Coronavirus (2021) thread

[shemnel]

So do we think this month's slow down will mean a pushing back of those date targets for things being lifted?

You put this in the vaccine thread but I think gets more traction here.

From a positive perspective, If some of the roadmap dates such as end march, mid April and mid may effectively pre date all adult first dosage before this announcement, nevermind second dosage, then perhaps the vaccine proportion was not Central to those dates? I mean it could be, I don't know, but especially the April 12th one where you'd think we won't be in a much different position to that of ideal supply/vaccination

 

[Tim of the Oak]

I see Dominic Cummings has been stretching the truth again, claiming the Department of Health was responsible for PPE during the pandemic.!it was a Company (NHS Logistics using DHL) responsible to the Secretary of State for Health until April 2019 when it was sold off commercially (and became nHS Supply Chain).

 

[Healdplace]

HOSPITAL DATA


Headline UK patients below 7000, UK ventilators below 1000, both first time in months. The falls keep on coming

UK total:


Patients 6585 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 32, 663 in 58 days) :- lowest since 17 October

Ventilators 928 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3149 in 52 days) : lowest since 27 October


England only:-

ADMISSIONS:-

431 Covid admissions (15 March) - following 357, 385, 386, 449, 494 before. 431 is the first day to day rise but this data is 2 day old so is from Monday when admissions held over the weekend often go up. For context it is down from 501 the Monday before.


PATIENTS:-

Patients down 267 in day to 5397 v 6975 last week :- lowest since 18 October.

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 28, 939 in 58 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 36 to 846 v 1137 last week :- lowest since 1 November

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 2890 in 52 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week


East down 35 to 497 v 669 // down 1 to 83 v 108

London down 56 to 1082 v 1400 // down 13 to 274 v 339

Midlands down 45 to 1204 v 1565 // down 10 to 186 v 251

NE & Yorks down 48 to 862 v 1082 // down 5 to 107 v 145

North West down 41 to 911 v 1118// down 4 to 102 v 138

South East down 27 to 649 v 883 // down 1 to 67 v 115

South West down 15 to 192 v 258 // down 2 to 27 v 41


As you see the falls are slowing as numbers are lower and the week to week fall is reduced too but once again every region was down in both patients and ventilators day to day and week to week. That is very positive news

 

[Bluewonder]

The ONS reported just 409 excess deaths in the week ending 5th March.

Given the continual fall of Covid deaths reported since then, it is highly likely that we are now experiencing no more deaths than normal.

This pandemic is over.

 

[Healdplace]

Are hospitalisations and deaths not the most important figures now?

Yes, they are for reasons that have been discussed in here over recent weeks.

And it is why I post the UK and England region hospital data every evening about this time in here. And have done now for a few weeks as it is key to where we are heading. And I now focus less on the full GM cases scoreboard and more on the week to week Pop Score table as that shows the trend not day to day fluctuations you get in cases when this low especially.

The hospital numbers have been falling now every day for nearly two months as tonight's detailed data that I posted above shows.

The death numbers I post as they come in day to day between noon and 4 pm usually as each nation reports individually. Usually with week to week comparison though that got waylaid today by this thread being sidelined.

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

HOSPITAL DATA


Headline UK patients below 7000, UK ventilators below 1000, both first time in months. The falls keep on coming

UK total:


Patients 6585 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 32, 663 in 58 days) :- lowest since 17 October

Ventilators 928 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 3149 in 52 days) : lowest since 27 October


England only:-

ADMISSIONS:-

431 Covid admissions (15 March) - following 357, 385, 386, 449, 494 before. 431 is the first day to day rise but this data is 2 day old so is from Monday when admissions held over the weekend often go up.


PATIENTS:-

Patients down 267 in day to 5397 v 6975 last week :- lowest since 18 October.

Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 28, 939 in 58 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 36 to 846 v 1137 last week :- lowest since 1 November

Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 2890 in 52 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week


East down 35 to 497 v 669 // down 1 to 83 v 108

London down 56 to 1082 v 1400 // down 13 to 274 v 339

Midlands down 45 to 1204 v 1565 // down 10 to 186 v 251

NE & Yorks down 48 to 862 v 1082 // down 5 to 107 v 145

North West down 41 to 911 v 1118// down 4 to 102 v 138

South East down 27 to 649 v 883 // down 1 to 67 v 115

South West down 15 to 192 v 258 // down 2 to 27 v 41


As you see the falls are slowing as numbers are lower and the week to week fall is reduced too but once again every region was down in both patients and ventilators day to day and week to week. That is very positive news

that is amazing .

the fall in hospital numbers is really staggering and gives real confidence in the vaccines, although I appreciate lockdown helps !

I just don’t understand why this news isn’t reported more widely

 

[blue b4 the moon]

I don’t know what I’ve had. On April 1st I’ll have a jab of either the placebo or the real thing, depending on what I had in September. But I’ll never know which was which.You only get unblinded if you leave the trial.

Strange, when my wife had the offer of a NHS jab she rang them to see if she was already 'covered' & they told her she was & had had the Novovax doses on the trial.

 

[Healdplace]

that is amazing .

the fall in hospital numbers is really staggering and gives real confidence in the vaccines, although I appreciate lockdown helps !

I just don’t understand why this news isn’t reported more widely

Me neither - but even Gov UK is often out of date so they are not that fussed either it seems.

 

[yeseye]

The ONS reported just 409 excess deaths in the week ending 5th March.

Given the continual fall of Covid deaths reported since then, it is highly likely that we are now experiencing no more deaths than normal.

This pandemic is over.

Right, that’s that then.
Who fancies a pint?

 

[unicorn]

that is amazing .

the fall in hospital numbers is really staggering and gives real confidence in the vaccines, although I appreciate lockdown helps !

I just don’t understand why this news isn’t reported more widely

Because it's good news.