Coronavirus (2021) thread

[blueparrot]

Most cases are in schools. But testing is keeping a lid on it with R0 still under 1 (just).

They will be, but it was always going to be the case once they opened up, and as they are no plans to vaccinate children it will just be a thing that happens now.

 

[BlueAnorak]

Things are going downhill in France, Italy and the Balkans very rapidly.

 

[03 March 2002]

Other news is that an additional Mordena plant is to come online in Switzerland and the EMA has approved Pfizer Covid vaccine storage at regular freezer temperature, instead of ultra-cold storage, for up to two weeks. This should help with the rollout.

Quite surprised that the data are suggesting only 2 weeks of stability at 2-8°C.

 

[Healdplace]

Northern Ireland rolling 7 day cases by age group:

0 - 19 (237) 22.3%

20 - 39 (401) 37.9%

40 - 59 (295) 27.9%

60 - 79 (99) 9.4%

80 PLUS (26) 2.5%


As you can see the pattern we have seen in this data for some time continues and escalates.

11.9% only over 60 now testing positive. It was almost 30% a month or two back. Pre vaccination taking off.

And 60% under 40 - most not vaccinated even now is why.

The numbers from school age is far higher than it used to be because of all the testing.

Cases are rising because of those younger groups who are least likely to get sick and die.

THAT is the story. Not the R number.

 

[Rammy Blue]

They will be, but it was always going to be the case once they opened up, and as they are no plans to vaccinate children it will just be a thing that happens now.

Nice 2 week break though now as well, not that there is a sting to be taken out by the looks of things, but it‘ll do no harm.

 

[Bluewonder]

"Casedemic". Got it.

Stop being disingenuous.
You are fully aware of the point I am making. The cases data from last summer is not comparable over a period of time as it was contingent on a rapidly expanding number of tests performed.
The people going into hospital with Covid, was not.
Hence using the hospitalisation numbers from last summer as a more representative form of data.

So I refer back to my original point, there was no uptick in pandemic activity until the end of August last year, despite restrictions gradually loosening all summer.

 

[mexico1970]

Things are going downhill in France, Italy and the Balkans very rapidly.

Germany reporting a border lockdown now too.

 

[Healdplace]

Cases 6187 and all settings deaths 70

1, 252 , 705 pillar 1 & 2 tests - over half a million FEWER than yesterday for 210 less cases

The testing makes almost no difference to the numbers as they are going up and down by hundreds of thousands a day and the cases found are not changing much.

So most of the testing being done now - in schools primarily - is not finding many cases it seems as huge testing numbers make little difference.

 

[Healdplace]

6187 is - though - a big rise on last Friday's 4802 but below the 6609 of two weeks ago.

There were 149 K MORE tests for that 4802 and 345 K MORE tests for the 6609 2 weeks ago

Up and down like a yo yo.

The testing is now all but impossible to directly relate to cases found as so many are in schools.

 

[CJH]

School testing done Wednesday and Sunday so makes sense there were that many fewer, assuming the tests number reported today is for Thursday.