BulgarianPride
Well-Known Member
Skashion said:Supporter? As in believe it's happening?BulgarianPride said:I am not a supporter of global warming. Like i said, i would like to see a model that predicts the steady state of earth. All we can be seeing is just fluctuations caused by us that have no effect on the future. In way, i do support your point. However that calculation is flawed just the way other models are flawed. They are based on a bunch of unknowns. On rates we don't know. These rates may affect the temperatures we are observing, but essentially go back to "natural" over time. I've asked Damo in a previous thread, and i don't think i got an answer. Can there not be higher order factors that are "guiding" the overall response of the environment? That what we are seeing is local fluctuations, and do not predict the over all response of how our environment will change?
It's not flawed. It's simply a calculation of the average rate it would have to melt it to get get 60m of sea level rise in only a few thousand years. It is not a projection that ice will melt at a constant rate. Of course it won't. If it was at a rate of 1 now and acceleration was constant that would mean sixty times the Greenland average three thousand years from now, but the calculation would still be correct as it is merely an average. However, it's very very extreme. It's completely unsupported by current science. Absolutely no credible scientist I know of is predicting 60m sea level rises even three thousand years from now. If there is one, find them for me.
No. I don't believe humans are making a major contribution, and that it is not a "runaway global warming" and that such thing will not occur. It is why i am concerted with a steady state. Anything we do might have very little influence on the natural model.