Matty
Well-Known Member
Re: CL Round of 16 (Draw on Monday dec. 15th)
It's most likely we'll get Dortmund, as they have only 5 available 2nd place sides (Can't get Schalke, Leverkusen, or Arsenal). In the same vein Arsenal's most likely opponent is Bayern Munich!
Porto, Barca, Real and Atletico can get anyone but the side they played in the group stage, so have 7 options available to them. Monaco have 6 (can't play PSG or Leverkusen), Chelsea have 5 (can't play City, Arsenal or Schalke).
In terms of probability, for City, it goes like this (order most probable to least probable):-
1 - Borussia Dortmund
2 - Monaco
=3 - Porto
=3 - Barcelona
=3 - Atletico Madrid
=3 - Real Madrid
=7 - Chelsea (no mathematical chance)
=7 - Bayern Munich (no mathematical chance)
bluechampion7891 said:does someone have a similar probabilities table for last year?
It's most likely we'll get Dortmund, as they have only 5 available 2nd place sides (Can't get Schalke, Leverkusen, or Arsenal). In the same vein Arsenal's most likely opponent is Bayern Munich!
Porto, Barca, Real and Atletico can get anyone but the side they played in the group stage, so have 7 options available to them. Monaco have 6 (can't play PSG or Leverkusen), Chelsea have 5 (can't play City, Arsenal or Schalke).
In terms of probability, for City, it goes like this (order most probable to least probable):-
1 - Borussia Dortmund
2 - Monaco
=3 - Porto
=3 - Barcelona
=3 - Atletico Madrid
=3 - Real Madrid
=7 - Chelsea (no mathematical chance)
=7 - Bayern Munich (no mathematical chance)