CL Last 16 vs Barcelona (feb. 24 & mar. 18)

[Matty]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

does someone have a similar probabilities table for last year?

It's most likely we'll get Dortmund, as they have only 5 available 2nd place sides (Can't get Schalke, Leverkusen, or Arsenal). In the same vein Arsenal's most likely opponent is Bayern Munich!

Porto, Barca, Real and Atletico can get anyone but the side they played in the group stage, so have 7 options available to them. Monaco have 6 (can't play PSG or Leverkusen), Chelsea have 5 (can't play City, Arsenal or Schalke).

In terms of probability, for City, it goes like this (order most probable to least probable):-

1 - Borussia Dortmund
2 - Monaco
=3 - Porto
=3 - Barcelona
=3 - Atletico Madrid
=3 - Real Madrid
=7 - Chelsea (no mathematical chance)
=7 - Bayern Munich (no mathematical chance)

 

[bluechampion7891]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

does someone have a similar probabilities table for last year?

It's most likely we'll get Dortmund, as they have only 5 available 2nd place sides (Can't get Schalke, Leverkusen, or Arsenal). In the same vein Arsenal's most likely opponent is Bayern Munich!

Porto, Barca, Real and Atletico can get anyone but the side they played in the group stage, so have 7 options available to them. Monaco have 6 (can't play PSG or Leverkusen), Chelsea have 5 (can't play City, Arsenal or Schalke).

In terms of probability, for City, it goes like this (order most probable to least probable):-

1 - Borussia Dortmund
2 - Monaco
=3 - Porto
=3 - Barcelona
=3 - Atletico Madrid
=3 - Real Madrid
=7 - Chelsea (no mathematical chance)
=7 - Bayern Munich (no mathematical chance)

thanks but I saw the table for this year in the thread.

I was asking for last year's table to see how many of the top probabilities turn into realities

 

[hihosilva]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

Monaco or Porto will do.
We're due an easier draw.

 

[sam-caddick]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

Barcelona are more likely that Porto going off that graph.

 

[citymad]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

An easier draw please we need as much time as we can get to ensure Sergio is fully recovered.

 

[Matty]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

Bored, so, random selector for a "fake draw" (using all the protected rules):-

Schalke v Real Madrid
Juventus v Barcelona
Basel v Bayern Munich
Bayer Leverkusen v Chelsea
PSG v Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City v Atletico Madrid
Shakhtar Donetsk v Monaco
Arsenal v Porto

Could have been better, could have been worse. Interesting that there's a couple of ties with no "big" side in at all. Those bottom 2 would generate 2 sides anyone would want to get in the Quarter Finals. Just goes to show, it's all a matter of luck with these things.

 

[Deleted member 58619]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

Am I correct in saying we won't know which week we play in until after the draw?

 

[Maldeika]

Re: CL Round of 16

Shame we. Can't play Waxtap. I reckon we would beat them.

Schachtjor Donezk - I do not know how it is written in English - but that seems to be the russian writing of it. In the other probability table the probabilities are rounded on 3 digits - here it is 1.

 

[Matty]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

Am I correct in saying we won't know which week we play in until after the draw?

Yeah, they play the 1st legs over a 2 week period, then the 2nd legs over another 2 week period, with 2 games per night on the Tuesday and Wednesday. Until they know who plays who they won't be able to pick the games for the specific weeks (as TV companies will have the biggest say in this no doubt).

 

[Maldeika]

Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)

Am I correct in saying we won't know which week we play in until after the draw?

Yeah, they play the 1st legs over a 2 week period, then the 2nd legs over another 2 week period, with 2 games per night on the Tuesday and Wednesday. Until they know who plays who they won't be able to pick the games for the specific weeks (as TV companies will have the biggest say in this no doubt).

Actually I do not really mind that. Like this you have the chance to see more of the interesting matches if you are not only interested into the football of the one team you follow.