Well, it's 200 pages since I put my thoughts down after I woke up in Saturday morning, so I thought I owed it to myself to update them, in bold below.
"Well, fuck me. I go to bed early one night and all hell breaks loose. I should do it more often :)
A few thoughts.
This latest judgment vindicates those that suggested this was likely. You know who you are. Still holds imho.
It's not fair to point at people who honestly thought this wasn't likely. It's all just opinions and it's up to the individual to weigh them up and believe them or not. Still holds imho.
It's very fair to point and laugh at people who take the word of the PL as gospel. That includes 98% of the press. Absolutely still holds.
Nick de Marco playing the lawyer game: I didn't say this at the time, but it was obvious this was going to happen. I have more respect for people who give their opinion at the time, even if turns out to be wrong, than bullshit like that. Haven't seen anything to contradict that.
The only winner here is City. The ten year Etihad deal now presumably sails through. This is where I started going wrong. Lawyers say one of two things : APT out / RPT back in or November rules may mean the 2021-2024 are lawful again. Fucked if I understand the second argument because no-one has explained it clearly yet, but here we are.
If I were Newcastle, I would sign some major new sponsorships right now. APT2 will now likely be found in City's favour as well and so there will be a short period before the PL make their new APT rules (if they have the strength) during which they can make their "APT" deals unhindered. See above, although there is talk of a "window" between October and November for reasons I still don't understand.
I can't see any significant claim against the PL for this, other than costs. The win is getting Etihad through. Still holds, I think.
There is no effect on United. This is nothing to do with PSR. Yet! Still holds.
Martin Samuel may be spot on, but he is a little premature with his Everton and Forest comments. PSR isn't null and void (yet) but I will say this. He was clearly briefed by City after the first APT judgment. If he is being briefed by City now and coming to the conclusion PSR may be in trouble, then it's all about to get very interesting. Still holds I think, although I see other people jumping on Samuel's bandwagon (Maguire in his latest video, for example).
Not sure what the club does about APT2 now. They have got what they wanted. Continue as a matter of principle? Continue just to show the PL who's boss? Clearly wrong based on informed comment although, as I said, I don't really understand why. APT2 will be heard unless the PL folds, sorry, compromises.
Now that APT has been kicked out, and the tribunal agreed that APT was a vital part of PSR, will the club move to get PSR declared null and void? That would be some end game. Still holds in principle, I think, (awaiting APT2 apparently) although others may disagree.
Just a few thoughts. As you were."
Actually, not bad for a beginner, I thought.