Marvin said:
FanchesterCity said:
I went to bed mulling over this Chelsea impact theory (a definite sign of getting old)... and I'm going to revise my view slightly, but only slightly.
When Chelsea came along, there was an impact in as much as someone tossing a pebble into a lake. MOST of football (outside of the elite) probably saw it as just another nail in the coffin of football. Chelsea didn't threaten their existence or anything - they were just a rich sugar daddy club bullying their way to the top (much as City are accused of today).
In once sense, yes, they changed the footballing landscape. There was a new kid in town, and they weren't a flash in the pan as many had predicted they would be, and they did manage to attract some impressive players and win things.
But in another sense, nothing really changed. 95% of clubs still stood no chance of being in the elite, they were still poorly run financially, the only hope of any success was a domestic cup win. Manchester United still pulled 70K crowds and bought talent in the same way they always had. Real Madrid carried on with their spending as they always had too. Only now, Chelsea could do the same. But the landscape didn't change for 95% of clubs.
Some argued that Chelsea's inflated transfer fees and wages pushed up costs elsewhere. Well, clubs also overcharged Chelsea in the way they overcharged us when we first started. Clubs weren't forced to match Chelsea's wages. After all, Chelsea could only realistically gather 30 players or so and pay them a small fortune - there would still be plenty of other players in the pool to choose from.
So, for some of the big boys, I suppose they could argue Chelsea had an impact on them. A huge one? - no, I don't think so really. Enough to cause all their financial woes? - absolutely not.
For the rest of the world, nothing much changed, instead of Arsenal v United for the league, it because Chelsea v United instead. A change, of sorts, but not one that rocked anybody's boat. All that happened was that there was a shuffle in the upper eschelons of power clubs, just as there has been since City's money arrived. The rest of football just gets on with knowing they can't win much.
And now, almost inevitably, Platini's attempting to modify his own rules because they are starting to pose a threat to the elite. He will argue that FFP will forever be a game of cat and mouse as they seek to close loopholes and fine tune the policies to keep the game 'fair'. But at the same time, he's hardly giving the rules long enough for people to adhere to them before changing them.
It raises the question in his 'cat and mouse' world... is the mouse he's chasing 'fairness' or is it just the new money clubs?
Platini is telling us, and others that we much make money. In order to do so in a market that's already dominated by some heavy hitters, City and others have to be creative. We have to think up new ideas that the others haven't thought of. We let the big boys rest on their laurels, and overtake them on the blindside in much the same way as companies like Google overtake Microsoft, or Apple resurge back to success ahead of Sony etc.
But when we are innovative, it's automatically perceived as an FFP workaround.
Effectively we're being told not only that we need to be profitable, but how we can make those profits... and can only do so in the manner of the other longer established players. That's crippling innovation.
Worse still for Platini... some of our ideas will work, and the established elite will want to copy them (as they are at liberty to do so). That is where Platini will come unstuck.
He's being told by the elite to curb how clubs 'get around FFP', but the moment those clubs realise THEY can make some more money doing these things, they'll want the restrictions lifted - leaving Platini looking the fool.
The elite clubs hate innovative startups like City - until they start to benefit from those innovations themselves. Then all of a sudden we're welcomed into their group as they throw overboard the weakest of their former cohorts who've served their purpose. It's interesting to see how Chelsea are no longer the pariahs for football. Focus has moved to City and PSG.
Sooner or later, we will be 'stalwarts' looking in on another new startup coming to the fore, and complaining about them. I suppose it's the nature of the beast.
Platini didn't seem to mind money and 'change of landscape' when he voted for Qatar to host the World Cup. New opportunities seemed to be a great idea then. If money and new found football success is good enough for Qatar, it ought to be good enough for East Manchester too.
Totally changed the transfer mkt, and pushed the top players outside the reaches of the majority of clubs, and also any time a club had a top player, like SWP, they had him for 1-2 seasons. Chelsea made a huge impact on the game and magnified the disparity between the top and bottom by inflating fees and wages for the top players. Prior to Chelsea, the record transfers were relatively minor, and then they jumped
Are you seriously suggesting that prior to Chelsea, the top players were available to all?
And that the transfer records were relatively minor?
The jump in transfer fees is a result of TV money, not Chelsea. TV money affected the entire PL far more than one single club did.
Let's look at the British transfer record before and after Chelsea:
Before:
1977 Keegan 0.5m
1979 Gray 1.4m (300% in 2 years)
1984 WIlkins 1.5m (negligible growth)
1986 Hughes 2.3m (150% in 2 years
1989 Waddle 4.2m (190% in 3 years)
1992 Gascoigne 5.5m (130% in 3 years)
1995 Collymore 8.5m (160% in 3 years)
1999 Anelka 22.5m (180% in 4 years)
2002 Ferdinand 29m (130% in 3 years)
After:
2006 Shevchenko 31m (10% in 4 years)
2008 Robinho 32m (5% in 2 years)
2009 Ronaldo 80m (260% in 2 years)
2013 Bale 85m (8% in 4 years)
So where's the evidence for Chelsea causing escalation? It's a myth. The record fee growth rate has massively slowed down. Before them, the fees had at least quadrupled every decade, since them, they have just been a touch over doubling (you can make a case for tripled at a push).