responsible for transfers had begun our succession planning 2 years ago. It is what it is though. But the big remaining issue that needs to be urgently addressed is the ditching of Pep's inverted FB bollocks.
I honestly feel that if Pep can be persuaded to go back to basics by reverting to his famed Barcelona 4-3-3 formation, with a flat back four using raiding over/underlapping fullbacks, this pressing of the reset button will go a long way to us getting back on track.
I hate international breaks, but tbh, I don't think this one could've come at a better time for Manchester City Football Club.