Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Del_Bosque]

True, and especially so as the 60-79 group is so broad. I suppose the over 80s will drop right off compared to that group and then very soon the numbers will be so low that percentages will be irrelevant.

Daily Mail was saying today that the number of over 80’s being admitted to intensive care at the minute is almost zero

 

[sky tot]

My vaccine calculator has basically come down 4 wks . Yesterday it was 15/4 now it says 19/3 .. Great news

 

[Tonster]

Not really, take todays numbers 4 ,5, 75, 65. Assuming those under 60 with underlying conditions have also been vaccinated now or in the next couple of weeks. best case scenarion all 4 groups drop to 0. For argument though lets say they drop to 1, 1, 4 ,4 great numbers but still 10% 10% 40% 40%. So the percentage figure becomes a bit misleading and not the figure to be looking at.

I agree it’s not so important a figure to concentrate on but let’s use a different example. Say it was 4,4,1,1 for example percentages then 40%, 40%, 10%, 10%. Then you start to see the difference don’t you? The swing now being over 80’s was 40% now only 10%. This is where you see the vaccine working

 

[BlueAnorak]

I don't think so for several reasons.

Firstly, large numbers of required second shots don't kick in until the end of March/April. In early January the numbers of first shots started rising as AZ came on stream but we weren't doing almost three million a week then or anything like that.

Hancock said again on Friday that March will be a 'bumper month' so expect daily numbers to reach new records.

Thirdly, we will be in a better supply situation soon as to date we haven't received any supply from Moderna plus the Johnson & Johnson single shot vaccine will be approved by the MHRA in the coming two to three weeks.

The thing with where we are now is not to look at past numbers but the direction of travel.

Hope so. That would be a magnificent achievement by the UK

 

[BlueAnorak]

who would have thought our government would have done so well?

My daughter wasn't keen because we were going against trail approval data. But she admitted then that case numbers and deaths from the new variant were so vast that somthing had to be done and the risks for taking the UK approach were miniscule compared with the benefits.

 

[Chappie]

No risk to others mate, retired don't do shops, garage's just walk my dog over the hills and in the country side.Keep well away from people .

Let's hope you're still alive to make a choice.
You like a gamble

 

[BlueAnorak]

My daughter wasn't keen because we were going against trail approval data. But she admitted then that case numbers and deaths from the new variant were so vast that somthing had to be done and the risks for taking the UK approach were miniscule compared with the benefits.

We now have to crush case numbers and mass test areas with variant outbreaks or with large UK variant case numbers. Why? To minimise the possibility of variant X occurring that is far worse than the UK Brazilian, South African or Californian variants .
The Covidiots will tell you otherwise but they are so, so wrong.
Doing something about transmission during shopping is essential too to minimise new case numbers. It is not too late.

 

[splinter]

My vaccine calculator has basically come down 4 wks . Yesterday it was 15/4 now it says 19/3 .. Great news

Just checked mine..come down a month 9/4 get in

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

thrse are getting really low now

 

[Bluemoon dan]

thrse are getting really low now

I'm going to take a screenshot of those numbers and then compare them to the ones on the last Sunday of March. See how far we've come when we get there.