they have the edge but it's not over by a long shot. cmon. we were 4 points clear last week, nobody predicted that both arsenal and chelsea would flop against spurs. if they beat utd, and get something from COMS, then there'll be no complaints from me, as long as we've hit our 70 points. they will have won it fairly and squarely by putting together a quite sensational run, last week you could have got odds in the region of 40/1 on them winning all three matches against the big four.
as it is, they are still 6/1 against winning at utd... winning against arsenal and chelsea amounted to a 15/2 double, so they almost need to match both miracles in one afternoon. all they've done so far, no matter how impressively, is get their noses very very narrowly in front. even if they got a point at utd and we lost at arsenal, if we win the three remaining games it comes down to goal difference. I said last week that two wins two draws and a loss would do it. and it still quite possibly would, if spurs finally revert to the form book and lose at united, draws against villa and arsenal, wins against spurs and west-ham could well do it. even if they won their other two we'd both be on 70 and it would come down to the goal difference.
I do share the concern over our home form in the league against the top 6. but we've only had two such games under mancini, and both times we played tactically, looking to win, for sure, but also trying to protect the draw that would have suited us much more than the opponent. against tottenham, if we really need the win then I am sure Mancini is astute enough to realise that.
