roubaixtuesday
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- Joined
- 14 Dec 2019
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As predicted, BBC news leading on the threat caused in rise in "R" rate to an "estminated" (sic) 0.7 - 0.9.
No context of school return, the reduction in admissions, or even that an "R" rate below 1 means cases are still falling.
I get very boring about this every time the ONS survey is reported.
These numbers represent (quoting from the ONS) "the transmission of COVID-19 over the past few weeks"
They are NOT a current estimate of R as of today.
They are consistently awfully reported.
Right now R is probably ~1 - cases are flatlining.
Previously these numbers have been used to suggest that cases weren't going down when they transparently were.
It's useful data, but it's never reported responsibly.