Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Regional Cases Today



Cases show up or down on yesterday and the v number is versus 7 days ago.



SOUTH

East DOWN 129 to 138 v 148

London DOWN 144 to 257 v 296 (London had largest fall today and goes below the NW again)

South East DOWN 74 to 228 v 209 (South East stays below the North West in fourth place despite big rise)

South West DOWN 48 to 103 v 122


Every southern region had a good fall and week to week most are down. The bulk of the fall was here today.





MIDLANDS

East DOWN 23 to 166 v 167 - pretty flat wk to wk

West DOWN 36 to 184 v 212


Midlands fairly consistent week to week




NORTH

North East DOWN 40 to 89 v 118 (Still lowest region in England and back below 100).

Yorkshire UP 8 to 369 v 417 - Only region to go UP today - by 8 mind you - and down week to week But wellclear as the largest region again.


NORTH WEST DOWN 61 to 279 v 210 . Still behind Yorkshire today but London did better and went below. NW also up week to week quite a bit.



Greater Manchester was also up week to week - by 24 of that 69 week to week rise - which is outperforming as it is below the roughly 50% expected rise.

GM was down day to day by 28 - which is a little below par from that NW fall of 61.

But at 50.9% of the cases from the NW is pretty much where it should be based on population.
 
What bit of its a covid briefing are they failing to understand?
Pretty much how the media have been all the way through this. Around 13 months ago, they had an opportunity to make a difference. Sensible communication to give us real information to get through this crisis. Instead, they continued to click bait and ask bollocks. Shower of vile bastards the lot of em!
 
Pretty much how the media have been all the way through this. Around 13 months ago, they had an opportunity to make a difference. Sensible communication to give us real information to get through this crisis. Instead, they continued to click bait and ask bollocks. Shower of vile bastards the lot of em!
Bang on..they want flogging
 
Greater Manchester Cases


142 cases today - down 28 on yesterday.

Takes GM share to almost exactly 50%.

But this is up week to week by 24. Which is well below expected given the much larger NW rise.

So not a bad day for GM.


Bolton stays top on its own today. Though down 9 to 26. Though that is up 5 week to week.

Manchester is second though falls 12 on day to 23 - down an impressive 19 week to week.

Trafford still has problems and on 20 was the closest to topping Manchester I can ever recall. This is down 3 in day but up 12 wk to wk. Trafford also closer to the 7000 club at 6985.

Wigan on 17 was up 10 on the day and 11 wk to wk will have dented its Pop Score lead of GM. .

Rochdale stays on 12 - but up 9 week to week.

Salford falls by 4 to 11 which is up 2 from last wk.



Which means four boroughs were in single figures today:-


Tameside down by 3 to 9 on the day which is also down 3 from last week.

Stockport is down 1 also to 9 - which is actually up 1 week to week. But still cut the deficit to Trafford for overall Pop Score by another 5 to 164 as the fortunes of these two boroughs has flip flopped in past week or two. .

Oldham down 3 on the day to 8 which is the same as last week.

And who else but...

Bury top on 7 - down 3 on the day but up 6 from last week


Weekly total cases:-

Odd to see Trafford - which had the lowest cases for so long - now third highest in the region and over 100.

Bury 49, Stockport 68. Tameside 68. Rochdale 78, Wigan 80, Oldham 92, Salford 101, Trafford 111, Bolton 156, Manchester 206.
 
Interesting, I see Liverpool have just hosted a test event in a business centre for 400 with no restrictions.
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Bolton 55/ 54 / UP 1 Testing positive 9.1%

Trafford 46/ 26 / UP 20 Testing positive 7.0 %

Salford 39 / 28 / UP 11 Testing positive 9.0%

Oldham 39 / 46 DOWN 7 Testing positive 9.8%

Manchester 37 / 51/ DOWN 14 Testing positive 9.6%

Rochdale 35 / 35 / LEVEL Testing positive 9.6%

Tameside 30 / 36 DOWN 6 Testing positive 8.1%

Bury 26 / 29 / DOWN 3 Testing positive 9.0%

Wigan 24 / 24 / LEVEL Testing positive 8.9%

Stockport 23 / 28 / DOWN 5 Testing positive 7.1%


The lowest three boroughs back to jostling and changing position daily. Stockport's turn to today. These three always are the lowest when Covid is low. Usually with Trafford there too.


But Trafford has been climbing alarmingly from best of them all in past week or two and to see it with a higher Pop than Manchester is unexpected. And nearly had as many cases today which would have been unthinkable not that long ago. Not sure what is causing this in Trafford but hopefully it is just a blip.

Bolton along with Trafford look isolated up top though Bolton seems to have slowed down and may soon be falling.
 
HOSPITAL DATA

Summary:


A smallish fall of 32 today - it was 40 in England last Wednesday. No fall in the other nations as Wales had quite a big rise of 16 patients on the day. Curious given the low case numbers.

Ventilators fell by just 8 in England versus 24 last week. Rose in the other nations day to day.


In the England regions only modest falls and Midlands and South West rose - which is why the fall was low. Not by much but unusual mid week. North West made it to sub 200 in hospital for first time in over 7 months.

The NW was last lower in patients on 11 September - ahead of the national picture. They were last lower on ventilators on 15 September - also ahead of the national numbers.




UK total:


Patients down to 1515 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 37, 733 in 100 days) :- lowest since 21 September

Ventilators down to 207 it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3870 in 94 days) : lowest since 21 September


England only:-


ADMISSIONS
:-

108 Covid admissions following 107, 99, 124, 92, 126, 98, 138 in the week before. Down 30 week to week as you see.



PATIENTS:-


Patients down by 32 to 1278 v 1609 last week :- lowest since 21 September

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 33, 058 in 100 days)

Ventilators: down 8 to 188 v 249 last week :- lowest since 22 September

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 3548 in 94 days)



Regions:


Patient // Ventilators // change in past day to today and v last week



East down 12 to 128 v 178 // UP 1 to 15 v 15

London down 15 to 353 v 453 // down 2 to 78 v 96

Midlands UP 4 to 241 v 301 // down 3 to 31 v 51

NE & Yorks Stays at 194 v 258 // down 4 to 23 v 34

North West down 6 to 196 v 247 // down 1 to 26 v 31

South East down 6 to 114 v 109 // UP 1 to 12 v 15

South West UP 3 to 52 v 68 // Stays at 3 v 7
 
@worsleyweb I've reported your political rant, obviously, so the thread doesn't get polluted, but it's nice to see you better again!

Now, is there anything better to do than post about pestilence? Hmmm....

Come on City!!
 
Is it true that Worsley paid for a cushion in Bojo’s apartment?

it turns out that I know the guy responsible for the National Covid figures. I used to work Chris who was working 7 days per week and between 12-14 hours per day during the earlier days of the pandemic. I just found this out by chance in the pub after last night’s game of 5 a side. I would have been in Paris but for Covid.
 
Some lovely comments. Still feel horrendously bad as during last nights game was being sick for England. Day 11 and lost 17 pounds and scared at how low my energy levels are.

sick again this morning and coughing up green pleghm.
 
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